American Challenge RJCC/RYC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Sunday, April 19, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LU Hanwen 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 44%
2 HUA George (Hanxun) 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 39%
3 MOGUNOV Alan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 39%
3 MOTOV Max 100% 100% 96% 73% 31% 4%
5 LEVY Daniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
6 ZHANG Weihang 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 18%
7 PARK Layne 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 18%
8 ZHANG Howard 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 15%
9 NARAYAN Rishi 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 34%
10 PARK Sean 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
11 HAHN EVER 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39%
12 ALUF William 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 48%
13 LLOYD Max 100% 100% 99% 95% 80% 47% 13%
14 HENDERSON Louis 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
15 CHEN Luca 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 22%
16 ISAYENKO Daniel 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 52%
17 HU Simon 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 34%
18 LEE Shane Gunn 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 31% 5%
18 KIM Junseong 100% 100% 99% 92% 58% 10%
20 LIU Jeremy 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 11%
21 ZHIVICH Gabriel 100% 91% 59% 21% 3% -
22 TO Aiden 100% 100% 96% 77% 37% 7%
23 KIM Gwanhee 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 26% 3%
25 TAK Sion 100% 94% 61% 24% 5% 1% -
26 BURCH III Andrew J. 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 25% 4%
27 PETROSYAN Aleksander 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 6% 1%
28 CHEN Ryan 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 17%
29 WANG Harrison 100% 98% 84% 47% 13% 1%
30 BASU MALLICK Sannibh 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 12% 1%
31 SUH Ethan 100% 100% 96% 75% 33% 5%
32 TAK Kion 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 5%
34 LEIGH Anthony 100% 94% 67% 29% 6% -
35 MARTIRE Francis 100% 100% 95% 76% 37% 7%
36 SOLEJ Miles 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 14%
37 LI Jaylen William 100% 100% 94% 73% 38% 11% 1%
38 HEILMANN Christian 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 4%
39 HEILMANN Caleb 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 3%
40 HUANG Lucas 100% 87% 55% 22% 5% 1% -
41 LI FangKe 100% 95% 73% 35% 8% 1%
42 KNOBEL Benjamin 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 8% 1%
43 BORNHOLZ Lawrence 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
44 CIECIEREGA MATTHEW 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 10%
45 ZHANG Mark 100% 100% 94% 74% 38% 11% 1%
46 BLACK Bennett 100% 97% 78% 42% 12% 1%
47 SABINO Bennett 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 2%
47 BROOKS Grant 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 1%
49 LEE Augustine 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 16% 1%
50 DIORIO James 100% 95% 70% 31% 6% -
51 VINCENT Yian 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 13% 1%
52 WANG Russell 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
53 HUANG KIMBALL 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1% -
54 THEETHIRA Kevin-Cariappa 100% 98% 79% 42% 13% 2% -
55 CONSTANTINE Leonidas 100% 99% 88% 58% 21% 3%
56 KIM Colin 100% 99% 94% 70% 30% 5%
57 LEVY Rafa 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
58 LEE Aiden 100% 99% 90% 56% 17% 2%
59 YU Dylan 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 7% 1%
60 TERNG Peter 100% 85% 47% 13% 2% -
61 ILICHEV Timur 100% 100% 93% 66% 26% 4%
64 KATZ Isaac 100% 98% 82% 45% 14% 2% -
65 MULCAHEY Kieran 100% 95% 71% 34% 8% 1% -
67 DENSEN Leo 100% 97% 79% 42% 11% 1%
68 BORROK Andrew 100% 92% 63% 25% 4% -
69 JOHN Christian 100% 99% 93% 74% 41% 13% 1%
70 ZHANG Leon 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 19% 3%
71 IP Ethan 100% 40% 7% 1% - - -
72 KULJIEV Boyan 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% 1% -
73 LEE Marcus 100% 97% 75% 38% 11% 1% -
74 CHATTAWAY Nicholas 100% 91% 58% 21% 4% -
75 BARAKH Adam 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 10% 1%
76 CENEDELLA Izaac 100% 77% 32% 7% 1% - -
77 DOBRYNCHUK Nazarii 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 16% 2%
78 RUBINSHTEYN Leib 100% 98% 86% 57% 25% 6% 1%
79 OLSON Prescott 100% 49% 9% 1% - -
80 ROBLES Rafael 100% 88% 47% 13% 2% -
81 LI Felix 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% - -
82 LIUZHANG Ben 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
82 URTUBI Sebastian 100% 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 1%
84 BOROFF Gideon 100% 71% 26% 5% - - -
85 XIAO August 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% -
86 HO Alexander 100% 66% 24% 5% - -
86 TIAN Michael 100% 92% 62% 23% 4% -
88 VITALE NIKO 100% 76% 33% 6% 1% -
89 SWAMIDOSS Andrew 100% 95% 71% 33% 7% 1%
90 JIANG Elvin 100% 94% 67% 27% 5% -
91 FERNAINE Thomas 100% 95% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
92 GONG Harrison 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 11%
93 PAN William 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% - -
94 FUNG Emerson 100% 82% 34% 6% 1% -
95 KISHORE Rishaan 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
96 FIGUS Fabio 100% 94% 59% 21% 4% - -
96 COBEY James 100% 46% 10% 1% - - -
98 BELTRAN-PRATS Enzo 100% 98% 86% 50% 16% 2% -
98 TSE Cooper 100% 37% 6% - - - -
101 XU Jayden 100% 71% 28% 5% - -
101 MALM Gabriel 100% 83% 42% 12% 2% - -
101 LEE Lucas 100% 69% 25% 4% - -
104 POLITO Anthony 100% 53% 13% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.