Division 1 & Para Championships / April NAC

Junior Women's Saber

Saturday, April 25, 2026 at 2:00 PM

Greater Richmond Convention Center - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TSUI Natalie 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 63%
2 MCKEE Brynnley 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
3 BEVACQUA Aria F. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 33%
3 JIANG Evelyn 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 21%
5 ZENG Sarah 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
6 CHOI Charlotte 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
7 CHANG Norah 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 18% 3%
8 YOUNG Charlotte G. 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 3%
9 ANDRES Charmaine G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 71%
10 HU Anna 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 39% 8%
11 BERMAN greta 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 18% 2%
12 SUVOROVA Anna 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 21%
13 LIU Hannah 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 7%
14 LEI Zitong (Meya) 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 3%
15 LAFFY Lily 100% 99% 84% 50% 17% 3% -
16 YADAV Tishya 100% 97% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
17 JEONG Katie 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 21%
18 ZHANG XUANYI 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
19 TA-ZHOU Emma 100% 93% 65% 29% 7% 1%
20 LIN Nicole 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 72% 28%
21 YUEN Nicole 100% 100% 95% 79% 47% 15% 2%
22 HUAI Delilah 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
23 FERNANDEZ Martina 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
24 WANG Gloria Ruoyan 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 11%
25 HSU Leah 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 9%
26 FESTA Carina 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
27 JOHNSON Dagny L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
28 CHERUKURI Tanvi 100% 85% 50% 18% 4% - -
29 VINOGOROVA Sofiia 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
30 LEOU Korina 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 8%
31 KIRBY Skye 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% -
32 NEDOPAKA Kateryna 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 10% 1%
33 GAUTAM Sahana 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 15%
34 TABANGAY Heartlyn 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
35 HAMMERSTROM Aria 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 25% 3%
36 HALPERIN Elizabeth H. 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 9% 1%
37 BROWN Aria 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 32% 6%
38 WANG Callie 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 13%
39 CONG Anne 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
40 MARYASH Samantha 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
41 BORGUETA Madison 100% 99% 90% 61% 26% 5% -
42 KWON Hannah 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
43 BOYNTON Ainsley 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 29%
44 YU Stella 100% 99% 88% 55% 19% 3%
45 DHAR Layla 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 24% 3%
46 CHIARELLI Valentina 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 56% 19%
47 FAN Alexandria 100% 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2%
48 JUNG Irene 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
49 LOMOTAN Addison 100% 98% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
50 WONG Natalie 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
51 HUANG Pierra 100% 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 2%
51 NING Lynn 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 8% 1%
53 KIM Satie 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 15% 1%
54 GONG Joy 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
55 LAURI Keira 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
56 SCHAIBLE Sofia L. 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 8% -
57 UEMOTO Lynn 100% 100% 94% 71% 37% 11% 1%
58 HEATH Isabella 100% 99% 92% 65% 26% 4%
59 DAVIDOVA Kira 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 2%
60 PABIAN Emilia 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
61 OCA Merci 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 6% -
62 GOLDIN Nina 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 24% 2%
63 KANG Ellie 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 21% 2%
64 VINOKUR Anita 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
65 ARNOLD Hali 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 24%
66 FAVO Isabella 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
67 MANN Sophia J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 22%
68 AWAD Royce 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 30% 6%
69 YU Skylar 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 13% 1%
70 WANG Jiayi 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 23% 4%
71 DAMBAL Sasha 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 7% 1%
72 MEYERSON Michelle 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 7% 1%
73 SCHMIDT Isabel 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
74 HUANG Doris 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 10%
75 ANTHONY Alexia B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 37%
76 ZOLLER Noelle 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 40% 10%
76 BORTAI Eliza 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3% -
78 DANTULURI Shalini 100% 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3%
79 GUGALA Hanna 100% 100% 100% 94% 72% 33% 6%
80 WANG yining 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
81 XIONG Haojiao 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 33% 6%
82 CASTELO Soleil 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 6% -
83 GUO Daisy 100% 93% 64% 27% 6% - -
84 DHAR Rana 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 4%
85 FUNG Iris 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2% -
86 NADKARNI Marisa 100% 97% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
87 BAIK Sarah 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 1%
87 GENTILE Vittoria 100% 99% 86% 53% 18% 3%
89 PEREIRA Izumi 100% 95% 70% 30% 6% -
90 KONDEV Elizabeth 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 21%
91 MACKAY Katherine 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 5%
92 IANNUZZI Lucy 100% 85% 50% 18% 3% -
93 WEI JoyAnn 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 6%
94 LONG Jessie 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 11% 1%
95 MUND Ruth 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 4%
96 NG Sophia 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
97 LIM Jaslene 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 17%
98 MUNGUIA Mila 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
98 SINGER Ellery 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
100 SUNG Olivia 100% 99% 86% 53% 20% 4% -
101 PARK Chloe 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
101 SAYSON Andrea 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2%
103 GUVEN Coco 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 34% 5%
104 HSIEH Lucia 100% 100% 90% 62% 28% 7% 1%
105 CAO Sophie 100% 95% 72% 38% 11% 2% -
106 BUSH Bethany 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 11% 1%
107 CHANG Annette 100% 98% 80% 44% 13% 2% -
108 LIU kai yin aria 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 26% 4%
109 CARTER Keely 100% 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 1%
110 XIAO Cindy 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
111 CAI Xinyi 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1%
112 LIN Elaine 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 21%
113 PANTALEON-MAZOLA Amari 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 9%
114 MCAFEE Jada 100% 98% 80% 44% 13% 2%
115 KWON Ava 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% -
116 FOSS Persephone 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 2% -
117 MALEK Zolie 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
118 DIECK Miranda P. 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 4% -
118 GOLOVITSER Maya 100% 100% 98% 85% 56% 21% 3%
118 ZHAO Selena 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 8% 1%
121 MAK Kaitlin 100% 98% 84% 54% 23% 5% -
122 CHEN Elaine 100% 99% 90% 66% 32% 8% 1%
123 DUFF Caitlin 100% 97% 70% 32% 9% 1% -
124 BOLT - TURNER Carmen 100% 87% 52% 19% 4% - -
125 KIM Audrey 100% 96% 76% 39% 11% 1% -
126 EJIOGU Adaugo 100% 60% 19% 3% - - -
127 MING Emma 100% 68% 27% 6% 1% - -
128 SHEARER Alena 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% -
129 REN Katherine 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 12% 2%
130 KAUL Tara 100% 97% 79% 42% 11% 1%
131 KNOBEL Sophia 100% 97% 79% 42% 11% 1%
132 WU Yuwei 100% 100% 89% 58% 22% 3%
133 GAY Sasha 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 5%
133 PARK Geraldyn Sojung 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 10%
135 LI Sonia 100% 98% 86% 55% 22% 4% -
136 GONZALEZ Veronika 100% 99% 94% 72% 37% 10% 1%
137 ZHANG Ashley 100% 83% 46% 16% 3% - -
138 KRASOWITZ Lucy 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
139 CHIANG Melissa 100% 100% 94% 68% 30% 6% -
140 HUANG Rachael 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 20% 3%
141 HUANG Neila 100% 92% 61% 24% 5% - -
142 DUDNICK Morgan 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4% -
142 GAIKWAD Ashmiee 100% 99% 95% 77% 46% 16% 2%
144 ELLIS-FURLONG Ava 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
145 XIE Nora 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3% -
145 BARROSO Isabela 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% 1%
147 HWANG Charlotte 100% 99% 86% 50% 16% 2% -
148 KANG Soeun 100% 83% 47% 16% 3% - -
149 HU Heidi 100% 76% 36% 10% 2% - -
150 VISWANATHAN Nishka 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% - -
151 CONVERSO-PARSONS Maia 100% 65% 22% 4% - - -
152 KIM Saeren 100% 100% 93% 69% 32% 8% 1%
153 WANG JiaQi 100% 91% 61% 25% 6% 1% -
154 WILFRET Katerina 100% 38% 6% - - - -
155 VANNIER Anouk 100% 30% 4% - - -
156 XU Emily T. 100% 100% 89% 57% 21% 3%
157 WONG Charlene 100% 89% 53% 17% 3% -
158 SEVASTOPULO Sahra 100% 78% 38% 11% 2% -
159 KINKADE Ellie 100% 100% 94% 70% 33% 7%
160 LIM Eunice 100% 64% 21% 3% - -
161 CHAVAN Arya 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
162 PROBASCO Leila 100% 85% 50% 18% 4% - -
163 BERRIOS Catalina 100% 92% 51% 14% 2% - -
164 HILD Anya 100% 76% 34% 9% 1% - -
165 STADNIK Emilia 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 2% -
166 SUZUKI HAN Emma Yukino 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
167 BONIN Arielle 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% - -
168 MAJEWSKA Maria 100% 95% 72% 34% 9% 1% -
169 LEE Kaitlin 100% 83% 43% 13% 2% - -
170 ZHAI AMY 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
171 FANG Darcy 100% 36% 6% 1% - - -
172 LEE Alyson 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
173 RANDALL-COLLINS Shea M. 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
173 KIM Grace 100% 91% 57% 21% 4% - -
175 KO Ariel 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
176 CHAN Jolene 100% 97% 83% 51% 19% 3%
177 KU Alathea-Joy 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
178 XU Elaine 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 3% -
179 JEFFORDS Sophia 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
180 MOON Claire 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
180 FANG Elena 100% 28% 3% - - - -
180 CHAN Isla 100% 11% 1% - - - -
183 NAKATA Gwyneth 100% 18% 1% - - -
184 TONG Laurie 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -
184 LOZIER Camryn 100% 18% 1% - - - -
186 LOO Kaitlyn 100% 96% 78% 46% 17% 3% -
186 OH Chloe 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% - -
188 WITEK Isabelle 100% 65% 23% 4% - - -
189 CHEN Victoria 100% 66% 24% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.