American Challenge RJCC/RYC

Junior Women's Foil

Sunday, April 19, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LEE Lavender 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 79%
2 WANG YiXi 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
3 YANG Iris 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
3 FENG Grace 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 92% 55%
5 ROZPEDOWSKI Claire 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 33%
6 KOPYLTSOVA Elizaveta 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 25%
7 WANG Dina C. 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 33% 3%
8 DAI Zizhuo (Zizi) 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 15%
9 TANG Melody Fujiao 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
10 WANG Joanna 100% 100% 97% 79% 41% 9%
11 ORVANANOS Anice 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 67%
11 TSIMIKLIS Aphrodite 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
13 AL-BATTAINEH Eva 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 9%
14 JIANG Chloe 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 23% 4%
15 XIE Su 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50% 9%
16 ORBE-AUSTIN Nia 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 8% -
17 LI Han (Helina) 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 32%
18 LIU Angel(Daying) 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 18%
19 CHEN Renee 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 75%
20 PEVZNER Nicole 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 17%
21 JOO Natalie 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 37%
21 KRAHE Annika 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 31% 6%
23 LIU Qianchen E. 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 6%
24 YU Jane 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24% 2%
25 KIM Claire 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 12%
26 BING Charlotte 100% 100% 100% 97% 73% 17%
27 FENG Audrey 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 26%
28 ORRINGER Lottie 100% 100% 98% 82% 42% 10% 1%
29 CAO Amelie 100% 100% 99% 86% 49% 13% 1%
30 SHENG Katherine 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 17%
31 ZELDIN Nadia 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 40% 6%
32 MURPHY Genevieve 100% 99% 86% 45% 8% -
33 WANG Amabel 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 54% 7%
34 SHIN Elizabeth 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2%
35 MCFARLANE Asha 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 5%
36 LI Christina 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5% -
37 HARRIS Parker 100% 100% 98% 83% 44% 10% 1%
38 DIMATULAC Elise Ann 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 32% 6%
39 KAPRAN Anastasia 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 26% 4%
41 REZA Fukaina 100% 99% 91% 55% 15% 2% -
41 SUN Erin 100% 71% 28% 6% 1% - -
41 STEWART Isla 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% - -
44 SHA Yi Ling 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19%
45 ZHANG Vivian 100% 100% 99% 92% 60% 20% 3%
46 FIELD Elizabeth 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 24% 3%
47 HUSSIAN Annabelle 100% 99% 89% 55% 16% 2% -
48 SHIM Grace J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 29%
49 LI Joy 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 13% 1%
50 KUANG Bella 100% 98% 54% 13% 1% - -
51 DONG Iris 100% 98% 79% 38% 8% 1% -
52 HUANG Sophie 100% 93% 53% 16% 2% -
53 HOLLIS Priscillia 100% 77% 32% 5% - - -
54 GUAN Adeline 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 46% 7%
55 BERTOLINI Mia 100% 99% 90% 52% 13% 1% -
56 SHMAY Anastasia 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 21% 3%
57 LI Savannah 100% 100% 93% 67% 29% 6% -
58 IWERSEN Marte 100% 86% 48% 14% 2% - -
59 WEN Cynthia 100% 91% 45% 9% 1% -
60 ZHU Ella 100% 97% 77% 35% 8% 1% -
61 LI Katerina 100% 99% 89% 56% 19% 3%
62 LI Junhan 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 1% -
63 ZHANG Priscilla 100% 89% 49% 11% 1% - -
64 LAVINE Samantha 100% 92% 61% 24% 5% - -
65 SFINTESCU Emma 100% 100% 87% 53% 18% 3% -
66 SON Ayoung 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2% -
67 PHAN Logan 100% 93% 61% 20% 3% - -
68 DE CASTRO Kai 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 7% -
69 BADLANI Diya 100% 99% 83% 39% 6% -
70 FEDER Acadia 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% - -
71 POWLEDGE Cora 100% 98% 83% 49% 15% 2% -
72 PRINZ-STRATEMAN Matilda 100% 57% 15% 2% - - -
73 LIN Katherine 100% 98% 80% 36% 8% 1% -
74 BASILE Gianna 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 7% -
75 CAVANAGH Emma 100% 57% 14% 1% - - -
76 GOMEZ Sofia 100% 34% 4% - - -
77 LAZAR Carolina 100% 100% 83% 39% 8% 1% -
78 MANGLANI Maya 100% 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% -
79 LEO Jenna 100% 89% 41% 8% 1% - -
80 WU Maggie Lei 100% 94% 70% 32% 7% 1% -
81 FIELD Julianna 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44% 9%
82 LIU Caydence 100% 89% 56% 20% 3% - -
83 HAFEZ Sahar 100% 83% 38% 7% - - -
84 UHRICH Reese 100% 83% 38% 8% 1% - -
85 BAULIN Zoya 100% 81% 42% 11% 1% - -
86 SNYDERS Evelyn 100% 92% 63% 26% 5% - -
87 CULLEN Alyssa 100% 66% 20% 2% - - -
88 MA Emily(Yiming) 100% 86% 48% 15% 2% - -
89 LENZ Phoebe 100% 47% 8% - - - -
90 ZINITI-LAU Elena 100% 82% 35% 7% 1% - -
91 LIU Yinuo 100% 97% 79% 42% 12% 1% -
92 ALBRECHT-SMITH Anne 100% 78% 25% 3% - - -
93 PEVZNER Sophia 100% 30% 3% - - -
94 SOROUR Amira 100% 34% 4% - - - -
95 ZHANG Caroline 100% 71% 25% 4% - - -
96 OTTERMAN Jenna 100% 6% - - - - -
97 KUI Ava 100% 3% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.