CFFA Stab-a-thon

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, April 18, 2026 at 12:30 PM

CFFA - Tileston Gym at St. Mary - Wilmington, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 CLICK Tristan 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 64%
2 CLICK Aiden 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93%
3 HAN Sam 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
3 MALONE Jacob 100% 100% 94% 71% 30% 4%
5 UNZHAKOV Konstantin 100% 99% 91% 58% 16%
6 DILDA Griffin 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 8%
7 CUTHBERTSON Dax 100% 98% 83% 43% 9% -
8 VERGARA Jace Riley 100% 97% 81% 43% 11% 1%
9 URIA Sullivan 100% 99% 88% 48% 10% -
10 PERI Mourya 100% 99% 68% 22% 2%
11 FACEY Zion 100% 99% 82% 43% 12% 1%
12 WIMMER Steven 100% 41% 6% < 1% - -
13 JONES Jackson 100% 100% 95% 73% 29%
14 THOMAS Jr. Robert D. 100% 100% 98% 85% 44% 2%
15 GADOW Patrick 100% 98% 87% 54% 18% 2%
16 PRABHU Srinish 100% 67% 24% 4% - -
17 HOWARD Jack 100% 87% 52% 17% 2%
18 SINGH Shaurya 100% 88% 51% 15% 2% -
19 TAURMAN Jr. Patrick J. 100% 99% 56% 14% 1% -
20 O'DEA Ryan 100% 100% 92% 58% 18% 2%
21 TAYLOR Reed 100% 98% 80% 38% 8% 1%
22 JULIEN Erica 100% 70% 17% 1% -
23 HARRIS Lynn B. 100% 25% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.