American Challenge RJCC/RYC

Y-14 Women's Foil

Friday, April 17, 2026 at 1:00 PM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHANG Vivian 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 84%
2 MURPHY Genevieve 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 27%
3 SHIN Elizabeth 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 36%
3 AL-BATTAINEH Eva 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 57%
5 KRAHE Annika 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 81%
7 ZHANG Priscilla 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 9%
8 ZHU Ella 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
9 ORBÉ-AUSTIN Maya 100% 100% 100% 98% 80% 34%
10 DE CASTRO Kai 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 42%
11 FRASER Morgan 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57% 12%
12 IWERSEN Marte 100% 99% 91% 63% 26% 5%
13 YOUM Amelia 100% 100% 96% 73% 34% 8% 1%
14 LUO lucy 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
15 CHAN Jolene 100% 100% 98% 84% 41%
16 DONG Iris 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 14%
17 BO Iris 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 33% 4%
18 ZHU Alivia 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
19 SUN Erin 100% 100% 97% 77% 40% 10% 1%
20 WEN Cynthia 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 51% 6%
21 SON Ayoung 100% 100% 100% 94% 63% 18%
22 KOESTERS Cecilie 100% 97% 78% 34% 6%
23 ZHILKOV Anya 100% 100% 99% 89% 50% 11%
24 JU Victoria 100% 98% 83% 45% 10% 1%
25 HUDSON Sophie 100% 92% 42% 7% - -
25 KHETPAL Aalia 100% 100% 93% 68% 26% 2%
27 LIN Claire 100% 99% 94% 72% 34% 7%
28 JAZWINSKI Ivy 100% 99% 85% 49% 13% -
29 KUANG Bella 100% 99% 89% 54% 13%
30 WU Charlotte 100% 96% 74% 38% 10% 1%
31 KIM Lael 100% 99% 94% 71% 33% 6% -
32 LI Beatrice 100% 86% 49% 16% 3% -
33 BRADSHAW Tamira 100% 98% 82% 43% 10% -
34 BENNETT Emi 100% 98% 86% 54% 18% 2% -
35 GOMEZ Amelia 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1% -
36 MCCLAIN Madison 100% 84% 44% 12% 2% -
37 LIU Bella 100% 98% 80% 39% 7% -
38 ZELDIN Nina 100% 92% 54% 16% 2% - -
40 SARAVANA Supriti 100% 99% 86% 49% 13% 1% -
41 DOUGLAS Addison 100% 100% 97% 78% 40% 11% 1%
42 CLOUD Chrystie 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% 1% -
43 KIRBY Emelie 100% 95% 66% 26% 4% -
44 HUANG Gabrielle 100% 98% 73% 22% 3% -
45 PAEK Mila 100% 87% 44% 10% 1%
46 PARK Addison 100% 47% 10% 1% - -
47 KIM Chloe Minjoo 100% 63% 19% 2% - -
48 FEDAN Nicole 100% 97% 80% 44% 13% 1%
49 PAEK Ellie 100% 98% 78% 35% 6% - -
50 NIVAS Tvisha 100% 58% 14% 2% - - -
51 QIAO Carolin 100% 78% 37% 10% 1% -
52 LOBO Sophie 100% 67% 25% 5% - - -
53 CHESK Kamila 100% 43% 8% 1% - - -
54 MCCLELLAN Florence 100% 82% 37% 8% 1% -
55 CHEN Sophie 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% -
56 DAVIS Gabriella 100% 23% 2% - - -
56 TEE Cymbeline 100% 51% 11% 1% -
58 MA Cloris 100% 73% 23% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.