Olympia D'Artagnan's Challenge 4B (Y10/Y14 Epee)

Unrated Y-14 Men's Épée

Sunday, April 12, 2026 at 2:00 PM

Olympia Fencing Center Cambridge - Cambridge, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 SCHLUBACH Jasper 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 5%
2 YONG Connor 100% 100% 97% 80% 39% 6%
3 RICHARDSON Matthew 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
3 LI Sean 100% 100% 97% 79% 39% 7%
5 GREGORY Milo 100% 90% 57% 20% 3% -
6 ALI Zakaria 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4%
7 VU Trung 100% 82% 42% 12% 2% -
8 WAKELIN Kian 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3%
9 EFFEL Samuel 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 5%
10 TOMMY Rhys 100% 99% 88% 55% 18% 1%
11 BRYLINSKY Axel 100% 100% 99% 90% 55% 8%
12 YONG Dylan 100% 91% 58% 21% 3% -
13 DREWS Henry 100% 100% 99% 84% 45% 10%
14 AGARWAL Avirat 100% 77% 38% 10% 2% -
15 DORVAL Kyle 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 19%
16 VAIDYA Ayan 100% 100% 94% 64% 18% 2%
17 LIPCON Samuel 100% 67% 20% 3% - -
18 YOO Elijah 100% 81% 42% 11% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.