Escondido, CA - Escondido, CA, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | WINKLER Lucas G. | V D V V V V | V V V V V | 5.1 | 5 | -0.1 |
| 2 | BREIER Satchel E. | V V V V D V | V V V V D | 5.1 | 5 | -0.1 |
| 3 | CAPPELLUTI Ryan M. | V V V V V | V V V D | 4.6 | 5 | +0.4 |
| 3 | LIU David J. | V V D V V | V V V D | 4.1 | 4 | -0.1 |
| 5 | BERGER Oliver | V V V V V V | V V D | 3.8 | 6 | +2.2 |
| 6 | JIANG Anthony | V V V V V | V V D | 4.0 | 5 | +1.0 |
| 7 | BARBER William S. | V V V V V V | V V D | 4.6 | 6 | +1.4 |
| 8 | CASTRO-SOLIS HUGO ABEL | V V V V V | V V D | 3.7 | 5 | +1.3 |
| 9 | LE Hayden | D V V V V V | V D | 4.4 | 5 | +0.6 |
| 10 | OSUNA RICARDO | V V V V V D | V D | 4.7 | 5 | +0.3 |
| 11 | KIM Andrew H. | V V V D V | V D | 3.7 | 4 | +0.3 |
| 12 | FRIAS SAUL F. | V V D V V | V V D | 4.1 | 4 | -0.1 |
| 13 | REYES Xavier M. | D V V V V | V V D | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
| 14 | NOBLE Daniel | V D V D V V | V V D | 3.7 | 4 | +0.3 |
| 15 | CHANG Colin S. | V V V V D D | V V D | 4.0 | 4 | - |
| 16 | RAJA Arnav | V D D D V | V V D | 3.5 | 2 | -1.5 |
| 17 | WANG Eric Y. | V D V V V V | D | 5.3 | 5 | -0.3 |
| 18 | ALKIN Isaac | D V V V V | V D | 2.6 | 4 | +1.4 |
| 19 | LEITH Jack | V V V D D V | V D | 2.0 | 4 | +2.0 |
| 20 | TIEU Ethan | V D V V V D | V D | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
| 21 | TANG Alex Y. | V D D V V V | V D | 4.6 | 4 | -0.6 |
| 22 | MATSUI Alen K. | V V V D V D | V D | 4.5 | 4 | -0.5 |
| 23 | AVAKIAN Alec | D V V V D V | V D | 4.2 | 4 | -0.2 |
| 24 | KIM Noah L. | V V V D D | V D | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| 25 | BOUANANI Zachariah I. | D V V V D | V D | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| 26 | ZUBATIY Samuel | D V V D D V | V D | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| 27 | HASNAH Henry | D D V V D | V D | 2.9 | 2 | -0.9 |
| 28 | CHEN Lucas B. | D D V D V | V D | 3.0 | 2 | -1.0 |
| 29 | VILLA-KOWAL Ivan H. | V D V D D | V D | 2.0 | 2 | - |
| 30 | LIKER Maxim J. | D V D V D | V D | 1.1 | 2 | +0.9 |
| 31 | HAWKINS Jasper R. | V D D D V | V D | 0.6 | 2 | +1.4 |
| 32 | YEARLING Matthew | D D V D D | V D | 2.9 | 1 | -1.9 |
| 33 | LEUNG Nathan | D V V D D V | D | 2.1 | 3 | +0.9 |
| 34 | BRISTOL Brijen | V D D V D | D | 1.4 | 2 | +0.6 |
| 35 | KORINTH Alexander J. | V D D D D V | D | 2.1 | 2 | -0.1 |
| 36 | SHI Kyle | V D D D V D | D | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
| 37 | TANN Justin | V D D D V D | D | 3.3 | 2 | -1.3 |
| 38 | TAN Darren | D D D V V D | D | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
| 39 | BAILEY Nate | D D D D V | D | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 |
| 40 | REED Samuel J. | D V D D D | D | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| 41 | CHANIN Liam R. | V D D D D | D | 0.8 | 1 | +0.2 |
| 42 | WALLACE Taylor | D D D V D | D | 0.6 | 1 | +0.4 |
| 43 | SONG RYAN | D V D D D D | D | 1.7 | 1 | -0.7 |
| 44 | VAUGHN Justin T. | D D D D V D | D | 0.8 | 1 | +0.2 |
| 45 | HODGES Calvin | D D D D D V | D | 1.7 | 1 | -0.7 |
| 46 | WILLIAMS Rhiley | D D D V D D | D | 0.2 | 1 | +0.8 |
| 47 | MOLINARI Luke M. | D V D D D D | D | 0.6 | 1 | +0.4 |
| 48 | VO Minh Q. | D D D D D | D | 1.2 | 0 | -1.2 |
| 48 | YEARLING Ethan | D D D D D | D | 1.0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| 50 | PADOS Tamas | D D D D D D | D | 0.4 | 0 | -0.4 |
| 50 | ZHAO Aaron | D D D D D D | D | 2.3 | 0 | -2.3 |
| 52 | STONE Esmond A. | D D D D D D | D | 1.8 | 0 | -1.8 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.