Ataba Fencing Club April Challenge

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, April 18, 2026 at 1:00 PM

Ataba Fencing Club - Hartland, WI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 SPIER Julian H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 85%
2 KANE Alexa 100% 98% 84% 48% 12%
3 D'SA Thomas 100% 88% 54% 19% 3% -
3 MCDOWELL Will 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42%
5 BERTRAND Reece 100% 97% 78% 42% 12% 1%
6 SWANSON Dave 100% 99% 90% 61% 21%
6 ZEPEDA Andres 100% 98% 83% 47% 12%
8 HONERMEIER Max 100% 89% 55% 19% 3%
9 SCHERG Caleb 100% 100% 100% 98% 75% 9%
10 MACGREGOR Grant 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 4%
11 SANFORD Wesley 100% 100% 92% 55% 8% -
12 SWENSON Diego 100% 89% 55% 18% 2%
13 SADLER August 100% 97% 71% 27% 3%
14 STEINBACH Jack 100% 98% 79% 31% 3% -
15 CHINTA Vivaan 100% 85% 43% 8% -
16 STEINEKE Warren 100% 88% 52% 17% 2%
17 LOHR-KOUGL Eadrick 100% 99% 92% 65% 26% 4%
18 ESWARAPU Anmol 100% 100% 94% 62% 15%
19 SWENSON Alexandra 100% 87% 50% 15% 2%
20 PURUSHOTHAM Neil 100% 86% 34% 5% - -
21 RITTERBUSCH Abigail 100% 74% 31% 6% 1% -
22 ALLER Bruce 100% 37% 5% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.