7th Annual Precision Invitational RYC and RJCC

Y-14 Men's Foil

Sunday, April 12, 2026 at 2:00 PM

Jump Beyond Sports - Torrance, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	LEE Jaden	-	-	-	-	-	8%	91%
2	CROWDER Job Christoph	-	-	1%	12%	43%	44%
3	SUN Roy	-	-	5%	24%	46%	24%
3	WANG sicheng	-	-	-	1%	7%	34%	58%
5	GUO Austin	-	-	1%	11%	38%	50%
6	YE Jerry	-	-	3%	22%	46%	29%
7	LOPES-EASON Liam James	-	5%	26%	44%	21%	3%
8	PARK Kaiden	-	-	3%	21%	50%	25%
9	GUDIMETLA Siddhanth	-	-	1%	11%	44%	44%
10	SHA Lambor	-	1%	7%	24%	40%	27%	1%
11	HUANG Nathan	-	-	4%	25%	49%	21%
12	TSUI Raedyn Ho Hin	-	-	3%	19%	45%	32%
13	HONG Edwin	-	1%	7%	26%	42%	24%
14	TSUI Kaylan Ho Sen	-	-	8%	35%	42%	15%
15	LEE Colin	1%	7%	24%	35%	25%	7%	1%
16	WU Gengze (Daniel)	-	2%	13%	34%	38%	14%
17	ZHOU jiatong	-	-	8%	34%	42%	15%
18	JIN Yucheng	1%	6%	23%	39%	26%	6%
19	TEJAKUSUMA Eric	-	2%	12%	30%	36%	18%	2%
20	LITVACK Jackson	18%	38%	30%	12%	2%	-	-
21	FALCONE Mateo	4%	20%	35%	29%	11%	2%	-
22	LEE Juneau	3%	17%	36%	32%	12%	1%
23	WU Silin	2%	14%	35%	35%	13%	1%
24	CHENG Alvin	1%	12%	38%	38%	10%	1%
25	HUANG Owen	1%	9%	28%	38%	21%	3%
26	ULZIIBOLD Sean	5%	37%	41%	15%	2%	-
27	MA Justin	1%	18%	43%	31%	6%	-
28	TAN benjamin	7%	30%	38%	20%	4%	-
29	TROYANKER Makar	1%	9%	29%	38%	20%	3%
29	KWONG Colin	9%	33%	38%	17%	3%	-
31	LIN Sampson	4%	22%	38%	27%	8%	1%
32	SEUL Maddox	31%	43%	21%	5%	-	-
33	ZUO Thomas	34%	56%	9%	-	-	-
34	LOH Dylan	4%	19%	35%	29%	11%	2%	-
35	WANG Eason	-	3%	15%	32%	33%	15%	2%
35	WARD MADS	2%	12%	30%	35%	18%	3%	-
37	BHANGOO Arman	21%	45%	27%	5%	-	-
38	TRAN Andrew	6%	28%	40%	21%	4%	-
39	MITCHELL Kallum	7%	31%	42%	17%	2%	-
40	MARLBOROUGH Lachlan	-	8%	49%	33%	8%	1%
41	NGUYEN Remy	29%	45%	22%	4%	-	-
42	KUK Francis	1%	11%	29%	36%	20%	4%	-
43	SURIANO Dominic	24%	40%	26%	8%	1%	-	-
44	KIM Ryan	6%	24%	36%	25%	8%	1%	-
45	CABATO Luca	32%	43%	21%	4%	-	-
46	KIM Noah	72%	25%	3%	-	-	-
47	NGO Lincoln	37%	42%	18%	3%	-	-
48	FERGUSON Jesse	13%	38%	34%	13%	2%	-
49	LIU Kingston	52%	43%	5%	-	-	-
50	KELLEY Camden	8%	28%	36%	21%	6%	1%	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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