Spring @ Bay Area Fencing Club

Y-10 Mixed Foil

Sunday, April 19, 2026 at 12:15 PM

BAY AREA FENCING CLUB - Pleasanton, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHAI Muyan 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 31%
2 LUI Jamie 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25%
3 PARK Jackson 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 27% 4%
3 DELL Royce 100% 84% 39% 6% < 1%
5 KNOX Aysa 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6% -
6 DU Zoey 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 13% 1%
7 SHANG Jason 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -
8 YANG Ariel 100% 62% 21% 4% - - -
9 XU Evan 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 12%
10 LAU Ryan Arwin 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 7%
11 FUNG Andrew 100% 86% 45% 9% -
12 MALHOTRA Jashn 100% 100% 97% 71% 16%
13 CHEN Tony 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 32% 6%
14 CHEN Kayla X. 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 5% -
15 CHOY Hazen 100% 100% 93% 68% 31% 6% -
16 WANG Connor 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2% -
17 TSAI Albert 100% 84% 45% 12% 1% -
18 PAWAR Avika 100% 100% 90% 54% 16% 2%
19 EHRLICHMAN Oscar 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 3%
20 PAN Avila 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% 1% -
21 LU Jocelyn 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 5% -
22 MAHAJAN Mira 100% 93% 64% 27% 7% 1% -
23 SAINI Annika 100% 75% 30% 5% -
24 LI Nolan 100% 100% 99% 89% 48%
25 GOODFELLOW Amelia 100% 65% 23% 4% - - -
26 SHEN Rebecca 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 21% 3%
28 NGUYEN Reagan 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
29 GUPTA Nyra 100% 100% 97% 79% 41% 11% 1%
30 OU Aiden 100% 97% 78% 39% 9% 1%
31 AURANGABADWALA Yasmin 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
32 TAM Alisa 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 10% 1%
34 LU Carina 100% 99% 92% 62% 23% 3%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.