CFFA Stab-a-thon

Div III Mixed Épée

Saturday, April 18, 2026 at 3:30 PM

CFFA - Tileston Gym at St. Mary - Wilmington, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 O'DEA Ryan - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
2 RUSSELL Tallis - 3% 14% 34% 36% 13%
3 SINGH Shaurya 2% 16% 39% 32% 11% 1%
3 URIA Sullivan - - 3% 23% 54% 20%
5 GADOW Patrick - 2% 13% 34% 38% 13%
6 TAURMAN Jr. Patrick J. - 3% 34% 42% 18% 3%
7 SANFORD Kenyatta L. 1% 12% 38% 36% 12% 1%
8 THOMAS Jr. Robert D. - - 2% 14% 43% 41%
9 SMITH Herman E. - - 5% 22% 43% 30%
10 WIMMER Steven 6% 28% 42% 21% 3% -
11 WIMMER Daniel 18% 41% 30% 10% 1% -
12 WAGNER Lindsey 7% 27% 38% 22% 5% -
13 JULIEN Erica 22% 50% 24% 3% - -
14 VERGARA Jayson 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2%
15 TAYLOR Reed 4% 27% 41% 23% 4% -
16 HARRIS Lynn B. 53% 37% 9% 1% - -
17 WILSON Carl 3% 19% 39% 29% 9% 1%
18 FERNANDES Isabella 17% 41% 32% 9% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.