American Challenge RJCC/RYC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Sunday, April 19, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LU Hanwen - - 2% 13% 42% 44%
2 HUA George (Hanxun) - - - 3% 17% 41% 39%
3 MOGUNOV Alan - - - 4% 17% 40% 39%
3 MOTOV Max - 4% 23% 42% 27% 4%
5 LEVY Daniel - - - - 5% 30% 65%
6 ZHANG Weihang - - 2% 10% 30% 40% 18%
7 PARK Layne - 1% 6% 28% 47% 18%
8 ZHANG Howard - - 3% 14% 32% 35% 15%
9 NARAYAN Rishi - - 3% 18% 44% 34%
10 PARK Sean - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
11 HAHN EVER - - 3% 16% 41% 39%
12 ALUF William - - 1% 12% 39% 48%
13 LLOYD Max - 1% 4% 16% 33% 34% 13%
14 HENDERSON Louis - - - 2% 14% 41% 43%
15 CHEN Luca - - 1% 6% 26% 45% 22%
16 ISAYENKO Daniel - - 1% 9% 37% 52%
17 HU Simon - - - 3% 18% 45% 34%
18 LEE Shane Gunn - 1% 6% 24% 39% 26% 5%
18 KIM Junseong - 1% 7% 35% 48% 10%
20 LIU Jeremy - - 4% 18% 34% 32% 11%
21 ZHIVICH Gabriel 9% 32% 38% 18% 3% -
22 TO Aiden - 4% 19% 40% 31% 7%
23 KIM Gwanhee - 1% 8% 26% 39% 23% 3%
25 TAK Sion 6% 33% 37% 18% 5% 1% -
26 BURCH III Andrew J. - 2% 10% 28% 36% 21% 4%
27 PETROSYAN Aleksander 2% 12% 28% 32% 19% 5% 1%
28 CHEN Ryan - 1% 9% 30% 42% 17%
29 WANG Harrison 2% 15% 37% 34% 12% 1%
30 BASU MALLICK Sannibh - 3% 17% 36% 32% 11% 1%
31 SUH Ethan - 4% 22% 41% 28% 5%
32 TAK Kion 1% 7% 24% 38% 25% 5%
34 LEIGH Anthony 6% 27% 38% 23% 6% -
35 MARTIRE Francis - 4% 20% 39% 30% 7%
36 SOLEJ Miles - 2% 11% 33% 40% 14%
37 LI Jaylen William - 5% 21% 35% 27% 9% 1%
38 HEILMANN Christian - 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 4%
39 HEILMANN Caleb - 3% 15% 32% 33% 16% 3%
40 HUANG Lucas 13% 33% 33% 17% 4% 1% -
41 LI FangKe 5% 23% 38% 27% 8% 1%
42 KNOBEL Benjamin 1% 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
43 BORNHOLZ Lawrence 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
44 CIECIEREGA MATTHEW - - 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
45 ZHANG Mark - 5% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1%
46 BLACK Bennett 3% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1%
47 SABINO Bennett - 3% 15% 32% 33% 14% 2%
47 BROOKS Grant 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 11% 1%
49 LEE Augustine - 2% 13% 33% 36% 15% 1%
50 DIORIO James 5% 25% 39% 24% 6% -
51 VINCENT Yian - 4% 17% 35% 31% 11% 1%
52 WANG Russell - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 22%
53 HUANG KIMBALL 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1% -
54 THEETHIRA Kevin-Cariappa 2% 19% 37% 29% 11% 2% -
55 CONSTANTINE Leonidas 1% 11% 30% 36% 19% 3%
56 KIM Colin 1% 6% 24% 40% 26% 5%
57 LEVY Rafa 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
58 LEE Aiden 1% 9% 34% 38% 16% 2%
59 YU Dylan 2% 10% 26% 33% 21% 7% 1%
60 TERNG Peter 15% 39% 34% 11% 2% -
61 ILICHEV Timur - 7% 26% 40% 23% 4%
64 KATZ Isaac 2% 16% 37% 32% 12% 2% -
65 MULCAHEY Kieran 5% 23% 38% 26% 7% 1% -
67 DENSEN Leo 3% 18% 37% 31% 10% 1%
68 BORROK Andrew 8% 29% 38% 20% 4% -
69 JOHN Christian 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 1%
70 ZHANG Leon - 3% 15% 32% 32% 16% 3%
71 IP Ethan 60% 33% 7% 1% - - -
72 KULJIEV Boyan 7% 28% 37% 22% 5% 1% -
73 LEE Marcus 3% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
74 CHATTAWAY Nicholas 9% 32% 37% 18% 3% -
75 BARAKH Adam - 4% 20% 37% 29% 9% 1%
76 CENEDELLA Izaac 23% 45% 25% 6% 1% - -
77 DOBRYNCHUK Nazarii - 2% 12% 32% 37% 15% 2%
78 RUBINSHTEYN Leib 2% 12% 29% 32% 19% 5% 1%
79 OLSON Prescott 51% 40% 9% 1% - -
80 ROBLES Rafael 12% 40% 34% 11% 2% -
81 LI Felix 16% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
82 LIUZHANG Ben 2% 10% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
82 URTUBI Sebastian - 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 1%
84 BOROFF Gideon 29% 44% 21% 4% - - -
85 XIAO August 29% 43% 23% 5% - -
86 HO Alexander 34% 42% 19% 4% - -
86 TIAN Michael 8% 31% 39% 19% 4% -
88 VITALE NIKO 24% 44% 26% 6% 1% -
89 SWAMIDOSS Andrew 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1%
90 JIANG Elvin 6% 27% 40% 23% 5% -
91 FERNAINE Thomas 5% 22% 34% 26% 11% 2% -
92 GONG Harrison - 2% 13% 36% 37% 11%
93 PAN William 31% 43% 21% 5% 1% - -
94 FUNG Emerson 18% 48% 27% 6% 1% -
95 KISHORE Rishaan 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
96 FIGUS Fabio 6% 35% 39% 17% 3% - -
96 COBEY James 54% 36% 9% 1% - - -
98 BELTRAN-PRATS Enzo 2% 13% 35% 34% 14% 2% -
98 TSE Cooper 63% 31% 5% - - - -
101 XU Jayden 29% 43% 23% 5% - -
101 MALM Gabriel 17% 41% 30% 10% 2% - -
101 LEE Lucas 31% 44% 21% 4% - -
104 POLITO Anthony 47% 40% 12% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.