California State High School Fencing Championships

High School Women's Epee

Sunday, April 19, 2026 at 1:00 PM

Chaminade High School - Chatsworth, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MANDAP Alessandra 100% 100% 98% 85% 48% 9%
2 KANE Chloe 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 6%
3 HERD Angela 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
3 BLAETZ Isadora 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 22%
5 SHERMAN Olivia 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
6 CHEONG Chloe 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
7 LAY Apollonia 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 26%
8 BERENJI Ava 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% -
9 KENNEDY Skyler 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% -
10 XING Celeste 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
11 LUCENA Yaretzi 100% 79% 36% 8% 1% -
12 RIVERA Natalia 100% 100% 94% 73% 34% 7%
13 PAK Ella 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% -
14 UEMURA Lyllia 100% 95% 71% 34% 8% 1%
15 OGLESBY-HALL Quinn 100% 79% 38% 11% 2% - -
16 STEMPEL Taylor 100% 97% 76% 36% 8% 1%
17 KIM Audrey 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 7% 1%
18 TICK Sidonie 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
19 BARDAKOS Katherine 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1%
20 KHATCHADOURIAN Jacqueline 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 19%
21 REYES QUEVEDO Carolina 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% 1%
22 TEDFORD Bridget 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
23 NOHAILE Maeve 100% 94% 68% 31% 7% 1%
24 MONTIEL BARRERA Celine 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% -
25 GOLDBERG Amelia 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
26 PERLAS Twila 100% 99% 88% 58% 21% 3%
27 LU Luna 100% 76% 33% 7% 1% -
28 SALAZAR Alanis 100% 99% 89% 59% 21% 3%
29 ROMERO Ariana 100% 98% 84% 48% 15% 2% -
30 GRACE Riley 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
31 ESPINOZA Miya 100% 91% 58% 21% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.