Middlebury Open-31st Edition

Senior Mixed Saber

Saturday, April 11, 2026 at 11:00 AM

Middlebury Union Middle School - South Burlington, VT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BAKER Gene 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19% 1%
2 TANG Jeremy 100% 89% 54% 18% 2% -
3 MEAGHER Roderick 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 11%
3 DOELEMAN Zeno 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 22%
5 ABANILLA Luke 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 53%
6 FABIUS Anthony 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 9%
7 SISE Camilla R. 100% 99% 94% 75% 45% 16% 3%
8 COFFIN Carleton 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 25% 1%
9 GESENBERG Jonah S. 100% 100% 94% 71% 36% 10% 1%
10 BOYINGTON Bree 100% 95% 75% 39% 11% 1%
11 MATTINGLY Ian 100% 99% 92% 65% 25% 4% -
12 HURLEY Paul 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 2%
13 O’NEIL Aiden 100% 87% 39% 8% 1% - -
14 SCHUPPE Ray W. 100% 99% 88% 50% 14% 2% -
15 PODDAR Shameek 100% 86% 49% 15% 2% -
16 MITKOFF Jacob 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 1%
17 DESANTIS Benjamin 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 23% 4%
18 MARCOUX Alexander 100% 72% 27% 4% - - -
19 OLIVIERI Rebecca 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 2% -
20 GALASSO Anna 100% 78% 37% 10% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.