Division 1 & Para Championships / April NAC

Div I Men's Saber

Saturday, April 25, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Greater Richmond Convention Center - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WOOD Elden S. - - 1% 8% 29% 44% 18%
2 HOMER Daryl D. - - - - - 8% 91%
3 LUKASHENKO Darii - - - - 6% 33% 60%
3 GONZALEZ Emilio A. - - - 1% 11% 39% 49%
5 SARON Mitchell S. - - - - 8% 92%
6 GUFFEY Christopher - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 13%
7 TSE Aiden J - 2% 12% 33% 37% 15% 2%
8 KIM Shaun M. - - 1% 7% 32% 44% 16%
9 PRIMUS Nazir - - 1% 5% 21% 43% 31%
10 THOMPSON Khalil A. - - - - 2% 23% 75%
11 WILLIAMS Grant W. - - - - 1% 11% 89%
12 CHOI Silas - - - 1% 11% 38% 49%
13 SKEETE Kamar A. - - - 2% 15% 42% 40%
14 ATANASSOV Vasil V. - - 1% 8% 33% 49% 9%
15 WANG Nicolas - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 25%
16 YAN William 1% 11% 33% 39% 15% -
17 NAZLYMOV Andrei - - 2% 12% 40% 46%
18 BENAVRAM Lev C. - - 1% 9% 30% 41% 19%
19 BURGUNDER Quinten (Quin) A. - - - 1% 11% 48% 41%
20 JI Cody Walter - - - 2% 16% 45% 38%
21 VAID Luke 1% 5% 20% 35% 30% 9% -
22 CHAMBERS Miles 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
23 CHON Collin - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
24 OH Triton - - 3% 16% 34% 34% 13%
25 YANG Phillip 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 2% -
26 PI Alexander - 3% 15% 34% 34% 13% -
27 ZHAO Zhiyu(Yogi) - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
28 YEN Darren - - - 3% 18% 44% 35%
29 KITSON Chase 10% 36% 36% 15% 3% - -
30 CHEN Jonathan 5% 22% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
31 BOOTH Zaheer - - 3% 15% 36% 35% 12%
32 WANG Justin 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 3% -
33 SKARBONKIEWICZ Maksymilian A. 2% 13% 33% 34% 15% 3% < 1%
34 GONZALEZ Jake - 4% 18% 37% 32% 8% -
35 CALLAHAN Jaden P. - - - 1% 13% 50% 36%
36 SIERADZKY Dawson - - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
37 HONG Rubin - 4% 20% 43% 31% 1%
38 HUANG Ethan F. - - 2% 13% 34% 39% 12%
39 SO Preston 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
40 RAMANAN Jaisimh - 2% 13% 30% 34% 18% 3%
41 CLARK Aram 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
42 CHEONG Heonjun - - 4% 16% 35% 34% 11%
42 KIM ELIJAH - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
42 HWANG Jayden - 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
45 WONG Lucas 4% 19% 34% 29% 11% 2% -
46 TSAO Oliver 14% 34% 33% 15% 4% - -
47 LIN Philip T. 3% 17% 33% 31% 13% 3% -
48 CARRINGTON IV William T. 2% 14% 36% 36% 11% 1% -
49 LI Howard - 2% 11% 34% 42% 11%
50 TE VELDE Noah C. - - 1% 8% 37% 55%
51 LAUB William 4% 20% 37% 29% 9% 1%
52 CHAVES Matthew J. - 2% 10% 27% 37% 21% 3%
53 HUANG Alex F. - 1% 8% 25% 38% 24% 4%
54 BAUER Hank E. 1% 5% 18% 33% 30% 12% 2%
55 HOLZ Lucas 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
56 IYER Neil 10% 34% 38% 15% 2% - -
57 ANTHONY Devyn V. - - 3% 15% 33% 34% 13%
58 TANI Tino 6% 24% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
59 ESCUETA Tony V. - 1% 5% 20% 37% 30% 7%
60 BERRIO Carter E. - - 1% 7% 23% 40% 28%
61 BARTOLO Domenic V. - 3% 16% 34% 33% 13% 1%
62 RAMANAN Govind 2% 13% 33% 35% 15% 2% -
63 MEYERSON Jacob 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% -
64 AGARWAAL Yohan 15% 36% 33% 13% 2% - -
65 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu - - 4% 17% 36% 34% 8%
66 ERMAKOV Semeon - - 4% 18% 41% 31% 5%
67 WALKER Dalton F. - - 2% 12% 33% 38% 15%
68 JOO Jeein - 3% 17% 37% 31% 10% 1%
69 LI Ayden 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
70 KIM Kendrick 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4% -
71 KANG Matthew 3% 20% 37% 29% 9% 1% -
72 ZHAO Royce 20% 40% 29% 10% 1% - -
73 CHUNG Connor - 4% 17% 35% 32% 11% -
74 NG Jonathan - 4% 17% 37% 33% 8%
75 CAO Oliver 3% 17% 36% 33% 11% 1%
76 RIGHTLER Samuel - 1% 7% 22% 35% 28% 8%
77 KANG Evan R. - 3% 12% 28% 34% 20% 4%
78 SANCHEZ Jacob 4% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1% -
79 MCDONALD Finn 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
80 LI Alex Y. 9% 34% 37% 17% 3% - -
81 KWALWASSER Eric - - 3% 14% 33% 35% 14%
82 ALAVE Kyle 9% 30% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
82 PAVLENISHVILI Luke 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
84 KUSHKOV Daniel - 4% 20% 36% 30% 9% -
84 LUCAS William 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
86 ZHOU William 3% 16% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
87 SCHARDINE James 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 4% -
88 JI Johnson 7% 28% 38% 21% 5% - -
89 LI Yiwei 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8% 1%
90 STURGEON Cole 15% 38% 33% 12% 2% -
91 MEHAN Nicholas 9% 33% 38% 17% 2% -
92 LEE Brian 8% 31% 39% 19% 3% -
93 YOOK Isaac 14% 36% 34% 13% 2% -
94 BOLLU Viren 15% 38% 34% 12% 2% -
95 WANG Max 11% 34% 37% 16% 3% -
96 BIVIJI Ali 2% 13% 28% 32% 19% 5% 1%
97 GEFELL Andrew P. - - 2% 13% 41% 35% 8%
98 YANG Dylan 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4% -
99 CIEMINS Henry 7% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1% -
100 DAI Zihou 12% 32% 34% 17% 4% - -
100 MINASIAN Mason 19% 39% 29% 11% 2% - -
102 KOZLOFF Wyatt 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
103 WEI Rian 4% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1% -
104 WANG Daniel - 3% 14% 31% 34% 16% 3%
105 PATEL Rayn 1% 11% 31% 35% 18% 3% -
106 SANGSTER Arden 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
107 RADJABLI Maximillian 11% 35% 35% 16% 3% - -
108 LIU Kevin 3% 18% 37% 31% 10% 1% -
109 OH Aster 14% 38% 34% 12% 2% - -
110 WONG Max 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% -
111 GREMILLION Obadiah 3% 17% 36% 32% 11% 1%
112 KANG Evan 5% 22% 36% 26% 9% 2% -
113 LIN Maxim 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 6% 1%
114 WANG Theodore 28% 43% 23% 5% 1% - -
115 LAMTAN Christoffer 25% 43% 26% 6% - - -
116 PORTER Dupree 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 2% -
117 LIU Victor 19% 41% 30% 8% 1% - -
118 KHOTLINE Daniel 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
119 WANG Tiger 12% 37% 36% 13% 2% - -
120 WAXLER Ryan 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
121 BRIMMER Robert (Trey) 14% 38% 35% 12% 2% - -
122 CAO Donald 6% 26% 38% 24% 6% 1% -
123 DECK Tyson 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
124 BELAND Riley James "RJ" 37% 42% 17% 3% - - -
125 HALL Noah 29% 42% 22% 5% 1% - -
125 SU Landon - < 1% 4% 19% 41% 31% 5%
127 LEE Noah - 3% 15% 33% 34% 14% -
128 GONG Gavin 13% 33% 32% 16% 4% 1% -
129 YAP Kah Kai (Cayden) 9% 31% 37% 19% 4% - -
130 CHAN Elliott 45% 40% 13% 2% - - -
131 SADHU Neiyam 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
132 LIU Aaron 21% 40% 28% 9% 2% - -
133 BAI Evan 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
134 FANG Eason 35% 43% 18% 3% - - -
135 KOVALEV Daniil N. 3% 18% 36% 30% 11% 2% -
136 YADAV Lakshya 31% 44% 21% 4% - -
137 FENG Brendan 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.