American Challenge RJCC/RYC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Saturday, April 18, 2026 at 1:30 PM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHIANG William - - - 3% 16% 41% 41%
2 JIN Noah - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
3 MADRIGAL SALVAT Guillermo - - 3% 16% 40% 40%
3 CHEN Hayden - - 3% 17% 41% 39%
5 NOOL Aaron - - 1% 7% 24% 40% 28%
6 ARMSTRONG Payson - - - 2% 13% 38% 47%
7 TANG Luke - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 23%
8 LANE Sawyer 1% 9% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
9 CHEN Aiden - - - 2% 13% 39% 46%
9 CHEN Daniel - - 2% 9% 29% 40% 20%
11 HOREMIOTIS Bennett - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 28%
12 PEGUS Izzy - - 1% 5% 21% 43% 31%
13 KO Ethan - - 4% 16% 33% 34% 13%
14 LIN Aiden 3% 17% 34% 31% 12% 1%
15 FANG Charlie - - 3% 15% 35% 36% 12%
16 GORE Noah 7% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1% -
18 ZHEN Maxwell 6% 23% 34% 26% 10% 2% < 1%
19 BRATU Max - - 3% 13% 31% 37% 17%
20 YONG Connor - 1% 8% 23% 36% 26% 6%
21 NG Remy - 1% 7% 22% 36% 26% 7%
22 GUJJA Rishabh - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
24 PINCIROLI Tommaso 3% 17% 34% 32% 13% 2%
25 WAGNER Miles 19% 37% 30% 12% 2% - -
26 SCHLUBACH Jasper - 3% 13% 29% 34% 18% 3%
27 KIM Brendan 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
28 MILOWSKY Majai - 3% 14% 30% 32% 16% 3%
29 YOU Emmanuel 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
30 DAI Jason - 2% 9% 24% 35% 24% 6%
31 ZHANG Jayden 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
32 WANG William 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
33 YANG JULIAN 5% 20% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
34 YAO Irvine 1% 9% 26% 37% 23% 4%
35 SON Isaac - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
36 CARPENTER Taisei 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% -
37 KHAN Zayn - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
38 XUAN nathan 1% 6% 22% 35% 26% 8% 1%
39 TANG Jayce 1% 8% 24% 33% 24% 8% 1%
40 LAW Benjamin 4% 20% 35% 28% 10% 2% -
41 KO Caden 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
42 KIM Ian - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
43 LAI Jaxon - 2% 13% 31% 35% 16% 2%
44 LITVINOVSKY Benjamin - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
45 YAN Milan 1% 6% 19% 32% 28% 12% 2%
46 LI AIDEN 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
47 JAISING Kian 4% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
48 ZHANG Jacob 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
48 MILLER Brodrick 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
50 SHKOP Alexander 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
51 LU Shawn 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
52 YONG Dylan 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2%
53 IVANOV Andrew 1% 7% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
54 PENG Leo 1% 5% 19% 32% 29% 13% 2%
55 CHEN Regis 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
56 LI Sean 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 1%
57 ZHANG Renkui 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
58 SALIBA Jackson 5% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1% -
59 SHABBIR Mohammad Amaan 8% 26% 34% 22% 8% 1% -
60 CHARNA Luca 11% 32% 35% 18% 4% -
61 MAK Nolan 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
62 GOOD Adam 28% 41% 23% 6% 1% - -
63 MARTELLI Rafael 4% 18% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
64 CHATTERJEE Josh 31% 41% 21% 6% 1% - -
65 WANG Henry 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
66 TANG David 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
67 HWANG Christopher 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
68 LUO Sebastian 2% 14% 32% 33% 15% 2%
69 HWANG Chase 17% 37% 32% 12% 2% -
70 GENCER Alp 19% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
71 LIU FREDERICK - 3% 14% 30% 32% 16% 3%
72 AU Wesley 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
73 YUAN Leonardo 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
74 GREGORY Milo 9% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
75 LEONARDIS Jordan 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
76 YIN Zizhan 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
77 ZHANG Leo 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
78 LEE Derek 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
79 LU Tori 17% 36% 30% 13% 3% - -
80 ZHU David 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
81 SALA John 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
82 EICHELBERGER Luke 9% 31% 37% 19% 4% - -
83 CHEN Bao 17% 37% 31% 13% 2% -
84 XIE Vasco 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.