American Challenge RJCC/RYC

Y-14 Women's Foil

Friday, April 17, 2026 at 1:00 PM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHANG Vivian - - - 1% 15% 84%
2 MURPHY Genevieve - - 3% 20% 50% 27%
3 SHIN Elizabeth - - - 3% 17% 43% 36%
3 AL-BATTAINEH Eva - - - - 7% 36% 57%
5 KRAHE Annika - - - - 1% 18% 81%
7 ZHANG Priscilla - 4% 19% 37% 31% 9%
8 ZHU Ella - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
9 ORBÉ-AUSTIN Maya - - 2% 18% 46% 34%
10 DE CASTRO Kai - - 1% 12% 45% 42%
11 FRASER Morgan - - 1% 8% 35% 45% 12%
12 IWERSEN Marte 1% 8% 27% 37% 22% 5%
13 YOUM Amelia - 4% 23% 39% 26% 7% 1%
14 LUO lucy - 1% 8% 27% 41% 22%
15 CHAN Jolene - 2% 14% 43% 41%
16 DONG Iris - - 2% 12% 33% 40% 14%
17 BO Iris - - 3% 19% 45% 28% 4%
18 ZHU Alivia - 4% 17% 36% 33% 10%
19 SUN Erin - 3% 19% 38% 30% 9% 1%
20 WEN Cynthia - - 2% 11% 36% 45% 6%
21 SON Ayoung - - 6% 31% 45% 18%
22 KOESTERS Cecilie 3% 20% 43% 29% 6%
23 ZHILKOV Anya - 1% 10% 39% 39% 11%
24 JU Victoria 2% 15% 39% 35% 9% 1%
25 HUDSON Sophie 8% 50% 35% 7% - -
25 KHETPAL Aalia - 6% 26% 41% 24% 2%
27 LIN Claire 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
28 JAZWINSKI Ivy 1% 14% 36% 36% 12% -
29 KUANG Bella 1% 10% 35% 41% 13%
30 WU Charlotte 4% 21% 37% 27% 9% 1%
31 KIM Lael 1% 6% 22% 38% 27% 6% -
32 LI Beatrice 14% 37% 33% 13% 2% -
33 BRADSHAW Tamira 2% 16% 38% 33% 10% -
34 BENNETT Emi 2% 12% 32% 35% 16% 2% -
35 GOMEZ Amelia 4% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1% -
36 MCCLAIN Madison 16% 40% 32% 11% 2% -
37 LIU Bella 2% 18% 41% 31% 7% -
38 ZELDIN Nina 8% 37% 39% 14% 2% - -
40 SARAVANA Supriti 1% 13% 37% 37% 11% 1% -
41 DOUGLAS Addison - 3% 19% 37% 30% 10% 1%
42 CLOUD Chrystie 6% 25% 38% 24% 6% 1% -
43 KIRBY Emelie 5% 29% 40% 22% 4% -
44 HUANG Gabrielle 2% 25% 51% 19% 3% -
45 PAEK Mila 13% 43% 34% 10% 1%
46 PARK Addison 53% 37% 9% 1% - -
47 KIM Chloe Minjoo 37% 44% 16% 2% - -
48 FEDAN Nicole 3% 17% 36% 31% 11% 1%
49 PAEK Ellie 2% 20% 42% 29% 6% - -
50 NIVAS Tvisha 42% 45% 12% 1% - - -
51 QIAO Carolin 22% 41% 27% 8% 1% -
52 LOBO Sophie 33% 42% 20% 4% - - -
53 CHESK Kamila 57% 35% 7% 1% - - -
54 MCCLELLAN Florence 18% 45% 30% 7% 1% -
55 CHEN Sophie 21% 41% 28% 9% 1% -
56 DAVIS Gabriella 77% 22% 2% - - -
56 TEE Cymbeline 49% 40% 10% 1% -
58 MA Cloris 27% 50% 20% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.