American Challenge RJCC/RYC

Y-14 Men's Saber

Friday, April 17, 2026 at 2:30 PM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BELAND Riley James "RJ" 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 50%
2 WANG Edward 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
3 SONG Aidan 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 23%
3 ZHANG Shaoxuan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
5 STOLCKE Julian 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 16%
6 MELE Gianni 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 8%
7 WEI Lucas 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 17%
8 SUH Leo 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 25%
9 LEVY Daniel 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 27%
10 ISAYENKO Daniel 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 36%
10 ORIE Sohan 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
12 TASIKAS Pete 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 42%
13 AVERY Marcus 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
14 LI Michael 100% 100% 99% 92% 61% 16%
15 PARK Sean 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
17 WONG Reagan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
18 HUA George (Hanxun) 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 12%
19 HENDERSON Louis 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 26%
20 KIM Junseong 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 14%
21 VISH Manyu 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 34% 7%
22 BEAL Colton 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
23 LIU Tyler,yiwei 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 6%
24 BENNETT Lachlan 100% 99% 93% 74% 41% 13% 1%
25 BRADIC Andreja 100% 99% 82% 45% 14% 2% -
26 SO Morgan 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 11%
27 WU Vincent 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 22% 3%
28 CHEN Felix 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 43% 10%
29 LEISTNER Armin 100% 100% 93% 69% 31% 6% -
30 CHAVAN Aditya 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 12% 1%
30 SEDAKA Dylan 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
32 TAYCHER Aaron 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
33 SAGE Nikolai 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 28% 5%
34 CUSSON William 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 6% 1%
35 CHOU Franklin 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 5%
36 CHANG Ethan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38%
37 LIU Jeremy 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 6%
38 ANTONIO Elan 100% 100% 95% 79% 47% 17% 2%
39 MARTIRE Francis 100% 97% 76% 36% 9% 1% -
40 ALUF Brendon 100% 100% 98% 86% 59% 24% 4%
41 KONG Ethan 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 2% -
42 LEE Shane Gunn 100% 98% 82% 47% 14% 2%
43 LI Kent 100% 75% 28% 3%
44 CORDERO Adam 100% 90% 53% 11%
45 O'KEEFE Brody 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 3%
46 MOGUNOV Alan 100% 99% 89% 50%
47 CHEN Mark 100% 97% 77% 36% 8% 1%
48 HAHN EVER 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 9%
49 PARK Layne 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 9% 1%
50 GUERRA Corey 100% 98% 82% 46% 14% 2%
51 SIMEONIDIS Aris 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 8% 1%
52 DARLING Andrew 100% 97% 79% 45% 16% 3% -
53 TERENTIEV Michael 100% 99% 92% 66% 27% 5%
54 CIECIEREGA MATTHEW 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 14% 2%
55 BALTRUSAITIS Lucas Tommaso 100% 72% 26% 3%
56 AWAD Omar 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 9% 1%
58 WANG Harrison 100% 99% 91% 64% 29% 7% 1%
58 SONG Ryan 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
60 YU Dylan 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% -
61 RAMONDINI Levi 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
62 JAKOSALEM Dean 100% 79% 41% 13% 2% - -
63 GAW Zachary 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
64 NEUBERGER Jakob Felix 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% -
65 GAW Christian 100% 79% 35% 8% 1% -
66 LOU Ethan 100% 78% 38% 11% 2% - -
67 CHEN Luca 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 27% 4%
68 HU Simon 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 14%
69 BURCH III Andrew J. 100% 99% 92% 67% 32% 8% 1%
70 BLAIR Campbell 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 3% -
71 KUTTIN Aadith 100% 99% 90% 62% 27% 6% -
72 SOKOLOV Lucas 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 3%
73 KIM Gwanhee 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
74 HUANG KIMBALL 100% 88% 53% 19% 4% - -
75 YANG LOUIS 100% 99% 90% 62% 27% 6% 1%
76 TO Aiden 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 11% 1%
77 KNOBEL Benjamin 100% 98% 84% 49% 15% 2% -
78 CHEN Ryan 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
79 REINHART Rowan 100% 95% 70% 32% 8% 1% -
80 SAKATCH Nikita 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 6% -
81 JEONG Zion 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 10% 1%
82 TANJGA Luka 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 6% -
84 EASLEY Braddock 100% 89% 50% 15% 2% - -
85 LI Felix 100% 65% 23% 4% - - -
86 GRIFFIN Sid 100% 75% 34% 9% 1% - -
87 BORNHOLZ Lawrence 100% 93% 67% 29% 7% 1% -
88 VITALE NIKO 100% 60% 18% 3% - -
89 ZHIVICH Gabriel 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% - -
90 ANDRADE Ian 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% - -
91 CAI Chengyuan 100% 99% 83% 49% 17% 3% -
92 VENKATESAN Akash 100% 53% 13% 2% - - -
93 DAI Ethan 100% 92% 60% 23% 5% - -
94 FAZELINIA Erfaan 100% 92% 63% 26% 6% 1% -
94 PALERMO Evan 100% 91% 56% 19% 3% - -
96 BINDLER Hugh 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 9% 1%
97 SANTOS Daniel 100% 99% 90% 60% 21% 3%
97 HONG Isaac 100% 80% 38% 9% 1% -
99 BLACK Bennett 100% 91% 56% 19% 3% -
100 THEETHIRA Kevin-Cariappa 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% - -
101 ZHERENOVSKY Alan 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -
101 HUANG Lucas 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
104 BUCHBINDER Hugo 100% 98% 84% 55% 23% 6% 1%
104 ZHA-ZHAO Max 100% 31% 4% - - - -
104 XIAO August 100% 68% 22% 3% - -
107 BALBALE Zayd 100% 96% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
108 PETROSYAN Aleksander 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
109 BARAVARIAN Cole 100% 79% 39% 10% 1% - -
109 CHEN Samuel 100% 59% 17% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.