California State High School Fencing Championships

High School Men's Epee

Sunday, April 19, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Chaminade High School - Chatsworth, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BERTEL Florian 100% 99% 90% 61% 23% 2%
2 KIM Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
3 SCHWARTZMAN Ethan 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 8%
3 WANG Dylan 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9%
5 GUO Woody 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
6 KIM Remington 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
7 CHARETTE Alex 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6%
8 BAKER Livingston Xander 100% 94% 72% 37% 11% 1%
9 WOO Lucas 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 8%
10 CHEONG Cameron 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 8%
11 BECK Eli 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 36% 7%
12 ROBINSON Dax 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 22% 3%
13 KIM Tristan 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 18% 2%
14 MAXU Tiger 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
15 CHIEN Ian 100% 91% 61% 23% 4% -
16 O’CONNOR Nathan (Finn) 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 23% 3%
17 SHETTY Rohit 100% 98% 86% 54% 20% 3%
18 GONZALEZ Elias 100% 87% 50% 16% 3% -
19 LIU Nelsun 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
20 SCHERZAY Ian 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
20 ISAACS Atticus 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1%
22 SHAPIRO Benjamin 100% 74% 31% 7% 1% -
23 BENITEZ Kevin 100% 94% 71% 36% 10% 1%
24 YANG Matthew 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 29%
25 BISSADA Matthew 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
26 RIVERA Fernando 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% -
27 YOUNG Luke 100% 96% 78% 42% 12% 1%
28 AUYEUNG Aedan Ho lam 100% 99% 86% 50% 17% 3% -
29 HORTON Grayson 100% 89% 54% 18% 3% - -
30 BANGAYAN Anthony 100% 98% 84% 48% 15% 2%
31 JUANG Maximiliano 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% -
32 ARNALL Laszlo 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% -
33 ARIAS CALIX Franklin 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
34 CHANDAK Karan 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 5%
35 CRYSTAL Cole 100% 67% 22% 4% - - -
36 SERAPIO Jose 100% 75% 34% 9% 1% -
37 SCHACTER Matthew 100% 78% 33% 7% 1% - -
38 MALLMAN Calvin 100% 83% 41% 10% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.