UAH Rocket City Open 2026

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, April 11, 2026 at 2:00 PM

UAH University Fitness Center - Huntsville, AL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WILLIAMS Eli 100% 100% 100% 94% 66% 22%
2 PAYNE Gareth 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 92% 56%
3 SCALES Chad 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 35%
3 JOHNSTON Jacob 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 10%
5 CARRIE Konnor 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
6 BONILHA-VAN'T HOF Rafael 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 16%
7 FORD Austin 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 33% 4%
8 FOSTER Andrew 100% 97% 77% 39% 9% 1%
9 PHILLIPS Carson 100% 99% 79% 39% 9% 1%
10 KAHR Edward L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 14%
10 MASSIE Jay Thomas 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 23% 4%
12 HUNTER James 100% 100% 99% 86% 44% 10% 1%
13 KEMLE Brian 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 27% 4%
14 MOORE Gabriel 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 11%
15 DONGES Anna 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 5%
16 SMITH Grayson 100% 60% 18% 3% - -
17 BUZINKAI Brennan 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 13%
18 EDGECOMB Michael J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 30%
19 HUGHES Eric 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49% 11%
20 KNOX Aidan 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 10%
21 IBANEZ Julien 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
22 PUFFENBERGER Daniel 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
23 SUNDQUIST Matthew 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 27%
24 PELLI Madeleine 100% 96% 70% 31% 7% 1%
24 SUMMEY Travis 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
26 BELL Leo P. 100% 100% 99% 96% 80% 47% 14%
27 KERTESZ Stefan G. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55% 11%
27 MANNING Jackson 100% 98% 80% 40% 9% 1% -
29 BEDWORTH Paige 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 9%
30 BURRUSS Aaron 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 9%
31 POWERS Robert 100% 98% 82% 44% 11% 1%
32 BANHOLZER Connor 100% 98% 86% 59% 26% 7% 1%
33 WYCKOFF Nicholas (Nick Wyckoff) M. 100% 99% 93% 67% 29% 7% 1%
34 HANNER Robert 100% 99% 87% 46% 10% 1% -
35 MERVOSH Elizabeth 100% 95% 70% 30% 7% 1% -
36 GIGNILLIAT Ryker 100% 97% 81% 44% 12% 1% -
37 HARKNESS Luke 100% 65% 21% 3% - -
38 BEDULLA Asher 100% 99% 91% 61% 24% 4%
39 CHAPPELL Lydia 100% 99% 91% 57% 19% 3% -
40 PEACOCK Audrey 100% 98% 84% 47% 14% 2% -
41 LENTINI Christopher 100% 89% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
42 SINDBERG Ali 100% 94% 49% 9% - - -
43 HALVERSON Spencer 100% 98% 77% 35% 7% 1%
44 NEIMAN James 100% 93% 67% 31% 9% 1% -
45 CARON Lucas 100% 71% 27% 5% - - -
46 RICHARD Derek 100% 60% 19% 3% - - -
47 KIARIGA Garang 100% 78% 30% 6% 1% - -
48 CHAILLOU Jonah 100% 77% 30% 6% 1% -
49 PIPER Maggie 100% 44% 8% - - - -
50 JACKSON Nathan 100% 97% 76% 39% 12% 2% -
51 SAFRAN Isaac 100% 54% 11% 1% - - -
52 WOLLITZ Addison 100% 50% 11% 1% - -
53 MCNAIR William 100% 93% 60% 16% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.