Division 1 & Para Championships / April NAC

Div I Women's Épée

Saturday, April 25, 2026 at 2:00 PM

Greater Richmond Convention Center - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 OXENREIDER Tierna A. - - - - 2% 23% 75%
2 FALLON Kyle R. - - - 3% 18% 45% 35%
3 NIXON Catherine (Kasia) D. - - - - - 10% 89%
3 GUZZI VINCENTI Margherita A. - - - - 4% 27% 68%
5 CHIN Isabella - - - 4% 23% 47% 26%
5 LIU Charlene (Kai) - - - - 8% 59% 32%
7 CHEN Lefu - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 17%
8 CAPELLUA Mariasole 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8%
9 MACHULSKY Leehi - - - 5% 26% 48% 20%
10 PROFIS Liora - - 2% 11% 33% 42% 12%
11 TOBY Natalia R. - - - 1% 12% 49% 37%
12 WANG Karen - - 1% 6% 25% 46% 22%
13 YOUNG VIVIAN 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
14 GUO Luxi - 5% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1%
15 QI Julieanne - 5% 20% 37% 29% 8% -
16 GAJJALA Sharika R. - - < 1% 6% 30% 53% 10%
17 KORFONTA Jolie - - 1% 5% 20% 41% 33%
18 CHI Chelsea - - 4% 17% 37% 34% 8%
19 HANKINS Morgan 1% 5% 21% 37% 28% 7% -
20 SUICO Kyubi Emmanuelle 6% 25% 38% 24% 6% 1% -
21 WANG Ziqi (yoyo) - 2% 11% 33% 41% 12% 1%
22 NEMETH Katherine - 2% 13% 36% 38% 9% 1%
23 BECKMAN Ana - 2% 12% 33% 38% 15%
24 YILMAZ Pinar 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 6%
25 VAN BRUMMEN Anna C. - - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
26 ZHANG Victoria R. - - 4% 17% 35% 32% 11%
27 GOH Cayla 2% 15% 35% 35% 12% 1% -
28 AZMEH nour 3% 16% 35% 33% 12% 1%
29 LEE Sumin - - 2% 10% 29% 40% 19%
30 MARX Leslie M. - - 2% 11% 34% 43% 9%
31 KOZLOWSKI Maya M. - 5% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
32 YAO Melinda - 1% 9% 25% 36% 23% 5%
33 KETKAR Ketki - - - - 3% 28% 68%
34 RAUSCH Ariana (Ari) M. - - 3% 16% 43% 38%
35 LEE Scarlett - - 1% 9% 27% 40% 22%
36 KUNJAN Lena R. - - 4% 22% 44% 25% 4%
37 KIM Zoe L. - 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3%
38 HURLEY Courtney L. - - - - 2% 38% 59%
38 NIXON Caroline (Karolina) L. - - - 2% 18% 46% 34%
40 WANG Zoe - - 4% 17% 35% 33% 10%
41 DOROSHKEVICH Victoria - 5% 21% 36% 27% 9% 1%
42 LEE REGINA - - - 1% 7% 36% 56%
43 SHEFFIELD Lake Mawu - - 4% 17% 37% 33% 8%
44 PIRKOWSKI Amanda L. - - - 1% 12% 48% 38%
45 SHIV Avni - 1% 7% 22% 36% 28% 7%
46 CHERNIS Liah 2% 14% 35% 35% 12% 1% -
47 EDWARDS Auprell - 3% 14% 32% 35% 15% 2%
48 LEE Natasha - 1% 10% 32% 40% 15% 2%
49 YANG Alisa - 2% 11% 32% 41% 15%
50 TOLSMA Chloe - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
51 SEREGIN Katya 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
52 WU Michelle - 5% 21% 38% 28% 7%
53 CARRIER Meredith 3% 22% 38% 27% 9% 1% -
54 FENG Ge (Catherine) - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
55 WANG Jessie 3% 18% 36% 30% 10% 1% -
56 ZIGALO Elizabeth - - 1% 7% 26% 41% 25%
57 PILSON Rebecca 18% 41% 31% 9% 1% - -
58 GANSER Nicole 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% -
59 LEE Claire 1% 7% 26% 40% 22% 4% -
60 ILYAS Ayah 1% 11% 30% 37% 19% 3% -
61 LEE Camilla 11% 30% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
61 ADYANTHAYA Anika 1% 9% 25% 35% 23% 6% -
63 XIONG Angelica 1% 11% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
64 BEATIE Isabella M. 17% 40% 31% 11% 2% - -
65 LIN Jessica Y. - - - - 5% 31% 63%
66 ANEZIOKORO Zahra 3% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2% -
67 WU Jessica 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 4% -
68 WITTER Catherine A. - - 2% 14% 36% 39% 8%
69 LEE Michelle J. - - 1% 9% 28% 41% 20%
70 SPRINGER Sierra - 2% 12% 30% 36% 18% 2%
71 LISCUM Vivian - 4% 17% 34% 32% 12% -
72 RAKHOVSKI Alexandra - 1% 9% 28% 40% 21%
73 BASRALIAN Azniv - 2% 11% 32% 38% 16%
74 CAMAMA Tessa 1% 11% 31% 35% 18% 4% -
75 WATRALL Christina - - - 1% 11% 39% 49%
76 HERNASA Anna 4% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
77 FRANGER Macy 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
78 CHOY LeeAnn - 5% 21% 35% 28% 9% 1%
79 ELSTON Sophie 1% 6% 27% 42% 23% 2% -
80 KANASKAR Ila 13% 34% 33% 16% 3% - -
81 BEAVER Ava 3% 14% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
82 LEE Olivia 1% 11% 33% 36% 17% 3%
83 LI Caroline 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% -
84 LEE Gloria Y. 3% 18% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
85 MAI Mailan 13% 37% 35% 13% 2% - -
86 CHISHOLM Phoebe C. - 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
87 MILEWSKI Nicole - 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
88 BALAKRISHNAN Trisha 1% 11% 32% 36% 17% 3% -
89 SMUK Alexandra S. - 1% 10% 29% 39% 18% 3%
90 HAUSHEER Kuncen 14% 38% 33% 13% 2% - -
91 SHAYAKHMETOVA Suzanna 11% 33% 36% 17% 4% - -
92 BATES Cassandra L. - - - 1% 10% 42% 47%
92 KAUR Manroop 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
94 SONG Angela 1% 8% 25% 36% 23% 6% 1%
95 LI Fei 1% 10% 32% 39% 16% 1% -
96 STERR Isabella M. - 6% 25% 43% 21% 4% -
97 STERN Savannah 9% 31% 38% 19% 3% - -
98 HABEK Sophia 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1%
99 WANG Chloe 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% -
100 PECK Maia A. 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2%
101 RICHARDSON Meredith 2% 19% 38% 29% 10% 2% -
102 OLELE Ifechi 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 3% -
103 SCHMITT Harper 4% 21% 36% 28% 10% 1% -
104 SMOTRITSKY Mia 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7% -
105 WANG Sophie Y. 5% 24% 40% 25% 6% - -
105 MOLLINIER Angel 12% 33% 34% 16% 4% - -
107 FURMAN Maria - 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
107 ZHUANG Lauren 13% 36% 35% 14% 2% - -
107 CHI Zoe 11% 33% 35% 17% 3% - -
110 RICHARDS Axelle 62% 31% 6% 1% - - -
111 IYER Ishana 13% 33% 34% 16% 4% - -
111 SUN Karolyn 21% 40% 29% 9% 1% - -
113 MCQUEEN Morgan 21% 40% 29% 9% 1% - -
114 MCGLADE Jasmine 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8% 1%
114 LEE Yeriel 11% 36% 36% 14% 2% - -
116 WEI Sherry 12% 38% 37% 12% 1% - -
117 GAN Shelby 31% 44% 20% 4% - - -
118 LEE Emily 19% 43% 29% 8% 1% - -
119 BOROTKO Katerina 35% 41% 19% 4% - - -
120 SALISTRA Emilia 9% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
121 BURT Emmalyne Grace 22% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
122 DHAIYA Tanya 1% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4% -
123 NOVOJILOV Anastasia 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
124 ABUELFUTUH Sama 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
125 MENDOZA zoie 13% 36% 34% 14% 2% -
126 MARTINEZ Christina 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% -
127 ZHAN Clare 33% 44% 19% 4% - -
128 BUSH emma 1% 12% 35% 37% 14% 1% -
129 WANG Cecilia 37% 42% 17% 3% - - -
130 FERREIRA DE MELO Adriana 1% 13% 33% 34% 16% 3% -
131 WONG Sydney 25% 44% 25% 5% - - -
132 DESANTIS-IBANEZ Elena 3% 18% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
133 LAW Mila 10% 32% 37% 18% 4% - -
134 BISONO Valentina 21% 42% 29% 8% 1% - -
135 ZHAO Alina 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% 1%
136 PETROFF Eva 33% 45% 19% 3% - - -
137 PRESMAN Aerin 6% 30% 39% 20% 5% 1% -
138 NORCONK Claire R. - 4% 18% 35% 31% 11% -
139 NING Miranda 31% 43% 21% 5% 1% - -
139 XU Emily (Hua) 48% 39% 12% 2% - - -
141 FENG Iris 57% 35% 7% 1% - - -
142 GIERAT-KATZ Izabella 22% 45% 26% 7% 1% -
143 SHEFFIELD Skye 5% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1% -
144 HOLDEN Helena 15% 39% 34% 11% 1% - -
145 PRIHODKO Nina 2% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
146 KUDRYAVTSEVA Margarita 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
147 CHEN Ava 30% 43% 22% 5% - - -
148 LAI Amanda 8% 30% 37% 20% 4% -
149 KROPP Anne (Charlie) 16% 41% 33% 9% 1% - -
150 LIN Isabel 7% 33% 38% 18% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.