American Challenge RJCC/RYC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Saturday, April 18, 2026 at 1:30 PM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHIANG William 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 41%
2 JIN Noah 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
3 MADRIGAL SALVAT Guillermo 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
3 CHEN Hayden 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 39%
5 NOOL Aaron 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 28%
6 ARMSTRONG Payson 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 47%
7 TANG Luke 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
8 LANE Sawyer 100% 99% 90% 66% 32% 8% 1%
9 CHEN Aiden 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
9 CHEN Daniel 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 20%
11 HOREMIOTIS Bennett 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 28%
12 PEGUS Izzy 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 31%
13 KO Ethan 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 13%
14 LIN Aiden 100% 97% 79% 45% 14% 1%
15 FANG Charlie 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 12%
16 GORE Noah 100% 93% 67% 33% 10% 2% -
18 ZHEN Maxwell 100% 94% 72% 37% 12% 2% < 1%
19 BRATU Max 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 17%
20 YONG Connor 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 32% 6%
21 NG Remy 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 33% 7%
22 GUJJA Rishabh 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 16%
24 PINCIROLI Tommaso 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
25 WAGNER Miles 100% 81% 44% 14% 3% - -
26 SCHLUBACH Jasper 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 21% 3%
27 KIM Brendan 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
28 MILOWSKY Majai 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 19% 3%
29 YOU Emmanuel 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 7% 1%
30 DAI Jason 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 31% 6%
31 ZHANG Jayden 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
32 WANG William 100% 97% 80% 48% 17% 3% -
33 YANG JULIAN 100% 95% 75% 41% 14% 2% -
34 YAO Irvine 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 4%
35 SON Isaac 100% 100% 95% 80% 49% 18% 3%
36 CARPENTER Taisei 100% 98% 84% 55% 23% 5% -
37 KHAN Zayn 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
38 XUAN nathan 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 9% 1%
39 TANG Jayce 100% 99% 90% 67% 34% 9% 1%
40 LAW Benjamin 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 2% -
41 KO Caden 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 10% 1%
42 KIM Ian 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
43 LAI Jaxon 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 18% 2%
44 LITVINOVSKY Benjamin 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
45 YAN Milan 100% 99% 93% 74% 42% 14% 2%
46 LI AIDEN 100% 98% 86% 57% 25% 6% -
47 JAISING Kian 100% 96% 79% 47% 17% 3% -
48 ZHANG Jacob 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 2% -
48 MILLER Brodrick 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3% -
50 SHKOP Alexander 100% 90% 62% 28% 7% 1% -
51 LU Shawn 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
52 YONG Dylan 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2%
53 IVANOV Andrew 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 11% 1%
54 PENG Leo 100% 99% 94% 75% 44% 15% 2%
55 CHEN Regis 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
56 LI Sean 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 13% 1%
57 ZHANG Renkui 100% 98% 84% 52% 20% 4% -
58 SALIBA Jackson 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
59 SHABBIR Mohammad Amaan 100% 92% 65% 31% 9% 1% -
60 CHARNA Luca 100% 89% 58% 22% 4% -
61 MAK Nolan 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1%
62 GOOD Adam 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% - -
63 MARTELLI Rafael 100% 96% 79% 47% 17% 4% -
64 CHATTERJEE Josh 100% 69% 28% 6% 1% - -
65 WANG Henry 100% 99% 89% 64% 30% 7% 1%
66 TANG David 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
67 HWANG Christopher 100% 90% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
68 LUO Sebastian 100% 98% 83% 51% 18% 2%
69 HWANG Chase 100% 83% 46% 14% 2% -
70 GENCER Alp 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% - -
71 LIU FREDERICK 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 19% 3%
72 AU Wesley 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
73 YUAN Leonardo 100% 89% 57% 24% 6% 1% -
74 GREGORY Milo 100% 91% 62% 28% 7% 1% -
75 LEONARDIS Jordan 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
76 YIN Zizhan 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
77 ZHANG Leo 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
78 LEE Derek 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
79 LU Tori 100% 83% 46% 16% 3% - -
80 ZHU David 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
81 SALA John 100% 90% 60% 24% 5% 1% -
82 EICHELBERGER Luke 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% - -
83 CHEN Bao 100% 83% 46% 15% 2% -
84 XIE Vasco 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.