American Challenge RJCC/RYC

Y-12 Women's Saber

Friday, April 17, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MULLER Inara 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
2 OSMINKINA-JONES Kai 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 82%
3 NEMORIN Rei 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
3 DANIELS Jordanna 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
5 KABILING Anika Von Marie 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
5 LI Tira 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
7 ILICHEVA Adriana 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 62% 21%
8 VARAH Alaia 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
9 ZHANG Nikki 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
10 JIANG Juliette 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 36% 5%
11 SOUTHWELL Mia 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 34% 4%
12 AN Jasmine 100% 99% 86% 54% 18% 2%
13 CHEN Chloe 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 40% 9%
14 KONDE Anika 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 10% 1%
15 SARBU Esme 100% 97% 83% 51% 19% 4% -
16 TSUI Amelia 100% 99% 87% 54% 18% 2%
17 MENON Maya 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 25%
18 POWERS Waverly 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 16%
19 ONG Katherine 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 12% 1%
20 SCHWARTZ Delphine 100% 99% 92% 64% 27% 5% -
21 TSIPORUKHA Arie 100% 99% 94% 70% 31% 5%
22 XU Isabella 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3%
23 HENDERSON Lucie 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 2% -
24 CHANG Daisy Yijin 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 10% 1%
25 WU Jing 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 9% 1%
26 BHARDWAJ Sara 100% 76% 33% 7% 1% -
27 ALPEROVICH Madeline 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 2% -
28 GU Allison 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 17% 1%
29 DAYNO Riley 100% 88% 55% 22% 5% 1% -
30 YANG Jackie 100% 100% 97% 79% 42% 10% -
31 SINGH Zara 100% 99% 88% 57% 21% 4% -
32 BORROK Katherine 100% 83% 39% 9% 1% - -
33 LIU Alyssa 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 12%
34 GAO Anita 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 14% 2%
35 DEMATTEIS Katarina 100% 99% 85% 49% 14% 2% -
36 RUBANOVA Aleksandra 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 3% -
37 BEAL Cameron 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
38 ZHANG Shihan 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 33% 5%
39 MADDISON Estelle 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20% 2%
40 KONG Hermione 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 27% 4%
40 STERNBERG Ayleena 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 9% 1%
42 AVATAPALLI Sri Aadya 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
43 KIM Chloe 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 2% -
44 PRAKASH Lithika 100% 99% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
45 TANG Julia 100% 84% 43% 12% 1% - -
46 CHARUZA Tabetha 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
47 HAN Abigail 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% - -
47 EDUSA Nayelli 100% 81% 40% 10% 1% -
49 LEE Fiona 100% 100% 86% 51% 17% 3% -
50 GAO Madeleine 100% 82% 41% 11% 1% - -
51 BIVIJI Rania 100% 98% 83% 46% 14% 2% -
52 EL-NAZER Salwa 100% 88% 47% 14% 2% - -
54 NAIK Annika 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% - -
55 BHALLA Emma 100% 61% 18% 2% - - -
55 ZHANG Ellie 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 2% -
55 LONG Penelope 100% 70% 27% 6% 1% - -
55 TU Chloe 100% 84% 42% 11% 2% - -
59 JAIN Anika 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
60 HOANG Vienna 100% 50% 11% 1% - - -
60 MADDISON Emily 100% 83% 41% 11% 1% - -
62 LIU Vivienne 100% 58% 17% 3% - - -
63 LEE Olive 100% 56% 14% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.