Division 1 & Para Championships / April NAC

Vet-40 Men's Saber

Sunday, April 26, 2026 at 10:30 AM

Greater Richmond Convention Center - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4
1 FERRARO Pietro 100% 99% 91% 57% 15%
2 REA Franklin T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 78%
3 TSUNG David 100% 99% 87% 47% 10%
3 FERRARA Nicholas S. 100% 100% 97% 79% 34%
5 REFAEE Ahmed Hamdy H. Missing ID
6 MILLER Douglas S. 100% 97% 78% 41% 9%
7 ZIRKLE James 100% 100% 95% 73% 30%
8 SUTHERLAND Jr. Richard L. 100% 73% 31% 6% 1%
9 ZONG Yujie 100% 88% 50% 13% 1%
10 LIU Jerry 100% 100% 95% 50% 5%
11 OLIVERIUS Joseph W. 100% 100% 96% 73% 28%
12 WAXLER Aaron M. 100% 98% 82% 45% 10%
13 CHU Brandon A. 100% 90% 57% 19% 2%
14 TERENTIEV Max 100% 100% 95% 50% 5%
15 ABDELLAHI Aziz 100% 86% 38% 8% 1%
16 HU David 100% 70% 26% 5% -
17 MAI Marco Missing ID
18 MAUREL Nicolas 100% 95% 69% 29% 5%
19 MILLS Matthew P. 100% 84% 16% 1% -
20 ROBLES Julio C. 100% 96% 76% 36% 7%
21 KASKAN Peter E. 100% 45% 8% 1% -
22 YADAV Ajay 100% 23% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.