Division 1 & Para Championships / April NAC

Div I Men's Saber

Saturday, April 25, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Greater Richmond Convention Center - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WOOD Elden S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 18%
2 HOMER Daryl D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 91%
3 LUKASHENKO Darii 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 60%
3 GONZALEZ Emilio A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 49%
5 SARON Mitchell S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 92%
6 GUFFEY Christopher 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 49% 13%
7 TSE Aiden J 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 17% 2%
8 KIM Shaun M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 60% 16%
9 PRIMUS Nazir 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
10 THOMPSON Khalil A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 75%
11 WILLIAMS Grant W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89%
12 CHOI Silas 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
13 SKEETE Kamar A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 40%
14 ATANASSOV Vasil V. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 58% 9%
15 WANG Nicolas 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
16 YAN William 100% 99% 88% 54% 15% -
17 NAZLYMOV Andrei 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
18 BENAVRAM Lev C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19%
19 BURGUNDER Quinten (Quin) A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 41%
20 JI Cody Walter 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 38%
21 VAID Luke 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 10% -
22 CHAMBERS Miles 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
23 CHON Collin 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
24 OH Triton 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
25 YANG Phillip 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
26 PI Alexander 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 14% -
27 ZHAO Zhiyu(Yogi) 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 14% 2%
28 YEN Darren 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 35%
29 KITSON Chase 100% 90% 54% 18% 3% - -
30 CHEN Jonathan 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 1% -
31 BOOTH Zaheer 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
32 WANG Justin 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
33 SKARBONKIEWICZ Maksymilian A. 100% 98% 86% 52% 18% 3% < 1%
34 GONZALEZ Jake 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 8% -
35 CALLAHAN Jaden P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 36%
36 SIERADZKY Dawson 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
37 HONG Rubin 100% 100% 96% 76% 33% 1%
38 HUANG Ethan F. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 12%
39 SO Preston 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% 1% -
40 RAMANAN Jaisimh 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 21% 3%
41 CLARK Aram 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
42 CHEONG Heonjun 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11%
42 KIM ELIJAH 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 3%
42 HWANG Jayden 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 15% 2%
45 WONG Lucas 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
46 TSAO Oliver 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% - -
47 LIN Philip T. 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 3% -
48 CARRINGTON IV William T. 100% 98% 84% 49% 13% 1% -
49 LI Howard 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 11%
50 TE VELDE Noah C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 55%
51 LAUB William 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1%
52 CHAVES Matthew J. 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 24% 3%
53 HUANG Alex F. 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 28% 4%
54 BAUER Hank E. 100% 99% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
55 HOLZ Lucas 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 5% -
56 IYER Neil 100% 90% 55% 17% 2% - -
57 ANTHONY Devyn V. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
58 TANI Tino 100% 94% 69% 34% 9% 1% -
59 ESCUETA Tony V. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 37% 7%
60 BERRIO Carter E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 28%
61 BARTOLO Domenic V. 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 14% 1%
62 RAMANAN Govind 100% 98% 85% 52% 17% 2% -
63 MEYERSON Jacob 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 6% -
64 AGARWAAL Yohan 100% 85% 49% 16% 2% - -
65 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 8%
66 ERMAKOV Semeon 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 36% 5%
67 WALKER Dalton F. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
68 JOO Jeein 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 11% 1%
69 LI Ayden 100% 97% 81% 51% 20% 4% -
70 KIM Kendrick 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4% -
71 KANG Matthew 100% 97% 77% 39% 10% 1% -
72 ZHAO Royce 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% - -
73 CHUNG Connor 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11% -
74 NG Jonathan 100% 100% 96% 79% 41% 8%
75 CAO Oliver 100% 97% 80% 44% 11% 1%
76 RIGHTLER Samuel 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 8%
77 KANG Evan R. 100% 100% 97% 85% 58% 24% 4%
78 SANCHEZ Jacob 100% 96% 78% 42% 11% 1% -
79 MCDONALD Finn 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
80 LI Alex Y. 100% 91% 57% 20% 3% - -
81 KWALWASSER Eric 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 14%
82 ALAVE Kyle 100% 91% 61% 25% 6% 1% -
82 PAVLENISHVILI Luke 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
84 KUSHKOV Daniel 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 9% -
84 LUCAS William 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
86 ZHOU William 100% 97% 81% 49% 19% 4% -
87 SCHARDINE James 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 4% -
88 JI Johnson 100% 93% 65% 26% 5% - -
89 LI Yiwei 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 8% 1%
90 STURGEON Cole 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% -
91 MEHAN Nicholas 100% 91% 57% 19% 3% -
92 LEE Brian 100% 92% 61% 22% 3% -
93 YOOK Isaac 100% 86% 50% 16% 2% -
94 BOLLU Viren 100% 85% 48% 14% 2% -
95 WANG Max 100% 89% 56% 19% 3% -
96 BIVIJI Ali 100% 98% 85% 57% 25% 6% 1%
97 GEFELL Andrew P. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44% 8%
98 YANG Dylan 100% 98% 87% 57% 23% 5% -
99 CIEMINS Henry 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
100 DAI Zihou 100% 88% 56% 22% 4% - -
100 MINASIAN Mason 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% - -
102 KOZLOFF Wyatt 100% 86% 51% 19% 4% - -
103 WEI Rian 100% 96% 77% 41% 11% 1% -
104 WANG Daniel 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 19% 3%
105 PATEL Rayn 100% 99% 87% 56% 21% 4% -
106 SANGSTER Arden 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
107 RADJABLI Maximillian 100% 89% 54% 19% 4% - -
108 LIU Kevin 100% 97% 79% 42% 11% 1% -
109 OH Aster 100% 86% 48% 14% 2% - -
110 WONG Max 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% -
111 GREMILLION Obadiah 100% 97% 80% 44% 12% 1%
112 KANG Evan 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 2% -
113 LIN Maxim 100% 99% 93% 68% 31% 7% 1%
114 WANG Theodore 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% - -
115 LAMTAN Christoffer 100% 75% 32% 6% - - -
116 PORTER Dupree 100% 94% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
117 LIU Victor 100% 81% 39% 10% 1% - -
118 KHOTLINE Daniel 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
119 WANG Tiger 100% 88% 51% 15% 2% - -
120 WAXLER Ryan 100% 87% 53% 18% 3% - -
121 BRIMMER Robert (Trey) 100% 86% 49% 14% 2% - -
122 CAO Donald 100% 94% 68% 30% 6% 1% -
123 DECK Tyson 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
124 BELAND Riley James "RJ" 100% 63% 21% 4% - - -
125 HALL Noah 100% 71% 28% 6% 1% - -
125 SU Landon 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35% 5%
127 LEE Noah 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 15% -
128 GONG Gavin 100% 87% 54% 21% 5% 1% -
129 YAP Kah Kai (Cayden) 100% 91% 60% 23% 5% - -
130 CHAN Elliott 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -
131 SADHU Neiyam 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
132 LIU Aaron 100% 79% 39% 11% 2% - -
133 BAI Evan 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
134 FANG Eason 100% 65% 22% 4% - - -
135 KOVALEV Daniil N. 100% 97% 78% 43% 12% 2% -
136 YADAV Lakshya 100% 69% 25% 4% - -
137 FENG Brendan 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.