Ariel Shao

2002

Win/Loss Statistics

2024-2025 2023-2024 2022-2023 2021-2022 Before 2021 All Time
Victories - - - - 50 50
Losses - - - - 61 61
Win Ratio - - - - 45.0% 45.0%
Pool Victories - - - - 36 36
Pool Losses - - - - 48 48
Pool Win Ratio - - - - 42.9% 42.9%
DE Victories - - - - 14 14
DE Losses - - - - 13 13
DE Win Ratio - - - - 51.9% 51.9%

Note: Seasons start on August 1st and end on July 31st.

Scores

2024-2025 2023-2024 2022-2023 2021-2022 Before 2021 All Time
Easy wins† - - - - 8 8
Easy wins as % of wins - - - - 16.0% 16.0%
Close wins‡ - - - - 23 23
Close wins as % of all wins - - - - 46.0% 46.0%
Close losses‡ - - - - 20 20
Close losses as % of all losses - - - - 32.8% 32.8%
Big losses† - - - - 9 9
Big losses as % of all losses - - - - 14.8% 14.8%

† Easy victories or big losses are those with the score difference of 4 or more touches in a pool, 7 or more touches in direct elimination, and 5 or more in veteran and youth direct elimination.
‡ Close bouts are those with the score difference of 1 or fewer touches in a pool, 3 or fewer touches in direct elimination, or 2 or fewer touches in veteran or youth direct elimination.

Bouts with Time Expired

2024-2025 2023-2024 2022-2023 2021-2022 Before 2021 All Time
Victories - - - - 2 2
Victories as % of all victories - - - - 4.0% 4.0%
Losses - - - - 5 5
Losses as % of all losses - - - - 8.2% 8.2%
Total - - - - 7 7
Total as % of all bouts - - - - 6.3% 6.3%

Events

2024-2025 2023-2024 2022-2023 2021-2022 Before 2021 All Time
Events - - - - 15 15
Tournaments - - - - 8 8

Competition History

USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Div II Women's Épée (B3, DV2), July 5, 2019
Place 23 of 179, Seed 71, Not ranked, Rating D19, Fencing Academy Of Westchester
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool W 5:0 DUAN Jenny S. 138 E17 133 Northwest Fencing Center 2274 2398 12.7 58%
Pool W 5:1 LI Tiffany 123 E18 143 Gold Blade Fencing Center 2095 2411 9.3 70%
Pool L 1:5 ROWLAND May 168 U 90 Princeton-Hillsborough YMCA / TigerZ Fencing Academy 1999 2420 23.8 76%
Pool W 5:1 SOIN Anika A. 34 C18 153 Academy Of Fencing Masters (AFM) 2403 2397 14.7 50%
Pool L 3:5 MILEWSKI Nicole 19 C19 47 Cape Fear Fencing Association 2600 2411 10.9 38%
Pool W 5:4 BENATER Lauren 86 D18 2 Elite Fencing Academy 2695 2400 20.0 31%
T128 W 15:11 PARDO Sarah 81 D18 94 Boston Fencing Club 2283 2607 28.3 68%
T64 W 15:13 GEBALA Natalie Brooke A. 35 C18 37 Academy Of Fencing Masters (AFM) 3301 2635 88.6 15%
T32 L 11:15 MAYER Ingrid V. 55 C16 13 Alamo Fencing Academy 2506 2724 46.5 62%

USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Div III Women's Épée (C3, DV3), July 4, 2019
Place 65 of 179, Seed 8, Not ranked, Rating D19, Fencing Academy Of Westchester
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool W 5:4 PARDO Sarah 45 D18 25 Boston Fencing Club 2303 2368 13.8 54%
Pool W 5:2 ZHANG Nicole 97 E18 143 Hooked On Fencing 1860 2382 6.5 79%
Pool W 5:2 BALAN Kassandra 112 U 167 1110 2388 1.6 95%
Pool W 5:0 GREGORY Alex 164 U 112 Northern Colorado Fencers 1083 2390 0.9 98%
Pool W 5:2 LEE Anna 59 E19 87 Top Fencing Club 1945 2391 7.5 77%
T128 L 14:15 HAUK Zsofia F. 168 U 8 Alliance Fencing Academy / Bayou City Fencing Academy 2510 2656 49.4 58%

USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Div I-A Women's Épée (A4, D1A), June 29, 2019
Place 102 of 126, Seed 119, Not ranked, Rating D19, Fencing Academy Of Westchester
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 4:5 QURESHI Aafreen 45 B18 82 Fortune Fencing 2698 2380 10.2 30%
Pool L 4:5 ZHANG Maya 100 C18 76 Medeo Fencing Club 2931 2370 6.4 18%
Pool W 5:3 COBERT Helen G. 63 B17 97 Marx Fencing Academy 2891 2363 28.3 19%
Pool L 3:5 LEE Michelle 81 C19 33 Penta Olympic Fencing Club 2985 2392 5.9 16%
Pool L 4:5 RABEL Brenna V. 28 B19 16 Nova Fencing Club / Bucks County Academy Of Fencing 2548 2386 12.3 40%
Pool L 3:5 ZUHARS Renee A. 9 97 B19 80 Cardinal Fencing Club 3008 2373 5.3 15%

USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Junior Women's Épée (A4, JNR), June 28, 2019
Place 180 of 239, Seed 190, Not ranked, Rating D19, Fencing Academy Of Westchester
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 0:3 CHOI Lyla 50 64 A19 161 New York Athletic Club / Fencers Club Inc. 2962 2354 6.5 16%
Pool W 5:4 DANIEL Chloe L. 21 22 A17 58 Fortune Fencing 3209 2348 40.8 8%
Pool L 4:5 SOIN Anika A. 160 C18 110 Academy Of Fencing Masters (AFM) 2371 2388 17.7 51%
Pool L 4:5 WANG Gioia Serena 233 U 185 2603 2371 10.6 38%
Pool L 1:5 NI Emma 120 B18 23 Medeo Fencing Club 2837 2360 7.9 22%
Pool W 5:4 XU Grace (XinYi) 91 125 D19 51 2824 2352 27.7 22%
T256 L 10:15 PATURU Meghana 71 96 B19 93 Medeo Fencing Club 3476 2669 12.5 10%

East Coast Challenge RJCC

Junior Women's Épée (B2, JNR), May 12, 2019
Place 48 of 61, Seed 25, Not ranked, Rating D19, Fencing Academy Of Westchester
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 3:5 FILIPPOV Nika D. 7 141 B17 23 Alliance Fencing Academy 2620 2395 14.6 36%
Pool L 2:5 SHEN Stephanie 44 E18 13 2543 2380 15.6 40%
Pool W 5:3 MOK Chloe R. 60 U 43 Medeo Fencing Club 2040 2365 12.0 70%
Pool L 3:5 ZENG Katrina 49 U 50 Medeo Fencing Club 2030 2377 28.4 71%
Pool W 5:4 LIN Julia L. 12 C19 30 Island Fencing Academy 2623 2348 25.9 33%
Pool L 3:5 PARTE Isabella B. 29 D19 33 Marx Fencing Academy 2304 2374 19.9 55%
T64 L 12:15 SLACKMAN Valerie 20 C18 12 Hills Fencing Institute (H3) / Commack High School 2835 2714 44.9 43%

Jeff Wolfe Long Island Challenge

Div I-A Women's Épée (B2, D1A), April 28, 2019
Place 8 of 32, Seed 16, Not ranked, Rating D19, Fencing Academy Of Westchester
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 3:5 KIM Elizabeth Y. 5 C19 21 Fencing Sports Academy, Inc. 2720 2461 15.2 34%
Pool L 3:5 BOWIE Charlotta 6 C19 20 Modern Duelists Fencing Academy 2293 2446 26.1 60%
Pool L 3:5 ZHAO Yingying 24 E19 18 Princeton-Hillsborough YMCA / Wanglei International Fencing Club 2613 2420 16.1 38%
Pool W 5:4 PATEL Viha 26 E18 29 Rhode Island Fencing Academy And Club 1638 2404 5.5 88%
Pool L 4:5 LIN Julia L. 15 C18 2 Island Fencing Center 2643 2409 14.7 35%
T32 W 15:10 ZHAO Yingying 24 E19 18 Princeton-Hillsborough YMCA / Wanglei International Fencing Club 2216 2694 30.9 76%
T16 W 15:14 WU Fan 8 C19 11 2595 2725 49.2 58%
T8 L 14:15 PROKOP Jeannine A. 9 C19 3 Nova Fencing Club 2655 2775 60.9 57%

Junior Olympic National Championships

Cadet Women's Épée (A4, CDT), February 18, 2019
Place 84 of 234, Seed 180, Not ranked, Rating E18, Fencing Academy Of Westchester
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 4:5 MCLANE Lauren 25 33 A18 10 2928 2390 10.4 19%
Pool W 5:3 HAND Grace 161 E18 195 Candlewood Fencing Center 1918 2380 11.6 76%
Pool W 5:4 GILBRETH Meghan G. 112 C17 121 IMasters Academy 2404 2391 23.8 49%
Pool L 2:5 LONG Cindy 93 B18 85 Medeo Fencing Club 3015 2415 8.6 17%
Pool W 5:1 NWOSU Chisom 229 U 231 Wallingford-Swarthmore Panthers 1544 2406 5.6 87%
Pool W 5:4 WANG Karen 44 53 B18 57 Alliance Fencing Academy 3189 2412 49.3 10%
T256 W 15:14 DARANOUVONG Logan 164 E18 185 Denver Fencing Center / Rocky Mountain Fencing Academy 2396 2728 44.8 69%
T128 L 14:15 MCCARTHY Sara I. 50 64 D18 53 Peoria Fencing Academy 2525 2773 78.7 63%

Junior Olympic National Championships

Junior Women's Épée (A4, JNR), February 16, 2019
Place 225 of 255, Seed 209, Not ranked, Rating E18, Fencing Academy Of Westchester
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 3:4 SIDDIQUI Ammna K. 163 D19 114 Marx Fencing Academy 2479 2429 25.6 47%
Pool L 1:5 WANG Karen 61 92 B18 51 Alliance Fencing Academy 3247 2403 5.7 9%
Pool L 4:5 CHAN Elizabeth 133 C18 122 Medeo Fencing Club 2888 2397 12.1 21%
Pool W 5:2 BONDAR Nika 239 U 248 International Fencing Academy (CA) 2180 2385 19.0 63%
Pool L 0:5 PARK Faith K. 14 21 A18 5 Penta Olympic Fencing Club 3518 2404 2.6 4%
Pool L 3:5 CHAN Cheri K. 87 129 D18 38 Battle Born Fencing Club 2888 2402 11.7 22%

Thrust Winter RYC RJCC

Junior Women's Épée (B2, JNR), February 10, 2019
Place 8 of 44, Seed 28, Not ranked, Rating E18, Fencing Academy of Westchester
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 2:5 WANG Anne 40 U 12 2622 2403 23.5 36%
Pool W 5:3 APPLEBEE Andralyn 42 U 40 Prospect Fencing Club 1374 2379 5.6 91%
Pool W 5:4 HUH Anna 30 E18 14 Top Fencing Club 2630 2385 40.8 35%
Pool L 2:5 CHOI Lyla 1 80 A18 6 New York Athletic Club / Fencers Club Inc. 2902 2426 14.1 22%
Pool L 2:5 CHAN Elizabeth 15 C18 17 Medeo Fencing Club 2884 2411 13.9 22%
Pool W 5:2 BIGGS Amelia F. 14 C18 16 Rhode Island Fencing Academy and Club 2478 2398 31.0 45%
T64 W 15:9 APPLEBEE Andralyn 42 U 40 Prospect Fencing Club 1934 2581 33.1 76%
T32 W 15:7 MUELLER Victoria E. 22 D18 18 Rhode Island Fencing Academy and Club 2309 2614 49.8 64%
T16 W 15:13 BIGGS Amelia F. 14 C18 16 Rhode Island Fencing Academy and Club 2727 2664 82.3 46%
T8 L 8:15 LU Junyao 44 U 3 Wanglei International Fencing Club / WangLei Fencing Club Morris 3622 2746 17.9 11%

Thrust Winter RYC RJCC

Cadet Women's Épée (C2, CDT), February 9, 2019
Place 7 of 45, Seed 19, Not ranked, Rating E18, Fencing Academy of Westchester
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool W 5:3 STACK Siadbh 42 U 30 Lilov Fencing Academy 2168 2309 30.1 59%
Pool L 2:4 CHAN Elizabeth 5 C18 11 Medeo Fencing Club 2849 2340 16.3 21%
Pool W 5:2 APPLEBEE Andralyn 35 U 42 Prospect Fencing Club 1659 2323 12.2 79%
Pool W 5:3 MING Cynthia 24 U 36 Medeo Fencing Club 2055 2335 23.2 67%
Pool W 5:1 SAAL Anna 10 D19 19 Rhode Island Fencing Academy and Club 2585 2359 44.0 36%
T32 W 15:10 EBRAHIM Ameera H. 17 E18 25 Medeo Fencing Club 2333 2342 113.9 51%
T16 W 15:12 CHAN Elizabeth 5 C18 11 Medeo Fencing Club 2776 2456 147.2 32%
T8 L 8:15 LUO Ashley 11 D18 2 Olympia Fencing Center 3478 2603 22.1 10%

Cobra Challenge Div 1A/Div 2 ROC

Div I-A Women's Épée (B2, D1A), December 30, 2018
Place 28 of 39, Seed 33, Not ranked, Rating E18, Fencing Academy of Westchester
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 3:5 LEE Olive 21 C18 8 Top Fencing Club 2500 2208 31.8 32%
Pool W 5:4 LIN Katie Y. 8 B18 24 Medeo Fencing Club 2950 2177 97.7 11%
Pool L 2:5 ZHAO Yingying 31 E18 22 Princeton-Hillsborough YMCA / Wanglei International Fencing Club 2539 2274 29.3 34%
Pool L 4:5 DROVETSKY Alexandra M. 6 B18 16 Medeo Fencing Club 3011 2245 10.9 11%
Pool W 5:4 KOWALSKY Rachel A. 18 C18 21 Hills Fencing Institute (H3) 2845 2234 75.3 16%
T64 W 15:7 ROWLAND May 38 U 37 Princeton-Hillsborough YMCA / TigerZ Fencing Academy 2038 2303 99.3 63%
T32 L 12:15 SLACKMAN Valerie 32 E18 2 Hills Fencing Institute (H3) / Commack High School 2959 2402 60.1 22%

Cobra Challenge Div 1A/Div 2 ROC

Div II Women's Épée (D1, DV2), December 28, 2018
Place 13 of 29, Seed 15, Not ranked, Rating E18, Fencing Academy of Westchester
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool W 5:4 KIM Ariel H. 21 U 10 Island Fencing Center 2274 2121 62.7 42%
Pool L 4:5 KOKES Ava 29 U 23 Fencers Club Inc. 2164 2184 58.7 51%
Pool W 5:3 CORDERO Allison 22 U 20 WangLei Fencing Club Morris 1406 2125 17.6 83%
Pool L 3:5 NI Emma 1 B18 2 Medeo Fencing Club 2945 2143 13.4 10%
Pool W 5:4 ZHAO Yingying 10 E18 25 Princeton-Hillsborough YMCA / Wanglei International Fencing Club 2520 2129 79.0 27%
T32 W 15:9 CORDERO Allison 22 U 20 WangLei Fencing Club Morris 1866 2275 91.0 66%
T16 L 12:15 NI Emma 1 B18 2 Medeo Fencing Club 3039 2366 63.2 18%

Thrust Fall ROC - Div 1A/Div 2 - plus Non-Regional Junior/Cadet

Div II Women's Épée (C2, DV2), December 9, 2018
Place 42 of 49, Seed 28, Not ranked, Rating E18, Fencing Academy of Westchester
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 3:5 SZEWC Alexandra 48 U 8 WangLei Fencing Club Morris / Forte Fencing Foundation 2580 2184 50.5 30%
Pool L 4:5 WILLIAMS Claudine S. 3 C18 20 Durkan Fencing Academy 2596 2134 43.1 26%
Pool W 5:4 MCGEE Sophia 31 E18 41 Rhode Island Fencing Academy and Club 2567 2091 132.3 23%
Pool L 3:5 KOWALSKY Rachel A. 12 D18 21 Hills Fencing Institute (H3) 2765 2223 31.8 20%
Pool L 3:5 MAO Amy 42 U 35 Medeo Fencing Club 2280 2191 60.5 45%
Pool L 3:4 CHIN Isabella 17 D18 1 New York Fencing Academy 3162 2130 9.3 5%
T64 L 11:15 HUH Anna 37 E18 15 Top Fencing Club 2414 2489 214.1 54%

Thrust Fall ROC - Div 1A/Div 2 - plus Non-Regional Junior/Cadet

Div I-A Women's Épée (A2, D1A), December 8, 2018
Place 43 of 47, Seed 43, Not ranked, Rating E18, Fencing Academy of Westchester
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 3:5 SIBLEY Elisabeth J. 23 C17 16 Fencing Academy of Philadelphia / Fencing Academy of Philadelphia North 2525 2273 124.5 37%
Pool W 5:4 DOUGLAS Julia F. 42 E18 38 Rhode Island Fencing Academy and Club 2642 2148 242.4 24%
Pool L 2:5 LEE Michelle 14 C18 22 Penta Olympic Fencing Club 2727 2391 79.4 31%
Pool L 1:5 KOMAR Sofia 1 25 A18 1 Medeo Fencing Club 3383 2311 17.5 6%
Pool L 1:5 CHIN Isabella 31 D18 9 New York Fencing Academy 3139 2294 27.2 11%
Pool L 1:5 BENATER Lauren 29 D18 29 Prospect Fencing Club 2414 2267 82.4 42%
T64 L 11:15 LEE Michelle 14 C18 22 Penta Olympic Fencing Club 2952 2674 184.7 37%

Gold Finch RJCC

Cadet Women's Épée (C2, CDT), November 17, 2018
Place 8 of 37, Seed 19, Not ranked, Rating E17, Fencing Academy of Westchester
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 3:5 HAN Jaewon(Leah) 6 D18 6 Top Fencing Club 2918 2500 376.1 34%
Pool L 3:5 TOLBA Salma 18 E18 19 Premier Fencing Club 2808 2124 192.5 23%
Pool W 5:2 MING Cynthia 36 U 36 Medeo Fencing Club 1868 1931 294.6 53%
Pool L 3:4 REID Sobia 7 D18 9 Medeo Fencing Club 2677 2226 148.9 28%
Pool W 4:3 MAO Amy 35 U 26 Medeo Fencing Club 2033 2077 195.7 52%
T32 W 15:14 YANG Chloe 23 U 17 Medeo Fencing Club 2500 2500 420.5 50%
T16 W 8:7 ALVIDREZ Francesca A. 33 U 13 Arena Fencing Academy Llc 2427 2921 257.6 68%
T8 L 11:15 LEE Olive 5 D18 2 Top Fencing Club 2700 3178 504.4 70%