American Challenge RJCC/RYC

Y-12 Women's Saber

Friday, April 17, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MULLER Inara - - - 1% 10% 38% 51%
2 OSMINKINA-JONES Kai - - - - 1% 16% 82%
3 NEMORIN Rei - - - - 5% 30% 65%
3 DANIELS Jordanna - - - - 5% 30% 65%
5 KABILING Anika Von Marie - - - 4% 20% 43% 32%
5 LI Tira - - 2% 12% 39% 48%
7 ILICHEVA Adriana - - 1% 9% 27% 41% 21%
8 VARAH Alaia - - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
9 ZHANG Nikki - - 2% 11% 32% 39% 16%
10 JIANG Juliette - 1% 5% 20% 38% 31% 5%
11 SOUTHWELL Mia - 1% 5% 21% 40% 29% 4%
12 AN Jasmine 1% 12% 33% 36% 16% 2%
13 CHEN Chloe - 1% 5% 19% 36% 31% 9%
14 KONDE Anika - 4% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1%
15 SARBU Esme 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
16 TSUI Amelia 1% 12% 32% 36% 16% 2%
17 MENON Maya - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
18 POWERS Waverly - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 16%
19 ONG Katherine - 3% 16% 35% 33% 12% 1%
20 SCHWARTZ Delphine 1% 8% 27% 37% 22% 5% -
21 TSIPORUKHA Arie 1% 6% 23% 39% 27% 5%
22 XU Isabella - 2% 12% 32% 35% 16% 3%
23 HENDERSON Lucie 3% 17% 35% 32% 12% 2% -
24 CHANG Daisy Yijin 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
25 WU Jing 1% 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
26 BHARDWAJ Sara 24% 43% 25% 6% 1% -
27 ALPEROVICH Madeline 3% 18% 36% 30% 12% 2% -
28 GU Allison - 2% 12% 33% 37% 16% 1%
29 DAYNO Riley 12% 32% 33% 17% 4% 1% -
30 YANG Jackie - 3% 18% 37% 32% 10% -
31 SINGH Zara 1% 11% 31% 36% 18% 3% -
32 BORROK Katherine 17% 45% 30% 8% 1% - -
33 LIU Alyssa - - 3% 15% 34% 36% 12%
34 GAO Anita - 3% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2%
35 DEMATTEIS Katarina 1% 13% 37% 34% 13% 2% -
36 RUBANOVA Aleksandra 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
37 BEAL Cameron 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 2%
38 ZHANG Shihan - - 5% 22% 40% 28% 5%
39 MADDISON Estelle - 1% 10% 30% 38% 18% 2%
40 KONG Hermione - 1% 7% 26% 40% 23% 4%
40 STERNBERG Ayleena - 5% 21% 37% 27% 8% 1%
42 AVATAPALLI Sri Aadya - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
43 KIM Chloe 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2% -
44 PRAKASH Lithika 1% 7% 24% 36% 24% 7% 1%
45 TANG Julia 16% 40% 32% 10% 1% - -
46 CHARUZA Tabetha 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
47 HAN Abigail 23% 42% 27% 7% 1% - -
47 EDUSA Nayelli 19% 41% 30% 9% 1% -
49 LEE Fiona - 14% 36% 34% 14% 3% -
50 GAO Madeleine 18% 41% 30% 10% 1% - -
51 BIVIJI Rania 2% 15% 37% 32% 12% 2% -
52 EL-NAZER Salwa 12% 41% 34% 12% 2% - -
54 NAIK Annika 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
55 BHALLA Emma 39% 43% 15% 2% - - -
55 ZHANG Ellie 3% 18% 36% 30% 11% 2% -
55 LONG Penelope 30% 43% 22% 5% 1% - -
55 TU Chloe 16% 42% 31% 10% 1% - -
59 JAIN Anika 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
60 HOANG Vienna 50% 39% 10% 1% - - -
60 MADDISON Emily 17% 42% 30% 9% 1% - -
62 LIU Vivienne 42% 40% 15% 3% - - -
63 LEE Olive 44% 42% 12% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.