CFFA Stab-a-thon

Div III Mixed Épée

Saturday, April 18, 2026 at 3:30 PM

CFFA - Tileston Gym at St. Mary - Wilmington, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 O'DEA Ryan 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
2 RUSSELL Tallis 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
3 SINGH Shaurya 100% 98% 82% 44% 12% 1%
3 URIA Sullivan 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 20%
5 GADOW Patrick 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 13%
6 TAURMAN Jr. Patrick J. 100% 100% 97% 62% 20% 3%
7 SANFORD Kenyatta L. 100% 99% 87% 49% 13% 1%
8 THOMAS Jr. Robert D. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 41%
9 SMITH Herman E. 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 30%
10 WIMMER Steven 100% 94% 66% 25% 3% -
11 WIMMER Daniel 100% 82% 41% 11% 1% -
12 WAGNER Lindsey 100% 93% 66% 28% 6% -
13 JULIEN Erica 100% 78% 27% 4% - -
14 VERGARA Jayson 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2%
15 TAYLOR Reed 100% 96% 68% 27% 5% -
16 HARRIS Lynn B. 100% 47% 10% 1% - -
17 WILSON Carl 100% 97% 79% 40% 10% 1%
18 FERNANDES Isabella 100% 83% 42% 10% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.