American Challenge RJCC/RYC

Cadet Women's Saber

Sunday, April 19, 2026 at 12:30 PM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MACKAY Katherine 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 47%
2 JOHN Sophia 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 34% 6%
3 IANNUZZI Lucy 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 32%
3 KWON Ava 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 9%
5 LEE Alyson 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
6 DAMBAL Sasha 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
7 WANG JiaQi 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 23% 3%
8 CHAU Zoey 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
9 HUANG Pierra 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
10 GUGALA Hanna 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 71%
11 NIU Jessica 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 14%
12 OSMINKINA-JONES Kai 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 66% 18%
13 LIU Chelsea 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 9%
14 KANG Soeun 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 42% 6%
15 KATZ Emma 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
16 FOSS Persephone 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 64% 24%
17 HU Alicia 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
18 ZHANG Nikki 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 4% < 1%
19 ZHANG Audrey 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% < 1%
20 GOEL Lineysha 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
21 DEMRY Kylee 100% 97% 82% 49% 18% 3% -
22 ZHANG Wuxin 100% 100% 95% 80% 49% 18% 3%
22 LI Tira 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 36% 7%
24 XU Elaine 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
25 DUTA Lyra 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 36% 7%
26 DANIELS Jordanna 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
27 WANG MONA 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 28% 4%
28 LI Tiffany 100% 100% 98% 80% 44% 13% 2%
29 CAFAGNA Sofia 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 29% 4%
30 PATEL Maia 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 10% 1%
31 UZAR Julianna 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 6% 1%
32 TIAN Ariana 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
33 CHOWDHERY Myra 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16%
34 CHANG Norah 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
35 SUN Yi 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 34%
36 BORGUETA Madison 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
37 KAYA Lara 100% 100% 96% 71% 32% 7% 1%
38 JIANG Yutong 100% 100% 98% 83% 48% 14% 1%
39 ZONG Eliane 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 2%
40 PARK Haylie 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 7%
41 LI Yuluo 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 9%
42 WONG Charlene 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 3%
43 CHEN Chloe 100% 95% 76% 43% 16% 3% -
44 ZHENG Winona 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 28% 4%
45 TASSONE Charlie 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 6% 1%
46 VATS Ishita 100% 100% 99% 92% 72% 37% 9%
47 MCCARTHY Nora Louisa Abrous 100% 99% 89% 58% 18% 2% -
48 MULLER Inara 100% 100% 99% 94% 77% 44% 12%
49 ZHOU Claire 100% 95% 70% 32% 8% 1% -
50 NEMORIN Rei 100% 100% 99% 96% 81% 49% 15%
51 SEO Kaitlyn 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4%
52 MOTOVA Masha 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 7% -
53 FAZAL Sasha 100% 93% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
54 LAFFY Lily 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 30% 6%
55 SHI Chuqing 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 4% -
56 KIM Grace 100% 100% 96% 77% 44% 14% 2%
57 WANG Chloe 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 8% 1%
58 ILAGAN Ava 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 3%
59 HILD Anya 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 26% 4%
60 YANG Selina 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 14% 2%
61 NG Sophia 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 20%
62 CANARAN Daphne M. 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 11% 1%
63 VALTCHEV Anne 100% 86% 31% 5% - - -
64 BERRIOS Catalina 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
65 YOUNG Charlotte G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
66 IORDANOVA Vela 100% 97% 80% 45% 15% 2% -
67 TA-ZHOU Sophia 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
68 LEE Grace 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 20% 3%
69 LEE Kaitlin 100% 99% 93% 69% 34% 9% 1%
69 WU Harper 100% 97% 78% 41% 13% 2% -
71 HUANG Zoe 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
72 KIM Jodie 100% 95% 69% 28% 5% - -
73 AN Jamie 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 3% -
74 LIU Stephanie 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2% -
75 YIN Xizi 100% 96% 75% 39% 12% 2% -
76 LEON Malolae 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
77 VARAH Alaia 100% 94% 70% 32% 8% 1%
78 LAU Angela 100% 98% 81% 45% 13% 2% -
79 HU Sophia 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
80 SU JOSERINE 100% 93% 61% 24% 5% 1% -
81 ZHANG Ashley 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 28% 4%
81 ZHANG Emily 100% 95% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
83 MADDISON Erica 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -
84 LIAO Audrey 100% 83% 43% 12% 2% - -
85 BUCCINO Sloane 100% 73% 25% 4% - - -
86 MADDISON Estelle 100% 77% 34% 8% 1% - -
87 HO Sophia 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 3%
88 MUNSHI Ridhima 100% 94% 70% 36% 11% 2% -
89 KIM Irene 100% 98% 85% 49% 16% 2% -
90 FANG Elena 100% 85% 50% 19% 4% - -
91 CHEN Victoria 100% 97% 78% 43% 13% 2%
92 LIU Alyssa 100% 71% 30% 7% 1% -
93 ONO Lisa 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
94 KANG Ellie 100% 73% 28% 5% - - -
95 DOROBANTU Emma 100% 88% 57% 24% 6% 1% -
96 GU Allison 100% 91% 62% 25% 5% - -
97 CONVERSO-PARSONS Maia 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 3% -
97 LEE Jiyoung 100% 82% 43% 12% 2% - -
99 JIANG Juliette 100% 86% 51% 18% 4% - -
100 DILALLO Olivia 100% 79% 35% 7% 1% - -
101 LIU Sophia 100% 99% 89% 59% 23% 5% -
102 AN Angel 100% 68% 23% 4% - - -
103 GONZALEZ Alexis 100% 63% 21% 4% - - -
104 LIU Teresa 100% 93% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
105 HAROYAN Lilit 100% 31% 3% - - - -
106 PARAISO Isabella 100% 67% 25% 5% 1% - -
107 BIESIADA Sophia 100% 87% 52% 18% 4% - -
107 DATLA Aanya 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% - -
109 AWASTHI Tisha 100% 53% 14% 2% - - -
110 LIAO Amber 100% 48% 11% 1% - - -
111 MARGULIS Roxana 100% 78% 40% 12% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.