American Challenge RJCC/RYC

Y-14 Women's Saber

Saturday, April 18, 2026 at 3:30 PM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHAO Selena - - 3% 16% 42% 39%
2 NIU Jessica - - - 2% 16% 43% 39%
3 XU Elaine - - - 2% 14% 43% 41%
3 ZHENG Winona - - 3% 17% 38% 32% 9%
5 LI Tira - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
6 HU Alicia - - - 4% 21% 45% 30%
7 PARK Haylie - - 1% 6% 25% 43% 25%
8 CAFAGNA Sofia - 4% 16% 34% 34% 12%
9 SUN Yi - - - 1% 7% 35% 58%
10 ZHANG Wuxin - - 1% 10% 32% 41% 15%
11 REN Katherine - - - 1% 11% 38% 49%
12 KIM Jodie 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7% -
13 ZHANG Audrey - 1% 7% 27% 42% 23%
14 NANDA Maanika - - 4% 14% 31% 35% 16%
15 IORDANOVA Vela 1% 13% 37% 35% 12% 1%
16 ILICHEVA Adriana - 4% 18% 35% 31% 11% 1%
17 HUANG Pierra - - - 2% 14% 43% 42%
18 DANIELS Jordanna - 1% 7% 22% 35% 26% 8%
19 LIU Chelsea - - 1% 9% 28% 40% 21%
20 FOSS Persephone - - 1% 9% 36% 53%
21 CHAU Zoey - 3% 17% 37% 34% 9%
22 MENON Maya - 2% 9% 24% 34% 25% 7%
23 CHOWDHERY Myra - - 5% 23% 43% 28%
24 GOEL Lineysha - 1% 7% 28% 45% 20%
25 OSMINKINA-JONES Kai - - - - 3% 22% 75%
26 WU Harper 1% 10% 29% 37% 18% 4% -
27 LIAO Audrey 4% 29% 40% 22% 5% - -
28 LI Tiffany - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
29 HILD Anya - - 5% 19% 36% 30% 9%
30 POWERS Waverly 1% 11% 30% 37% 18% 2%
31 WANG Chloe 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
32 JIANG Juliette - 3% 18% 38% 32% 9%
33 WANG JiaQi - - 1% 11% 34% 40% 15%
34 ROMEO lia - 6% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
35 WANG MONA - - 1% 8% 30% 44% 17%
36 PARK Gabriella - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 3%
37 YIN Xizi 1% 7% 24% 36% 24% 7% 1%
37 YANG Selina - 3% 15% 36% 34% 12%
39 JOHN Sophia - 1% 5% 19% 38% 31% 7%
40 ZHANG Ashley - - 1% 9% 31% 43% 16%
41 TA-ZHOU Sophia - 2% 13% 34% 37% 14%
42 CANARAN Daphne M. 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 4%
43 KAYA Lara - 2% 13% 34% 36% 14% 2%
44 MULLER Inara - - 1% 7% 26% 44% 22%
45 KIM Irene - 3% 15% 33% 33% 15% 2%
46 LEE Grace - 2% 13% 33% 37% 15%
47 ZHANG Shihan 2% 10% 25% 32% 22% 8% 1%
48 LAU Angela 4% 20% 38% 28% 9% 1%
49 VARAH Alaia - 2% 12% 32% 37% 15% 2%
50 NEMORIN Rei - - - 4% 23% 44% 28%
51 AN Jamie - 4% 17% 36% 31% 11% 1%
52 BIESIADA Sophia - 2% 15% 37% 35% 11%
53 PATEL Maia - 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4%
54 CHEN Chloe 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
55 JUILLERAT Tabea 11% 33% 35% 17% 3% -
56 MULHERN Eleanor 1% 12% 34% 35% 15% 2% -
57 LIU Teresa - 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
58 CONVERSO-PARSONS Maia 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
59 JUNG Elise 5% 23% 38% 26% 7% 1%
60 FANG Elena 2% 17% 36% 31% 12% 2% -
62 SVIDER Elle 47% 39% 12% 2% - - -
64 MCCARTHY Nora Louisa Abrous - 1% 11% 31% 38% 16% 2%
65 YERENKOVA Ameliia - - 4% 15% 32% 34% 14%
66 KIM Grace - - 1% 12% 36% 41% 10%
67 TIAN Ariana - 2% 11% 34% 37% 14% 1%
68 FAZAL Sasha - 7% 29% 41% 19% 3%
69 AVATAPALLI Sri Aadya 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% -
70 XU Isabella 1% 8% 33% 38% 18% 3%
71 KETT alexis 2% 14% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
72 YAP Anna 9% 31% 36% 19% 4% -
73 JIANG Yutong - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 15%
74 LEE Kaitlin 1% 10% 29% 38% 19% 3%
75 DAYNO Riley 11% 35% 37% 15% 2% - -
76 LIU Stephanie 1% 10% 31% 37% 18% 3% -
77 ONO Lisa 4% 17% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
78 MADDISON Erica 9% 32% 38% 18% 3% - -
79 MOSHAROVA Natalia 13% 46% 32% 9% 1% -
80 ZHOU Claire 2% 17% 36% 30% 12% 2% -
81 SOUTHWELL Mia 26% 42% 25% 6% 1% -
82 LIU Alyssa - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 1%
83 FENG chloe 2% 15% 36% 32% 12% 2% -
84 SU JOSERINE 4% 21% 35% 27% 11% 2% -
84 WU Abigail 18% 41% 30% 9% 1% -
86 ENG Gabrielle - 3% 17% 38% 31% 9% 1%
87 ZHANG Nikki 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6% -
88 GAO Anita 9% 28% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
89 CHANG Daisy Yijin 17% 40% 31% 10% 1% - -
90 PAREEK Aeshna 7% 31% 40% 18% 4% - -
90 LEE Jiyoung 2% 17% 35% 31% 13% 2% -
92 NG Agnes 17% 42% 32% 8% 1% - -
93 KANG Ellie 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
94 ONG Katherine 2% 17% 37% 32% 11% 2% -
95 HU Sophia 4% 23% 38% 26% 8% 1% -
96 PARAISO Isabella 12% 38% 36% 13% 2% - -
97 LIAO Amber 12% 38% 34% 13% 2% - -
98 DOROBANTU Emma 12% 36% 35% 14% 2% -
98 HAROYAN Lilit 63% 31% 5% - - - -
100 SHAN Meiran 61% 33% 5% - - -
101 CHANG Grace 35% 45% 18% 3% - -
102 WU Jing 27% 44% 23% 5% 1% -
103 AN Jasmine 1% 12% 33% 35% 15% 3% -
104 SINGH Zara 41% 41% 15% 2% - - -
105 AN Angel 1% 11% 31% 35% 18% 4% -
105 STERNBERG Ayleena 4% 27% 40% 23% 6% 1% -
107 KABILING Anika Von Marie 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
108 KHAN Ayesha 51% 37% 11% 2% - - -
109 MADDISON Estelle 11% 32% 36% 17% 4% - -
110 LAMTAN Trinity - 2% 14% 37% 35% 11% 1%
111 BORROK Katherine 64% 30% 5% - - - -
112 CAO Audrey 10% 31% 36% 18% 4% - -
113 FAUGHNAN Bridget 23% 47% 24% 5% - -
114 EL-NAZER Salwa 40% 42% 15% 2% - - -
115 SARBU Esme 18% 40% 31% 10% 1% - -
116 GU Allison 5% 20% 33% 27% 12% 3% -
117 OTAZU Clara 34% 44% 19% 3% - - -
118 VALTCHEV Anne 30% 41% 22% 6% 1% - -
119 GROSSMAN Ann 24% 44% 26% 6% - - -
120 SHTEYMAN Simone 10% 35% 37% 15% 3% - -
121 TSIPORUKHA Arie 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% -
122 FREY Elise 13% 35% 35% 15% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.