Portland RJCC

Junior Men's Épée

Sunday, April 12, 2026 at 1:00 PM

Northwest Fencing Center - Tigard, OR, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LU Jacob 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 31%
2 NGUYEN Ethan V. 100% 97% 77% 39% 10% 1%
3 WANG aaron 100% 100% 98% 83% 44% 10%
3 ZHANG Austin 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
5 LI Timothy 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 28%
6 MATHES Caleb 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 41%
7 TOYOFUKU Ethan 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 26%
8 BREILING Niklas 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 62%
9 GOWDA Suyog 100% 100% 99% 89% 54% 14%
10 DAN Rex 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 24%
10 TOYOFUKU Lucas 100% 100% 91% 59% 20% 2%
12 XIE HanZhang (Elon) 100% 99% 87% 51% 15% 2%
13 WANG Juehan 100% 98% 85% 52% 17% 2% -
14 MOU Jaydon 100% 99% 90% 61% 23% 3% -
15 CHEN Christopher 100% 97% 80% 44% 13% 1%
16 AYDIN Kaan 100% 71% 18% 2% - -
17 ST CLAIR Soren 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
18 RAMIREZ Hunter 100% 100% 92% 62% 22% 2%
19 MYRAH Devin 100% 100% 92% 57% 18% 2%
20 BREILING Sebastian 100% 99% 90% 57% 19% 2%
21 BACON Corban 100% 100% 94% 66% 25% 3%
22 CASONI Calder 100% 96% 63% 22% 3% -
23 GE Ray 100% 99% 88% 58% 21% 3% -
24 DESMOND-CIESLOWSKI Oscar 100% 65% 23% 4% - - -
25 RAMIREZ Tristan 100% 93% 66% 28% 6% -
26 CHAN Joseph 100% 76% 29% 5% - -
27 YE Aiden 100% 51% 8% - - -
28 ORTMANN Noah 100% 22% 2% - - -
29 PATEL Krish 100% 67% 25% 5% - -
30 PARIKH Parth 100% 65% 19% 3% - -
31 CALKINS Logan 100% 90% 57% 20% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.