Renard Cup #3: Dorado

Senior Mixed Foil

Saturday, April 18, 2026 at 2:00 PM

Renard Fencing Academy - Indianapolis, IN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 SMITH Erick 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 70%
2 XIE Ethan 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
3 CARDENAS Nathan A. 100% 100% 91% 59% 16%
3 GU Jonathan 100% 82% 42% 11% 1% -
5 KOZINSKI Allison E. 100% 98% 81% 43% 10%
6 DEPP Edward 100% 100% 99% 87% 35% 3%
7 MCERLEAN Liam 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 10%
8 CARELLI Nathaniel 100% 98% 77% 36% 6%
9 BERNWANGER Phillip 100% 100% 100% 94% 60% 10%
10 TRAYLOR David 100% 97% 67% 16% 1% -
11 REDEMANN Reagan 100% 99% 89% 55% 16% 2%
12 FRASER Alistair 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% -
13 REDEMANN Shawn 100% 99% 83% 44% 10%
14 YOUNG Rihyan 100% 20% 1% - - -
15 ALTENHOF Nathaniel 100% 42% 8% 1% -
16 JACKSON Christopher 100% 97% 41% 4% - -
17 OKEEFE Gabriel 100% 99% 86% 48% 14% 2%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.