2026 TCFC April Challenges

Senior Mixed Foil

Sunday, April 12, 2026 at 8:30 AM

Twin Cities Fencing Club - St. Paul, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 WILKINS Mateo 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93%
2 ZINSER James 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 63%
3 FOSTERVOLD Castiel 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
3 STELLPFLUG Zachary 100% 100% 99% 89% 52% 2%
5 IBARRA Alejandro 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 6%
6 PERLENFEIN Tyler J. 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
7 KIM Ethen 100% 99% 89% 60% 22% 3%
8 LEGGETT Emilia 100% 98% 84% 45% 12% 1%
9 HOOVER Timothy 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 11%
9 SUNDSBAK Evan 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1%
11 REIFF Mathilda 100% 98% 81% 41% 9% -
12 LAMAR Louis 100% 94% 66% 25% 3% -
13 ROY Griffin 100% 100% 94% 58% 10% -
14 TUEL Jude 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
15 MURDOCK Owen 100% 99% 90% 58% 20% 2%
16 NEPAL Noukou Asha 100% 85% 43% 9% 1% -
17 DAVIS Jace W. 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% -
18 WINTERS Linus 100% 48% 11% 1% - -
19 JORGENSEN Kjirsten 100% 90% 48% 11% 1% -
20 KOTCH Brodie 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% -
21 CHRISTENSEN Jack 100% 94% 64% 25% 5% -
22 ZHAN Ethan 100% 98% 75% 30% 3% -
23 YANG Ziwen 100% 60% 16% 1% - -
24 ROY Maggie 100% 83% 43% 12% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.