Division 1 & Para Championships / April NAC

Div I Women's Épée

Saturday, April 25, 2026 at 2:00 PM

Greater Richmond Convention Center - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 OXENREIDER Tierna A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 75%
2 FALLON Kyle R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 35%
3 NIXON Catherine (Kasia) D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 89%
3 GUZZI VINCENTI Margherita A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 68%
5 CHIN Isabella 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 26%
5 LIU Charlene (Kai) 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 91% 32%
7 CHEN Lefu 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 17%
8 CAPELLUA Mariasole 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
9 MACHULSKY Leehi 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 20%
10 PROFIS Liora 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 12%
11 TOBY Natalia R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 37%
12 WANG Karen 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 68% 22%
13 YOUNG VIVIAN 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
14 GUO Luxi 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 9% 1%
15 QI Julieanne 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 8% -
16 GAJJALA Sharika R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 64% 10%
17 KORFONTA Jolie 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 33%
18 CHI Chelsea 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 8%
19 HANKINS Morgan 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 8% -
20 SUICO Kyubi Emmanuelle 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% 1% -
21 WANG Ziqi (yoyo) 100% 100% 98% 88% 54% 13% 1%
22 NEMETH Katherine 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 10% 1%
23 BECKMAN Ana 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
24 YILMAZ Pinar 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
25 VAN BRUMMEN Anna C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
26 ZHANG Victoria R. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 11%
27 GOH Cayla 100% 98% 83% 48% 13% 1% -
28 AZMEH nour 100% 97% 81% 46% 13% 1%
29 LEE Sumin 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 19%
30 MARX Leslie M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 9%
31 KOZLOWSKI Maya M. 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 11% 1%
32 YAO Melinda 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 5%
33 KETKAR Ketki 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 68%
34 RAUSCH Ariana (Ari) M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
35 LEE Scarlett 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 63% 22%
36 KUNJAN Lena R. 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 29% 4%
37 KIM Zoe L. 100% 100% 98% 84% 53% 19% 3%
38 HURLEY Courtney L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 59%
38 NIXON Caroline (Karolina) L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 80% 34%
40 WANG Zoe 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
41 DOROSHKEVICH Victoria 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 10% 1%
42 LEE REGINA 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 56%
43 SHEFFIELD Lake Mawu 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 8%
44 PIRKOWSKI Amanda L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 38%
45 SHIV Avni 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 7%
46 CHERNIS Liah 100% 98% 84% 49% 13% 1% -
47 EDWARDS Auprell 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 17% 2%
48 LEE Natasha 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 17% 2%
49 YANG Alisa 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 15%
50 TOLSMA Chloe 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
51 SEREGIN Katya 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
52 WU Michelle 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 7%
53 CARRIER Meredith 100% 97% 75% 37% 10% 1% -
54 FENG Ge (Catherine) 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 32% 6%
55 WANG Jessie 100% 97% 78% 42% 12% 1% -
56 ZIGALO Elizabeth 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
57 PILSON Rebecca 100% 82% 42% 11% 1% - -
58 GANSER Nicole 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% -
59 LEE Claire 100% 99% 92% 66% 26% 4% -
60 ILYAS Ayah 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 3% -
61 LEE Camilla 100% 89% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
61 ADYANTHAYA Anika 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6% -
63 XIONG Angelica 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 4% -
64 BEATIE Isabella M. 100% 83% 43% 12% 2% - -
65 LIN Jessica Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 63%
66 ANEZIOKORO Zahra 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 2% -
67 WU Jessica 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 4% -
68 WITTER Catherine A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 48% 8%
69 LEE Michelle J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 20%
70 SPRINGER Sierra 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 20% 2%
71 LISCUM Vivian 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12% -
72 RAKHOVSKI Alexandra 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
73 BASRALIAN Azniv 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
74 CAMAMA Tessa 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 5% -
75 WATRALL Christina 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
76 HERNASA Anna 100% 96% 75% 39% 12% 2% -
77 FRANGER Macy 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
78 CHOY LeeAnn 100% 100% 94% 74% 38% 10% 1%
79 ELSTON Sophie 100% 99% 93% 66% 25% 2% -
80 KANASKAR Ila 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% - -
81 BEAVER Ava 100% 97% 83% 52% 21% 4% -
82 LEE Olivia 100% 99% 88% 56% 19% 3%
83 LI Caroline 100% 85% 49% 15% 2% -
84 LEE Gloria Y. 100% 97% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
85 MAI Mailan 100% 87% 49% 14% 2% - -
86 CHISHOLM Phoebe C. 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
87 MILEWSKI Nicole 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 5%
88 BALAKRISHNAN Trisha 100% 99% 88% 56% 20% 3% -
89 SMUK Alexandra S. 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 21% 3%
90 HAUSHEER Kuncen 100% 86% 48% 15% 3% - -
91 SHAYAKHMETOVA Suzanna 100% 89% 57% 21% 4% - -
92 BATES Cassandra L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 47%
92 KAUR Manroop 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
94 SONG Angela 100% 99% 92% 66% 30% 7% 1%
95 LI Fei 100% 99% 89% 56% 17% 1% -
96 STERR Isabella M. 100% 100% 94% 68% 25% 4% -
97 STERN Savannah 100% 91% 61% 22% 4% - -
98 HABEK Sophia 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1%
99 WANG Chloe 100% 74% 34% 9% 1% -
100 PECK Maia A. 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2%
101 RICHARDSON Meredith 100% 98% 78% 41% 12% 2% -
102 OLELE Ifechi 100% 97% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
103 SCHMITT Harper 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1% -
104 SMOTRITSKY Mia 100% 99% 93% 68% 32% 7% -
105 WANG Sophie Y. 100% 95% 71% 32% 6% - -
105 MOLLINIER Angel 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
107 FURMAN Maria 100% 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 1%
107 ZHUANG Lauren 100% 87% 51% 16% 2% - -
107 CHI Zoe 100% 89% 56% 20% 4% - -
110 RICHARDS Axelle 100% 38% 7% 1% - - -
111 IYER Ishana 100% 87% 54% 20% 4% - -
111 SUN Karolyn 100% 79% 39% 10% 1% - -
113 MCQUEEN Morgan 100% 79% 39% 10% 1% - -
114 MCGLADE Jasmine 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 9% 1%
114 LEE Yeriel 100% 89% 53% 17% 2% - -
116 WEI Sherry 100% 88% 50% 13% 1% - -
117 GAN Shelby 100% 69% 25% 5% - - -
118 LEE Emily 100% 81% 38% 9% 1% - -
119 BOROTKO Katerina 100% 65% 24% 5% 1% - -
120 SALISTRA Emilia 100% 91% 59% 23% 5% - -
121 BURT Emmalyne Grace 100% 78% 37% 10% 1% - -
122 DHAIYA Tanya 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 5% -
123 NOVOJILOV Anastasia 100% 92% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
124 ABUELFUTUH Sama 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
125 MENDOZA zoie 100% 87% 51% 17% 2% -
126 MARTINEZ Christina 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% -
127 ZHAN Clare 100% 67% 23% 4% - -
128 BUSH emma 100% 99% 86% 51% 14% 1% -
129 WANG Cecilia 100% 63% 21% 4% - - -
130 FERREIRA DE MELO Adriana 100% 99% 86% 53% 20% 4% -
131 WONG Sydney 100% 75% 30% 5% - - -
132 DESANTIS-IBANEZ Elena 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2% -
133 LAW Mila 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% - -
134 BISONO Valentina 100% 79% 37% 9% 1% - -
135 ZHAO Alina 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 7% 1%
136 PETROFF Eva 100% 67% 22% 3% - - -
137 PRESMAN Aerin 100% 94% 64% 25% 5% 1% -
138 NORCONK Claire R. 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 11% -
139 NING Miranda 100% 69% 26% 5% 1% - -
139 XU Emily (Hua) 100% 52% 13% 2% - - -
141 FENG Iris 100% 43% 8% 1% - - -
142 GIERAT-KATZ Izabella 100% 78% 33% 7% 1% -
143 SHEFFIELD Skye 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1% -
144 HOLDEN Helena 100% 85% 46% 13% 1% - -
145 PRIHODKO Nina 100% 98% 83% 53% 21% 4% -
146 KUDRYAVTSEVA Margarita 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1% -
147 CHEN Ava 100% 70% 27% 5% - - -
148 LAI Amanda 100% 92% 62% 24% 4% -
149 KROPP Anne (Charlie) 100% 84% 43% 10% 1% - -
150 LIN Isabel 100% 93% 59% 22% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.