USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Junior Men's Saber

Friday, June 28, 2019 at 11:00 AM

Columbus, OH - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DOLEGIEWICZ Filip - - - - 5% 29% 66%
2 SOLOMON Daniel P. - - - - 5% 30% 64%
3 SARON Mitchell S. - - - - 1% 15% 84%
3 HEATHCOCK Antonio - - - 1% 11% 40% 48%
5 MULLENNIX Ethan M. - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 31%
5 MA Jonathan D. - - - - 4% 26% 70%
7 LORTKIPANIDZE Guram - 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
8 CALLAHAN Jaden P. - 5% 19% 35% 29% 10% 1%
9 VIDOVSZKY Robert T. - - - - 3% 22% 75%
9 KUSHKOV Simon O. - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 10%
11 KARAM Tariq A. - - - 2% 14% 44% 40%
12 MIKA Casper - - 2% 10% 30% 41% 17%
13 SHEPANEK Noah M. - - 4% 17% 37% 34% 9%
14 PETWAY Justin E. - 3% 14% 29% 32% 18% 4%
15 KIM Stephen E. - - 1% 8% 25% 40% 26%
16 MULVANEY Alec S. - 2% 12% 28% 34% 20% 4%
17 WALKER Christopher J. - - - - 5% 30% 64%
18 SMITH Jared C. - - - 2% 14% 41% 43%
19 MOON Sean H. - - - 4% 17% 41% 38%
20 JOHNSON Andrew J. - - - 2% 12% 38% 48%
21 SKEETE Kamar A. - - - - 5% 29% 66%
22 LORTKIPANIDZE Nickoloz - - - 4% 19% 43% 33%
22 KUPANOFF Dimitri N. - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 27%
24 JULIEN William A - 2% 11% 29% 36% 18% 3%
24 ANGLADE Junior Ronald (RJ) E. - 1% 5% 18% 33% 31% 12%
26 KIM Minwook - 1% 5% 19% 34% 30% 11%
27 ZHAO Raymond H. - 1% 4% 16% 32% 33% 14%
28 CHOU Stephen C. - 1% 5% 20% 37% 30% 7%
29 BIVINS III George A. - - 1% 9% 28% 40% 21%
30 ZHOU Matthew R. - 4% 17% 34% 31% 12% 1%
31 PREVEY-SULLIVAN Owen D. - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
32 TAKEMARU Leo - 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
33 LIMB Matthew G. - 1% 5% 19% 37% 30% 8%
33 KIM Charlson - - - 4% 19% 42% 34%
35 KIM Brian S. - - - 4% 21% 43% 31%
36 BACON Elias (Eli) H. - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
37 CAI Lawrence (Larry) 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 7% < 1%
38 OSOLINIEC Victor E. - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
39 REN Junming - - - 4% 21% 44% 30%
40 LINDER James (Luke) L. - - - 2% 11% 38% 49%
41 BOLTON Braydon A. 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 5% -
42 ATTIG Will T. - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
43 LO Joshua H. 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4% -
44 PARK Justin W. - 1% 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
45 MEHTA Sachin N. - - 4% 15% 32% 34% 14%
46 DESCHERER David - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
47 TRAVERS Samir T. 3% 15% 30% 30% 17% 5% 1%
48 BASALYGA Jeffrey - 5% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
49 LAI Adam J. 1% 6% 20% 32% 28% 12% 2%
50 HARGENRADER Kailen A. 1% 19% 37% 29% 11% 2% -
50 ZU Kevin - - 2% 13% 35% 39% 10%
52 KIM Avery J. - 3% 14% 31% 32% 16% 3%
53 NADILE Henry V. - 1% 7% 21% 35% 28% 9%
54 CHAYEVSKY Kirk 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6% 1%
55 SCHMITT Trenton R. - - - 4% 19% 42% 34%
56 SOHN Kevin J. - 1% 9% 24% 35% 24% 7%
57 HU William - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
58 OSTER Keegan J. - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
59 DEMAREST Iain - 1% 6% 22% 38% 27% 6%
60 BUENAVENTURA Christian - 1% 8% 23% 36% 26% 6%
61 KULDELL Spencer D. - 1% 7% 21% 35% 28% 9%
62 KIM Benjamin H. 1% 9% 27% 36% 21% 5% -
63 LIM Ryan Y. - 1% 9% 27% 39% 21% 3%
64 ZIELINSKI Nicholaus M. 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 8% -
65 TE VELDE Noah C. - - - 3% 17% 42% 39%
66 YEN Darren - - 2% 13% 33% 37% 14%
67 PARK Donghwan - - 2% 9% 27% 40% 23%
68 MERCHANT Marcel J. - - 1% 6% 21% 41% 32%
69 PRIEST Leighton K. - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
69 TONG Qilin - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
71 MCBRIDE Jackson R. - 1% 7% 21% 35% 28% 8%
72 GILES Jeremy M. - 2% 10% 29% 38% 19% 2%
73 JEFFORDS Alexander - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
74 RIVERA Inigo Franco - 1% 9% 26% 37% 22% 4%
75 BREIER Satchel E. - 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
76 KIM Sean G. - 1% 7% 24% 37% 26% 5%
77 CHAN Zachary D. - - 3% 14% 32% 35% 15%
78 SINGER Carson 3% 16% 33% 30% 15% 4% -
79 HEATHCOCK Colin Yang Siqi 2% 14% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
80 BARBER William S. 7% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
81 REESE Aaron S. - 1% 11% 32% 36% 16% 2%
82 GRUBE Sterling T. - - 1% 7% 28% 45% 19%
82 KANG Brandon M. - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
84 SUBBIAH Prashanth V. - 4% 20% 38% 28% 8% 1%
85 DROZ Camden J. - 3% 14% 30% 34% 17% 2%
85 HARRIS Alex K. - 4% 16% 30% 31% 16% 3%
87 LEUNG Mark - - - 3% 15% 41% 41%
88 LIU Jesse Y. - - 2% 13% 34% 38% 13%
88 BENAVRAM Lev C. - - 2% 13% 31% 37% 17%
90 GRATHWOL-SEAR Sebastian 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 10% 1%
91 KOKKIN Jack S. 2% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2% -
92 LANDAU Nathaniel (Nat) B. - - 2% 11% 32% 40% 16%
93 STATEN-LUSTY Silas J. 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
94 PORTMANN Stein J. - 6% 25% 39% 24% 6% 1%
95 ERACHSHAW Taras P. 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
96 CHEN Alan - 5% 18% 33% 30% 12% 2%
97 GEFELL Andrew P. - 1% 9% 28% 38% 21% 4%
97 AURAY Phileas 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
99 LE Hayden 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
100 JI Cody Walter - 3% 15% 31% 33% 16% 3%
100 YOUNG Nash 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
102 SMITH David C. 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1%
103 LIN John A. - 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 7%
104 WINKLER Lucas G. 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 5% -
105 WILLIAMS Nolan E. 1% 8% 23% 32% 25% 10% 1%
106 DANNULL Lukas J. 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
107 BUEKER Samuel P. 4% 26% 39% 24% 7% 1% -
108 SHIN Richard J.H. - 4% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2%
109 HARLEY Colby A. - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 11%
109 LIANG Connor - - 4% 17% 37% 33% 8%
111 HARLEY Sage N. 2% 20% 39% 29% 9% 1% -
112 LAHOTSKA Yahor - 4% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3%
113 DODRILL Grant - 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5%
114 YAN Jack P. 1% 8% 26% 35% 22% 7% 1%
115 YANG Kevin S. - 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
116 DINU Nicholas D. - 1% 5% 19% 37% 30% 8%
117 YAO Jonathan - 3% 15% 33% 34% 14% 1%
118 ZHOU Justin 1% 8% 25% 36% 23% 6% -
119 NOBLE Daniel 1% 8% 31% 37% 19% 4% -
120 ESCUETA Tony V. - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
121 TRAVAGLIONE Conor D. - 2% 12% 31% 36% 17% 1%
122 DHINGRA Gian K. - 2% 12% 32% 36% 16% 2%
123 SMITH Mitchell M. - 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 3%
123 PAN Andrew W. 1% 13% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
125 PARKHURST Jr Michael 25% 43% 25% 6% 1% - -
126 HAMMERSTROM Jared 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
127 ZHOU Kevin 10% 31% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
128 YEN Preston 6% 23% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
129 HONG Marshall Q. - 4% 14% 28% 32% 18% 4%
130 QIU Le 1% 12% 34% 35% 15% 3% -
131 RAI Avin 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 5% -
132 DANNULL Linus N. 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
133 BOLTON Dawson E. - 2% 11% 29% 37% 19% 2%
134 MOSZCZYNSKI Adam - 4% 19% 37% 30% 9% 1%
135 GREENBAUM Maxwell H. - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 9%
135 SAKHAMURI Surya - 3% 17% 35% 32% 11% 1%
137 VACCARI Braden 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5% -
138 SEVOSTYANOV Stepan (Seva) - 4% 14% 29% 32% 18% 4%
139 HOLMES Aiden G. 1% 15% 33% 32% 15% 4% -
140 CAPPELLUTI Ryan M. - 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
141 ZHANG Michael M. 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
142 GANTA Vijay 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
143 VASILYEV Nikita K. 1% 8% 25% 34% 24% 8% 1%
144 DENNER Lysander H. - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 1%
145 BARNETT Adam - 2% 11% 26% 34% 21% 5%
146 FRISHMAN Ethan J. - 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 3%
147 WUN William 2% 17% 36% 31% 12% 2% -
148 RAMAN Easwer - 4% 20% 37% 29% 8% 1%
149 LEFEVRE Colin B. 18% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
150 TANG Alex Y. 4% 18% 34% 29% 13% 3% -
151 CHAMBERS Amir E. 1% 7% 21% 32% 26% 11% 2%
152 WOOD Elden S. 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
153 WIND Nicky E. 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
153 YANG Richard 8% 28% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
155 MARSEE James 1% 5% 19% 35% 29% 10% 1%
156 GINIS Nathan 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
157 HUANG Eric 10% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
157 LASORSA Matthew 5% 24% 36% 25% 9% 1% -
159 GILLIGAN Wolff 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2% -
160 SHI Andrew 1% 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
161 CHO Brandon 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
162 LUEBBE Macklan C 1% 9% 25% 35% 23% 6% 1%
163 LAI Eric A. 6% 23% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
164 HAN Nicholas 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 9% 1%
165 MORREALE John 1% 7% 26% 37% 22% 6% -
166 LIU kelly 3% 21% 36% 28% 11% 2% -
167 LEVIN Mark A. 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
167 KAYDALIN Artyom 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
169 BUKOWSKI Bronson 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
170 MYERS Kaleb S. 23% 43% 26% 7% 1% - -
171 ALLUM Christopher T. 1% 10% 28% 34% 21% 6% 1%
172 NI AMEN Zahir K. 4% 20% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
173 LEE Kyle - 2% 10% 26% 36% 22% 5%
174 WANG Qifa 3% 19% 35% 29% 12% 2% -
174 HASNAH Henry 5% 26% 39% 24% 6% 1% -
176 RAJA Arnav 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
177 HARVEY Nicholas J. 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 9% 1%
177 STRONG Jr James S. 17% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
179 DESAI Drewv D. 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
180 CZYZEWSKI Konrad R. 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
180 WU Nicholas R. 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2% -
182 BARTOLO Domenic V. 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 3% -
182 SATHE Tej R. 20% 44% 28% 7% 1% - -
184 FLORES Peter D. 3% 22% 39% 27% 8% 1% -
185 BERGER Oliver 1% 14% 35% 33% 14% 2% -
186 LIN William 2% 16% 34% 31% 14% 3% -
187 IWAMOTO Eric Y. 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 7% -
188 CHEN Brian - 3% 15% 34% 34% 13% 1%
188 BAILEY Asher 6% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
188 LAUDON Konrad 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
191 PEDERSEN Leif 1% 10% 29% 35% 20% 5% -
191 MOORE Evan M. 15% 45% 30% 8% 1% - -
193 COPELAND Oliver E. 1% 11% 34% 35% 16% 3% -
194 MOSKOWITZ Mason C. 3% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
195 VAULES Charles W. 2% 11% 27% 32% 20% 6% 1%
196 YOUNG Brendon 22% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
197 MILLER Levi H. 2% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
198 MORRILL Justin 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
199 DILLREE Spencer S. 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
200 CHIEN Phillip L. 1% 11% 30% 35% 19% 5% -
200 YANG Ziyi 1% 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% -
202 VILLA-KOWAL Ivan H. 48% 39% 11% 1% - - -
203 NG Jonathan H. 1% 9% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
203 PAN Jack (Yuxiang) - 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
205 HANEY Vincent 16% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
206 LUO ZIRUI 9% 27% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
207 WOLIN Zachary A. 1% 12% 32% 34% 17% 4% -
208 QUAN Nicholas 3% 16% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
209 WINEBURNER J.T. 75% 22% 3% - - - -
210 BARNETT Peter 1% 8% 27% 36% 22% 5% -
210 HUSSAIN Faaris - 2% 14% 33% 35% 14% 2%
212 ROPER Evan C. 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
213 LAU Jeremy Y. 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
214 TANG Brendan J. 3% 17% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
215 CHANG Eliot A. 2% 14% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
215 MONTGOMERY Jadon T. - 6% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
217 KAHN Justin M. 6% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
218 LILOV Neil - 1% 10% 29% 38% 19% 2%
219 BRAR Sanjeet 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
220 METTKE Nathaniel 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
221 YEARLING Matthew 23% 39% 27% 9% 2% - -
221 ALKIN Isaac 20% 41% 29% 9% 1% - -
223 SHERR Cameron E. 35% 41% 19% 4% 1% - -
223 EPSTEIN Henry N. 38% 43% 16% 3% - - -
225 WESLER Logan A. 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
226 LAI Yat Hay Casper 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
227 JEAN Noe T. 1% 13% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
228 BANNERMAN Andrew J. 23% 40% 27% 9% 2% - -
229 PARKER Timothy S. 25% 43% 25% 7% 1% - -
230 GHOSH Tuhin 10% 31% 36% 18% 4% - -
230 HUDDY Brandon J. 18% 43% 29% 9% 1% - -
230 CHAN Matthew 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 9% 1%
233 KEEFE Duncan 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
234 DENNER Maximilian P. 8% 26% 34% 23% 8% 1% -
235 D'ORAZIO Joseph 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 11% 1%
236 ARNIPALLI Shanvanth 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
237 YATES Colum C. 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% - -
238 DU Gavin J. 28% 41% 23% 6% 1% - -
239 BALDAUF Frederick (Fritz) P. 15% 38% 32% 13% 2% - -
240 JIANG Kevin 62% 31% 6% 1% - - -
240 STEINMETZ John 45% 39% 13% 2% - - -
240 ZHANG Jeffrey 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
243 XU Michael 36% 41% 18% 4% - - -
244 LEONARD Cole 7% 32% 39% 19% 4% - -
244 MAHONEY Colin M. 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
244 JEFFERY Jakob 54% 36% 9% 1% - - -
244 WANG CIHANG 38% 41% 17% 4% - - -
248 MAGUIRE Matthew V. 11% 30% 33% 19% 6% 1% -
248 GOLDBERG Gabriel A. 72% 25% 3% - - - -
248 FINLEY Samuel W. 17% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
251 HOFFMAN Skyler E. 9% 38% 36% 14% 2% - -
252 GAFFNEY John M. 45% 40% 13% 2% - - -
252 KORINTH Alexander J. 50% 40% 10% 1% - - -
252 LEITH Jack 77% 21% 2% - - - -
255 OWENS William 2% 12% 29% 33% 18% 5% 1%
255 CHAVES Matthew J. 52% 36% 10% 1% - - -
255 DEWEY Charles J. 58% 33% 8% 1% - - -
255 LI TIANXIAO 41% 41% 15% 2% - - -
259 NEWTON Payden 40% 44% 14% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.