American Challenge RJCC/RYC

Cadet Women's Saber

Sunday, April 19, 2026 at 12:30 PM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MACKAY Katherine - - - 1% 11% 42% 47%
2 JOHN Sophia - 1% 6% 21% 38% 29% 6%
3 IANNUZZI Lucy - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 32%
3 KWON Ava - 4% 18% 36% 31% 9%
5 LEE Alyson - - - 1% 11% 39% 49%
6 DAMBAL Sasha - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 31%
7 WANG JiaQi - 1% 9% 29% 39% 20% 3%
8 CHAU Zoey - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
9 HUANG Pierra - - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
10 GUGALA Hanna - - - - 3% 26% 71%
11 NIU Jessica - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
12 OSMINKINA-JONES Kai - - - 5% 29% 48% 18%
13 LIU Chelsea - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
14 KANG Soeun - - 3% 17% 38% 36% 6%
15 KATZ Emma - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
16 FOSS Persephone - - 1% 8% 26% 40% 24%
17 HU Alicia - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
18 ZHANG Nikki 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% < 1%
19 ZHANG Audrey 2% 12% 29% 33% 18% 5% < 1%
20 GOEL Lineysha - 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
21 DEMRY Kylee 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
22 ZHANG Wuxin - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
22 LI Tira - 1% 6% 21% 37% 29% 7%
24 XU Elaine - 1% 7% 26% 41% 25%
25 DUTA Lyra - - 5% 21% 38% 28% 7%
26 DANIELS Jordanna 1% 5% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
27 WANG MONA - 1% 7% 25% 39% 24% 4%
28 LI Tiffany - 2% 17% 37% 31% 11% 2%
29 CAFAGNA Sofia - 1% 7% 24% 39% 25% 4%
30 PATEL Maia - 4% 19% 37% 30% 10% 1%
31 UZAR Julianna 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% 1%
32 TIAN Ariana 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
33 CHOWDHERY Myra - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
34 CHANG Norah - - - 1% 9% 36% 54%
35 SUN Yi - - - 4% 20% 42% 34%
36 BORGUETA Madison - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 16%
37 KAYA Lara - 4% 25% 39% 24% 7% 1%
38 JIANG Yutong - 2% 15% 35% 34% 13% 1%
39 ZONG Eliane 2% 15% 33% 33% 15% 2%
40 PARK Haylie - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 7%
41 LI Yuluo - - 4% 19% 37% 31% 9%
42 WONG Charlene - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
43 CHEN Chloe 5% 20% 33% 27% 12% 3% -
44 ZHENG Winona - 1% 8% 25% 38% 24% 4%
45 TASSONE Charlie 1% 10% 27% 35% 21% 6% 1%
46 VATS Ishita - 1% 7% 21% 34% 28% 9%
47 MCCARTHY Nora Louisa Abrous 1% 10% 32% 40% 16% 2% -
48 MULLER Inara - 1% 5% 17% 33% 32% 12%
49 ZHOU Claire 5% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1% -
50 NEMORIN Rei - 1% 4% 15% 32% 34% 15%
51 SEO Kaitlyn - 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4%
52 MOTOVA Masha 1% 7% 24% 37% 26% 7% -
53 FAZAL Sasha 7% 25% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
54 LAFFY Lily - 2% 9% 25% 34% 24% 6%
55 SHI Chuqing 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
56 KIM Grace - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
57 WANG Chloe 2% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
58 ILAGAN Ava - 2% 12% 29% 35% 18% 3%
59 HILD Anya - 2% 10% 27% 36% 22% 4%
60 YANG Selina - 4% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2%
61 NG Sophia - - 1% 9% 29% 40% 20%
62 CANARAN Daphne M. 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 1%
63 VALTCHEV Anne 14% 55% 26% 5% - - -
64 BERRIOS Catalina < 1% 2% 11% 28% 35% 19% 4%
65 YOUNG Charlotte G. - - - 1% 10% 37% 52%
66 IORDANOVA Vela 3% 17% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
67 TA-ZHOU Sophia - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
68 LEE Grace - 2% 13% 30% 34% 17% 3%
69 LEE Kaitlin 1% 7% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1%
69 WU Harper 3% 19% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
71 HUANG Zoe 2% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
72 KIM Jodie 5% 26% 41% 23% 4% - -
73 AN Jamie 1% 12% 32% 35% 17% 3% -
74 LIU Stephanie 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2% -
75 YIN Xizi 4% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
76 LEON Malolae 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
77 VARAH Alaia 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
78 LAU Angela 2% 17% 36% 31% 12% 2% -
79 HU Sophia 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
80 SU JOSERINE 7% 32% 37% 19% 5% 1% -
81 ZHANG Ashley - - 5% 23% 44% 24% 4%
81 ZHANG Emily 5% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
83 MADDISON Erica 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
84 LIAO Audrey 17% 40% 31% 10% 1% - -
85 BUCCINO Sloane 27% 48% 21% 4% - - -
86 MADDISON Estelle 23% 43% 26% 7% 1% - -
87 HO Sophia - 1% 9% 28% 38% 21% 3%
88 MUNSHI Ridhima 6% 24% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
89 KIM Irene 2% 14% 36% 33% 13% 2% -
90 FANG Elena 15% 35% 32% 15% 4% - -
91 CHEN Victoria 3% 18% 35% 30% 11% 2%
92 LIU Alyssa 29% 42% 23% 6% 1% -
93 ONO Lisa 5% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1% -
94 KANG Ellie 27% 45% 23% 5% - - -
95 DOROBANTU Emma 12% 31% 33% 18% 5% 1% -
96 GU Allison 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% - -
97 CONVERSO-PARSONS Maia 4% 19% 33% 29% 12% 3% -
97 LEE Jiyoung 18% 40% 30% 10% 2% - -
99 JIANG Juliette 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
100 DILALLO Olivia 21% 44% 28% 7% 1% - -
101 LIU Sophia 1% 10% 30% 36% 19% 4% -
102 AN Angel 32% 45% 20% 4% - - -
103 GONZALEZ Alexis 37% 42% 17% 3% - - -
104 LIU Teresa 7% 30% 37% 20% 5% 1% -
105 HAROYAN Lilit 69% 28% 3% - - - -
106 PARAISO Isabella 33% 42% 20% 5% 1% - -
107 BIESIADA Sophia 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
107 DATLA Aanya 22% 42% 27% 8% 1% - -
109 AWASTHI Tisha 47% 39% 12% 2% - - -
110 LIAO Amber 52% 37% 10% 1% - - -
111 MARGULIS Roxana 22% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.