American Challenge RJCC/RYC

Y-14 Men's Saber

Friday, April 17, 2026 at 2:30 PM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BELAND Riley James "RJ" - - - 1% 9% 40% 50%
2 WANG Edward - - 1% 6% 24% 42% 27%
3 SONG Aidan - - 1% 8% 26% 40% 23%
3 ZHANG Shaoxuan - - - 2% 13% 42% 44%
5 STOLCKE Julian - 2% 11% 32% 39% 16%
6 MELE Gianni - - 3% 19% 39% 31% 8%
7 WEI Lucas - - 1% 7% 29% 46% 17%
8 SUH Leo - - 1% 8% 26% 40% 25%
9 LEVY Daniel - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 27%
10 ISAYENKO Daniel - - 1% 4% 18% 41% 36%
10 ORIE Sohan - 1% 8% 27% 42% 22%
12 TASIKAS Pete - - 2% 14% 43% 42%
13 AVERY Marcus - 2% 12% 33% 38% 15%
14 LI Michael - 1% 8% 31% 45% 16%
15 PARK Sean - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
17 WONG Reagan - - - 4% 19% 42% 35%
18 HUA George (Hanxun) - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 12%
19 HENDERSON Louis - - 1% 7% 24% 42% 26%
20 KIM Junseong - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
21 VISH Manyu - 1% 6% 22% 38% 28% 7%
22 BEAL Colton - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 28%
23 LIU Tyler,yiwei - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 6%
24 BENNETT Lachlan 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 1%
25 BRADIC Andreja 1% 17% 36% 31% 12% 2% -
26 SO Morgan - - 4% 17% 35% 32% 11%
27 WU Vincent - 2% 11% 30% 36% 18% 3%
28 CHEN Felix - 1% 4% 17% 35% 32% 10%
29 LEISTNER Armin - 6% 24% 38% 25% 6% -
30 CHAVAN Aditya 1% 6% 20% 33% 27% 11% 1%
30 SEDAKA Dylan 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
32 TAYCHER Aaron - 1% 8% 27% 42% 22%
33 SAGE Nikolai - 1% 8% 25% 36% 23% 5%
34 CUSSON William 2% 12% 28% 33% 19% 5% 1%
35 CHOU Franklin - 1% 9% 25% 36% 24% 5%
36 CHANG Ethan - - - 4% 17% 41% 38%
37 LIU Jeremy - 1% 6% 22% 38% 27% 6%
38 ANTONIO Elan - 4% 17% 32% 31% 14% 2%
39 MARTIRE Francis 3% 20% 40% 28% 8% 1% -
40 ALUF Brendon - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
41 KONG Ethan 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
42 LEE Shane Gunn 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2%
43 LI Kent 25% 47% 25% 3%
44 CORDERO Adam 10% 37% 42% 11%
45 O'KEEFE Brody 1% 10% 30% 37% 19% 3%
46 MOGUNOV Alan 1% 10% 39% 50%
47 CHEN Mark 3% 20% 41% 29% 7% 1%
48 HAHN EVER - - 5% 19% 36% 31% 9%
49 PARK Layne 1% 7% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1%
50 GUERRA Corey 2% 16% 36% 32% 12% 2%
51 SIMEONIDIS Aris 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
52 DARLING Andrew 3% 18% 34% 30% 13% 3% -
53 TERENTIEV Michael 1% 7% 26% 38% 23% 5%
54 CIECIEREGA MATTHEW - 4% 18% 33% 30% 12% 2%
55 BALTRUSAITIS Lucas Tommaso 28% 46% 23% 3%
56 AWAD Omar 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1%
58 WANG Harrison 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% 1%
58 SONG Ryan 2% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
60 YU Dylan 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
61 RAMONDINI Levi 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 2%
62 JAKOSALEM Dean 21% 38% 28% 10% 2% - -
63 GAW Zachary 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
64 NEUBERGER Jakob Felix 25% 43% 25% 6% 1% -
65 GAW Christian 21% 44% 28% 7% 1% -
66 LOU Ethan 22% 40% 27% 9% 2% - -
67 CHEN Luca - 1% 7% 26% 39% 23% 4%
68 HU Simon - - 2% 13% 33% 37% 14%
69 BURCH III Andrew J. 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 7% 1%
70 BLAIR Campbell 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 3% -
71 KUTTIN Aadith 1% 9% 27% 36% 21% 5% -
72 SOKOLOV Lucas - 3% 13% 30% 34% 18% 3%
73 KIM Gwanhee - 5% 18% 33% 29% 12% 2%
74 HUANG KIMBALL 12% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
75 YANG LOUIS 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 5% 1%
76 TO Aiden - 5% 20% 36% 28% 9% 1%
77 KNOBEL Benjamin 2% 14% 35% 34% 13% 2% -
78 CHEN Ryan 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
79 REINHART Rowan 5% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1% -
80 SAKATCH Nikita 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
81 JEONG Zion 1% 7% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
82 TANJGA Luka - 5% 23% 38% 27% 6% -
84 EASLEY Braddock 11% 38% 35% 13% 2% - -
85 LI Felix 35% 43% 19% 4% - - -
86 GRIFFIN Sid 25% 41% 25% 8% 1% - -
87 BORNHOLZ Lawrence 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
88 VITALE NIKO 40% 42% 15% 3% - -
89 ZHIVICH Gabriel 10% 32% 35% 18% 4% - -
90 ANDRADE Ian 16% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
91 CAI Chengyuan 1% 15% 34% 32% 14% 3% -
92 VENKATESAN Akash 47% 40% 12% 2% - - -
93 DAI Ethan 8% 32% 37% 18% 4% - -
94 FAZELINIA Erfaan 8% 29% 36% 20% 6% 1% -
94 PALERMO Evan 9% 35% 37% 16% 3% - -
96 BINDLER Hugh 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8% 1%
97 SANTOS Daniel 1% 9% 30% 39% 18% 3%
97 HONG Isaac 20% 42% 29% 8% 1% -
99 BLACK Bennett 9% 35% 37% 16% 3% -
100 THEETHIRA Kevin-Cariappa 19% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
101 ZHERENOVSKY Alan 30% 42% 22% 5% 1% - -
101 HUANG Lucas 27% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
104 BUCHBINDER Hugo 2% 14% 29% 31% 18% 5% 1%
104 ZHA-ZHAO Max 69% 27% 4% - - - -
104 XIAO August 32% 45% 19% 3% - -
107 BALBALE Zayd 4% 20% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
108 PETROSYAN Aleksander 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
109 BARAVARIAN Cole 21% 41% 29% 9% 1% - -
109 CHEN Samuel 41% 42% 15% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.