American Challenge RJCC/RYC

Y-10 Women's Épée

Friday, April 17, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 CHANEY Evelyn 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 26%
2 CHOI Noah 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 14%
3 LIOU Skylar 100% 100% 97% 80% 36%
3 LIU Brinley 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
5 MENG Yinuo 100% 97% 76% 35% 8% 1%
6 TATINI Aria 100% 61% 17% 2% - -
7 ABDELFATAH Laila 100% 84% 42% 11% 1% -
8 SALIBA Madison 100% 99% 90% 58% 16%
9 VILLER Gabriella 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 15%
10 CAMPAGNANO Zelda 100% 100% 98% 84% 47% 11%
11 BIRZ Vivi 100% 88% 50% 14% 1%
12 GORDON Winter 100% 97% 77% 38% 9% 1%
13 POPOVA Varvara 100% 100% 98% 88% 54% 13%
14 JIANG Christina 100% 99% 87% 56% 20% 3%
15 BAE Madison 100% 89% 54% 16% 2%
16 FARIAS Francesca 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 12%
17 SHAHID Huda 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 3%
18 GAI Stephanie 100% 95% 69% 30% 7% 1%
19 STAFFORD Thylane Sage 100% 98% 84% 49% 14% 1%
20 CHEN Scarlett 100% 74% 30% 5% -
21 NAGARAJ Arya 100% 82% 39% 9% 1% -
22 GANDHI Claire 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% -
23 YOUN Caila 100% 51% 13% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.