American Challenge RJCC/RYC

Y-14 Women's Saber

Saturday, April 18, 2026 at 3:30 PM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHAO Selena 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
2 NIU Jessica 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 39%
3 XU Elaine 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 41%
3 ZHENG Winona 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 40% 9%
5 LI Tira 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15%
6 HU Alicia 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 30%
7 PARK Haylie 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
8 CAFAGNA Sofia 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
9 SUN Yi 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 58%
10 ZHANG Wuxin 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 15%
11 REN Katherine 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
12 KIM Jodie 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7% -
13 ZHANG Audrey 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 23%
14 NANDA Maanika 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 16%
15 IORDANOVA Vela 100% 99% 85% 48% 13% 1%
16 ILICHEVA Adriana 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 13% 1%
17 HUANG Pierra 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 42%
18 DANIELS Jordanna 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 34% 8%
19 LIU Chelsea 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
20 FOSS Persephone 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 53%
21 CHAU Zoey 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 9%
22 MENON Maya 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 31% 7%
23 CHOWDHERY Myra 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 28%
24 GOEL Lineysha 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 20%
25 OSMINKINA-JONES Kai 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 75%
26 WU Harper 100% 99% 89% 60% 22% 4% -
27 LIAO Audrey 100% 96% 67% 27% 5% - -
28 LI Tiffany 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 4%
29 HILD Anya 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 9%
30 POWERS Waverly 100% 99% 87% 57% 20% 2%
31 WANG Chloe 100% 98% 87% 57% 23% 4%
32 JIANG Juliette 100% 100% 97% 79% 41% 9%
33 WANG JiaQi 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 54% 15%
34 ROMEO lia 100% 100% 94% 72% 36% 9% 1%
35 WANG MONA 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 17%
36 PARK Gabriella 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 22% 3%
37 YIN Xizi 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 8% 1%
37 YANG Selina 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 12%
39 JOHN Sophia 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 38% 7%
40 ZHANG Ashley 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 16%
41 TA-ZHOU Sophia 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
42 CANARAN Daphne M. 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 4%
43 KAYA Lara 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15% 2%
44 MULLER Inara 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 22%
45 KIM Irene 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 17% 2%
46 LEE Grace 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
47 ZHANG Shihan 100% 98% 88% 63% 31% 8% 1%
48 LAU Angela 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1%
49 VARAH Alaia 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 17% 2%
50 NEMORIN Rei 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 28%
51 AN Jamie 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 12% 1%
52 BIESIADA Sophia 100% 100% 98% 83% 46% 11%
53 PATEL Maia 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4%
54 CHEN Chloe 100% 99% 91% 68% 36% 11% 1%
55 JUILLERAT Tabea 100% 89% 56% 20% 3% -
56 MULHERN Eleanor 100% 99% 86% 52% 17% 3% -
57 LIU Teresa 100% 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1%
58 CONVERSO-PARSONS Maia 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1%
59 JUNG Elise 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% 1%
60 FANG Elena 100% 98% 80% 45% 14% 2% -
62 SVIDER Elle 100% 53% 14% 2% - - -
64 MCCARTHY Nora Louisa Abrous 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 19% 2%
65 YERENKOVA Ameliia 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 14%
66 KIM Grace 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 50% 10%
67 TIAN Ariana 100% 100% 98% 87% 52% 15% 1%
68 FAZAL Sasha 100% 100% 93% 64% 22% 3%
69 AVATAPALLI Sri Aadya 100% 90% 60% 25% 5% -
70 XU Isabella 100% 99% 91% 58% 20% 3%
71 KETT alexis 100% 98% 83% 52% 21% 5% -
72 YAP Anna 100% 91% 60% 23% 4% -
73 JIANG Yutong 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 15%
74 LEE Kaitlin 100% 99% 89% 60% 22% 3%
75 DAYNO Riley 100% 89% 54% 17% 2% - -
76 LIU Stephanie 100% 99% 89% 58% 22% 4% -
77 ONO Lisa 100% 96% 80% 48% 19% 4% -
78 MADDISON Erica 100% 91% 60% 21% 4% - -
79 MOSHAROVA Natalia 100% 87% 42% 10% 1% -
80 ZHOU Claire 100% 98% 81% 45% 15% 2% -
81 SOUTHWELL Mia 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% -
82 LIU Alyssa 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 15% 1%
83 FENG chloe 100% 98% 83% 47% 14% 2% -
84 SU JOSERINE 100% 96% 75% 40% 13% 2% -
84 WU Abigail 100% 82% 41% 11% 1% -
86 ENG Gabrielle 100% 100% 97% 79% 41% 10% 1%
87 ZHANG Nikki 100% 99% 92% 66% 30% 6% -
88 GAO Anita 100% 91% 63% 29% 8% 1% -
89 CHANG Daisy Yijin 100% 83% 43% 11% 1% - -
90 PAREEK Aeshna 100% 93% 62% 22% 4% - -
90 LEE Jiyoung 100% 98% 81% 46% 15% 2% -
92 NG Agnes 100% 83% 41% 9% 1% - -
93 KANG Ellie 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
94 ONG Katherine 100% 98% 81% 45% 13% 2% -
95 HU Sophia 100% 96% 74% 36% 10% 1% -
96 PARAISO Isabella 100% 88% 50% 15% 2% - -
97 LIAO Amber 100% 88% 50% 15% 2% - -
98 DOROBANTU Emma 100% 88% 52% 17% 3% -
98 HAROYAN Lilit 100% 37% 6% - - - -
100 SHAN Meiran 100% 39% 5% - - -
101 CHANG Grace 100% 65% 21% 3% - -
102 WU Jing 100% 73% 29% 6% 1% -
103 AN Jasmine 100% 99% 87% 53% 18% 3% -
104 SINGH Zara 100% 59% 17% 3% - - -
105 AN Angel 100% 99% 88% 57% 22% 4% -
105 STERNBERG Ayleena 100% 96% 69% 30% 7% 1% -
107 KABILING Anika Von Marie 100% 99% 92% 69% 36% 10% 1%
108 KHAN Ayesha 100% 49% 12% 2% - - -
109 MADDISON Estelle 100% 89% 57% 22% 4% - -
110 LAMTAN Trinity 100% 100% 98% 84% 47% 12% 1%
111 BORROK Katherine 100% 36% 6% - - - -
112 CAO Audrey 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% - -
113 FAUGHNAN Bridget 100% 77% 29% 5% - -
114 EL-NAZER Salwa 100% 60% 18% 3% - - -
115 SARBU Esme 100% 82% 42% 11% 1% - -
116 GU Allison 100% 95% 75% 42% 15% 3% -
117 OTAZU Clara 100% 66% 23% 4% - - -
118 VALTCHEV Anne 100% 70% 29% 7% 1% - -
119 GROSSMAN Ann 100% 76% 32% 6% - - -
120 SHTEYMAN Simone 100% 90% 55% 18% 3% - -
121 TSIPORUKHA Arie 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% -
122 FREY Elise 100% 87% 53% 18% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.