USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Junior Women's Épée

Friday, June 28, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Columbus, OH - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YAMANAKA Mina 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
2 SHEFFIELD Lake Mawu 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
3 VERMEULE Emily 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 73%
3 LURYE Sarah 100% 100% 99% 87% 55% 16%
5 JOYCE Michaela 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
6 KOMAR Sofia 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 37%
7 NIXON Caroline (Karolina) L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 33%
8 GRADY Miriam A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 53%
9 MANGANO Ariana J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
10 LIN Jessica Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 72%
11 LIANG Jessica 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 30%
12 BULAVKO Sonia 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11%
13 KHAMIS Yasmine A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 29%
14 ENO Megan E. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 17%
15 KETKAR Ketki 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
16 BEITTEL Chloe F. 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 7%
17 CANDREVA Greta H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 55%
17 WANG Elizabeth 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 29% 4%
19 HUSISIAN Hadley N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 70%
20 YEU Irene 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 29%
21 BUCUR Rebekah O. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19%
22 DING Jiahe (Heidi) 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 37%
23 NI Emma 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 15% 2%
24 ZAFFT Tatiana M. 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 9%
25 KIMURA Kimberley H. 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 10% 1%
26 CONSTANTINO Lola 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 67%
28 PARK Faith K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
29 WANG Karen 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 36%
30 GANDHI Sedna S. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 14%
31 RATZLAFF Jocelyn T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 69% 23%
32 TYLER Syd 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 6%
33 GREGORY Elizabeth 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
34 GAO Emily L. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 20%
35 GUO ZI SHAN 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 82%
36 ADAMS KIM Madeline 100% 100% 95% 79% 48% 18% 3%
37 YEE-WADSWORTH Sofia L. 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 26% 4%
38 BINDAS Blodwen S. 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 1%
38 ZOZULYA Christina S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 54%
40 LEE Sumin 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 30% 6%
41 DROVETSKY Alexandra M. 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 21% 3%
42 TOMASELLO Olivia E. 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% -
43 MARTUS Cosima O. 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 6%
44 BOYS Nishta B. 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 14%
45 BALAKRISHNAN Monica S. 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 3%
46 KULKARNI Diya 100% 100% 95% 71% 28% 2%
47 OXENREIDER Tierna A. 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 13%
48 KHROL Jaclyn 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 15%
49 RAUSCH Ariana (Ari) M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
50 SEMIKIN Julia 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 13% 1%
51 XU Grace (XinYi) 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
52 ROBLES Elena 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 34% 6%
53 O'DONNELL Amanda A. 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
54 DIB Vanessa 100% 100% 91% 59% 22% 4% -
55 GRESHAM Sarah L. 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1%
56 MYERS Helen Sophia A. 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5% -
57 DESAMOURS Sabine I. 100% 99% 90% 68% 36% 11% 2%
58 DANIEL Chloe L. 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 63% 23%
59 SHAMSIAN Shaya 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 23% 2%
60 MACHULSKY Leehi 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 19%
61 WATRALL Christina 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16%
62 JI Catherine 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 7% -
63 BRILL Sophie 100% 100% 93% 64% 22% 1%
64 FILIPPOV Nika D. 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% -
65 BEDDINGFIELD Claire E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 30%
67 KHROL Caralina 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 15%
68 PIRKOWSKI Amanda L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
69 BEI Karen 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 8% -
70 CHU Audrey 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16% 1%
71 TANIBAJEVA Rachel L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 31%
72 CHAN Cheri K. 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 19% 2%
73 MCLANE Lauren 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
74 WOLF Isabella A. 100% 100% 94% 67% 29% 6% -
75 LU Junyao 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 4%
76 NING Emma 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 21% 4%
77 CHAN Paree A. 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 15% 2%
78 TONCHEVA Victoria M. 100% 100% 98% 90% 67% 32% 6%
79 WANG anne 100% 91% 63% 29% 8% 1% -
80 SMUK Daria A. 100% 98% 86% 54% 20% 3% -
81 PYO Yunice 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 19% 2%
82 BELSLEY Devon K. 100% 96% 79% 46% 17% 3% -
83 KETKAR Mallika 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 23% 3%
84 YOON Julia J. 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 24% 2%
85 PROCTOR Sara J. 100% 100% 98% 90% 67% 33% 8%
86 KIZILBASH Zara 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
87 SMITH Grace L. 100% 100% 89% 58% 22% 4% -
88 LIN Katie Y. 100% 98% 88% 60% 27% 6% 1%
90 LIVERANT Jordan S. 100% 99% 90% 66% 34% 10% 1%
90 GEBALA Natalie Brooke A. 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 24% 3%
90 DOUGLAS Julia F. 100% 99% 94% 72% 37% 10% 1%
93 PATURU Meghana 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 14%
93 POPOVICI Astrid I. 100% 89% 56% 23% 5% 1% -
95 KUNDU Anisha 100% 98% 82% 43% 10% -
96 GAO Aretha R. 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
97 KIM Diane E. 100% 99% 92% 64% 26% 4%
98 CAPELLUA Mariasole 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% -
99 LIU Jennifer L. 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 1%
100 GHIDINA O'Livia G. 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 37% 8%
101 LEANG Andrea K. 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 15% 2%
102 YAO Jillian 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 7% -
102 RUNIONS Emersyn 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2%
104 HILL Gabrielle (Gabby) M. 100% 100% 92% 67% 32% 8% 1%
105 LU Shiqi 100% 98% 87% 62% 30% 9% 1%
106 LIM Clarice 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 11% 1%
107 GABERKORN Nadia 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 10%
108 MCNEILL Claire A. 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 13% 1%
109 GLASSNER Sophia Rose S. 100% 95% 69% 29% 5% - -
110 SOIN Anika A. 100% 85% 50% 18% 4% - -
111 HU Grace 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
112 SNIDER Margot (Maggie) 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 6%
113 LUO Ashley 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% -
114 CHEN Zhengnan(Janet) 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 18%
115 LEANG Priscilla Y. 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 1%
116 CHERNYSHOVA Victoria 100% 92% 63% 26% 5% -
117 HEDVAT Alexis S. 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 9% 1%
118 WEISS Talia L. 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 13% 2%
119 NGUYEN Kaylin A. 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 18% 2%
120 ERTAS Eileen 100% 91% 63% 29% 7% 1% -
121 SMIK Leonie A. 100% 92% 66% 33% 10% 2% -
121 TONG Sarah Shen 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 2% -
123 LIN Anna F. 100% 97% 79% 47% 17% 3% -
124 JAMES Josephine 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% - -
125 WHITTEMORE Lucy K. 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 9% 1%
126 GRESHAM Rebekah L. 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 5%
127 HENRY Asha S. 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1%
128 MCCUTCHEN Lauren (Lulu) 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1%
129 OH Kaitlin Y. 100% 91% 48% 13% 2% - -
131 AHUJA Arianna 100% 99% 90% 61% 25% 5% -
132 ZHANG Maya 100% 99% 88% 61% 27% 7% 1%
133 SLACKMAN Valerie 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 7% -
134 WU Fan 100% 96% 76% 43% 14% 2% -
135 WRIGHT Margaret A. 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
136 MALDONADO Pilar I. 100% 100% 94% 69% 30% 5%
137 MAYER Ingrid V. 100% 91% 60% 23% 4% -
138 FENG Kelly L. 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% - -
139 LANZMAN Anna B. 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 5% -
140 WU Amelia 100% 100% 99% 88% 59% 22% 3%
141 LONG Cindy 100% 100% 96% 81% 53% 22% 4%
142 KANG Dahyun 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 9% 1%
143 WOLSTENHOLME-BRITT Samantha (Sam) G. 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 2% -
144 MOHABIR Ariane 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 9%
145 QURESHI Aafreen 100% 96% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
146 SZEWC Alexandra 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 2% -
147 BOTNER Olivia 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
148 BROOKS Tean R. 100% 98% 87% 60% 28% 7% 1%
149 TAYLOR Audrey Y. 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 3%
150 PARKER Allegra H. 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 18% 2%
151 BEHENSKY Brenna 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 7% -
151 KWON Athina 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 10% 1%
153 GILBRETH Meghan G. 100% 92% 63% 27% 7% 1% -
154 KOWALSKY Rachel A. 100% 97% 82% 48% 17% 3% -
155 XIE Adeline 100% 92% 62% 23% 4% - -
156 ADVINCULA Anabella E. 100% 94% 65% 25% 4% - -
157 PEREZ Gabriella (Gabi) S. 100% 94% 69% 33% 8% 1% -
158 GOLDBERG Sophie C. 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% - -
159 SHEN Stephanie 100% 96% 76% 42% 13% 2% -
160 STOJANOVIC Mina 100% 76% 30% 6% 1% -
161 CHOI Lyla 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
162 LEE kyungmin 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
163 SUMRALL Emily M. 100% 96% 78% 46% 16% 3% -
164 ZUHARS Renee A. 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 40% 10%
166 WANG Nora 100% 100% 96% 82% 49% 16% 1%
167 SCHAFF Marlene M. 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
167 ZHANG Tina 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 9% 1%
169 JIANG Corina 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% - -
170 MILLER Veronica 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% - -
171 MYERS Jeanelle Christina A. 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% - -
171 SCHMUGAR Brooke 100% 94% 65% 24% 4% - -
173 KIM Elizabeth Y. 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 6% -
174 COBERT Helen G. 100% 99% 95% 77% 43% 13% 1%
175 CHIN Isabella 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 22% 4%
176 KERAMANE Halah Z. 100% 63% 21% 4% - - -
177 WANG Junyao 100% 97% 81% 50% 20% 4% -
178 O'REILLY Aeryn E. 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 8% 1%
179 VANDERLINDEN Mira 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% - -
180 SHAO Ariel 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
181 DINGMAN Amanda 100% 99% 89% 64% 29% 7% 1%
181 DONDISCH Sophia 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% - -
183 PERALTA-VIRTUE Kamilla M. 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 10% 1%
183 SHEN GE 100% 90% 60% 27% 7% 1% -
185 PROVANCE Amanda R. 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4% -
185 BENATER Lauren 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
185 WANG Gioia Serena 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1% -
188 CHAN Elizabeth 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 7% 1%
189 MILEWSKI Nicole 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
190 CHEUNG Ho Huen 100% 78% 39% 11% 2% - -
191 SHOATES Jacqueline A. 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4%
192 MEHROTRA Anya 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 3%
193 PARTE Isabella B. 100% 63% 18% 2% - -
194 LEE Olive 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% -
195 SON Katherine (Injee) 100% 92% 53% 15% 2% -
196 BYBEE Lucy J. 100% 42% 7% 1% - -
197 WADE-CURRIE Ava S. 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 24% 4%
198 GUMAGAY Erika L. 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
199 REITINGER Emilie B. 100% 82% 45% 15% 3% - -
200 GONG SIYU 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% - -
201 DE JAGER Celine 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
202 MOTON Mckenzie R. 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% - -
203 TAO Olivia A. 100% 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
204 BANKS Lauren M. 100% 68% 24% 4% - - -
205 DESAI Meera P. 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% 1%
206 KORNGUTH Lindsay 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 5% -
207 GAO Judy 100% 98% 69% 29% 6% 1% -
207 SU Vivienne 100% 70% 29% 7% 1% - -
207 LI molan 100% 81% 41% 12% 2% - -
210 KIZILBASH Alizeh H. 100% 97% 61% 20% 3% - -
211 BAFFA Arianna M. 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 11% 1%
212 LEE Michelle 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6%
212 KIM Erika S. 100% 90% 56% 20% 4% - -
214 HUH Anna 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1% -
215 KIM Caroline 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
216 SAUL Nicole 100% 97% 81% 45% 13% 1% -
216 YU Claire 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% - -
218 MA Laura 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
219 SAAL Anna 100% 98% 83% 46% 11% 1% -
219 GELBER Sara 100% 24% 3% - - - -
221 WILLIAMS Sarah 100% 89% 57% 21% 4% - -
222 MOK Chloe R. 100% 59% 17% 2% - - -
223 SHAH Chloe 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% - -
223 SIDDIQUI Ammna K. 100% 90% 58% 22% 5% - -
225 ZHAO Yingying 100% 95% 72% 38% 11% 2% -
226 COVITZ Ashley A. 100% 23% 2% - - - -
227 ZAKHAROV Anne E. 100% 67% 26% 5% 1% - -
228 KWON Tiara 100% 61% 19% 3% - - -
229 THORNTON Paula R. 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
230 DIDONATO Gianina L. 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% 1% -
232 JANOWSKI Madeline (Madeline Janowski) A. 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 4% -
232 PARK Ashley Y. 100% 95% 68% 30% 7% 1% -
234 KAUR Simarpreet 100% 78% 38% 11% 2% -
237 BECCHINA Olivia 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 1%
238 HUANG audrey 100% 80% 37% 9% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.