USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Junior Men's Saber

Friday, June 28, 2019 at 11:00 AM

Columbus, OH - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DOLEGIEWICZ Filip 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
2 SOLOMON Daniel P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 64%
3 SARON Mitchell S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 84%
3 HEATHCOCK Antonio 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
5 MULLENNIX Ethan M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
5 MA Jonathan D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 70%
7 LORTKIPANIDZE Guram 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6%
8 CALLAHAN Jaden P. 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 11% 1%
9 VIDOVSZKY Robert T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 75%
9 KUSHKOV Simon O. 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 10%
11 KARAM Tariq A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 40%
12 MIKA Casper 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 17%
13 SHEPANEK Noah M. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 9%
14 PETWAY Justin E. 100% 100% 96% 83% 53% 21% 4%
15 KIM Stephen E. 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 26%
16 MULVANEY Alec S. 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
17 WALKER Christopher J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 64%
18 SMITH Jared C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
19 MOON Sean H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38%
20 JOHNSON Andrew J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 48%
21 SKEETE Kamar A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
22 LORTKIPANIDZE Nickoloz 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
22 KUPANOFF Dimitri N. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
24 JULIEN William A 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 3%
24 ANGLADE Junior Ronald (RJ) E. 100% 100% 99% 94% 77% 43% 12%
26 KIM Minwook 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 11%
27 ZHAO Raymond H. 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 48% 14%
28 CHOU Stephen C. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 38% 7%
29 BIVINS III George A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
30 ZHOU Matthew R. 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 13% 1%
31 PREVEY-SULLIVAN Owen D. 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
32 TAKEMARU Leo 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 19% 3%
33 LIMB Matthew G. 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 39% 8%
33 KIM Charlson 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 34%
35 KIM Brian S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
36 BACON Elias (Eli) H. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
37 CAI Lawrence (Larry) 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 8% < 1%
38 OSOLINIEC Victor E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 24%
39 REN Junming 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 30%
40 LINDER James (Luke) L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
41 BOLTON Braydon A. 100% 97% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
42 ATTIG Will T. 100% 100% 96% 82% 53% 20% 3%
43 LO Joshua H. 100% 98% 87% 57% 23% 4% -
44 PARK Justin W. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
45 MEHTA Sachin N. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 14%
46 DESCHERER David 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
47 TRAVERS Samir T. 100% 97% 82% 52% 22% 5% 1%
48 BASALYGA Jeffrey 100% 100% 95% 77% 45% 15% 2%
49 LAI Adam J. 100% 99% 93% 74% 41% 14% 2%
50 HARGENRADER Kailen A. 100% 99% 80% 42% 13% 2% -
50 ZU Kevin 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 10%
52 KIM Avery J. 100% 100% 97% 82% 52% 20% 3%
53 NADILE Henry V. 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 9%
54 CHAYEVSKY Kirk 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
55 SCHMITT Trenton R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 34%
56 SOHN Kevin J. 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 31% 7%
57 HU William 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 32% 7%
58 OSTER Keegan J. 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
59 DEMAREST Iain 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 33% 6%
60 BUENAVENTURA Christian 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 6%
61 KULDELL Spencer D. 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 9%
62 KIM Benjamin H. 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 6% -
63 LIM Ryan Y. 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 24% 3%
64 ZIELINSKI Nicholaus M. 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 8% -
65 TE VELDE Noah C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39%
66 YEN Darren 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 14%
67 PARK Donghwan 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 23%
68 MERCHANT Marcel J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
69 PRIEST Leighton K. 100% 100% 97% 86% 57% 23% 4%
69 TONG Qilin 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 4%
71 MCBRIDE Jackson R. 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 8%
72 GILES Jeremy M. 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 21% 2%
73 JEFFORDS Alexander 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 4%
74 RIVERA Inigo Franco 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
75 BREIER Satchel E. 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 3%
76 KIM Sean G. 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 31% 5%
77 CHAN Zachary D. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
78 SINGER Carson 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 4% -
79 HEATHCOCK Colin Yang Siqi 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 3% -
80 BARBER William S. 100% 93% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
81 REESE Aaron S. 100% 100% 99% 87% 55% 19% 2%
82 GRUBE Sterling T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 19%
82 KANG Brandon M. 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 17% 2%
84 SUBBIAH Prashanth V. 100% 100% 96% 75% 38% 9% 1%
85 DROZ Camden J. 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 19% 2%
85 HARRIS Alex K. 100% 100% 96% 80% 50% 19% 3%
87 LEUNG Mark 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
88 LIU Jesse Y. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 13%
88 BENAVRAM Lev C. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 17%
90 GRATHWOL-SEAR Sebastian 100% 99% 93% 70% 37% 11% 1%
91 KOKKIN Jack S. 100% 98% 81% 45% 14% 2% -
92 LANDAU Nathaniel (Nat) B. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 16%
93 STATEN-LUSTY Silas J. 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 13% 2%
94 PORTMANN Stein J. 100% 100% 94% 69% 30% 7% 1%
95 ERACHSHAW Taras P. 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
96 CHEN Alan 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
97 GEFELL Andrew P. 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
97 AURAY Phileas 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 11% 1%
99 LE Hayden 100% 98% 86% 53% 19% 3% -
100 JI Cody Walter 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 18% 3%
100 YOUNG Nash 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 9% 1%
102 SMITH David C. 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 7% 1%
103 LIN John A. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 7%
104 WINKLER Lucas G. 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 5% -
105 WILLIAMS Nolan E. 100% 99% 91% 68% 36% 11% 1%
106 DANNULL Lukas J. 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
107 BUEKER Samuel P. 100% 96% 70% 31% 7% 1% -
108 SHIN Richard J.H. 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 2%
109 HARLEY Colby A. 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 42% 11%
109 LIANG Connor 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 41% 8%
111 HARLEY Sage N. 100% 98% 78% 40% 11% 1% -
112 LAHOTSKA Yahor 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 3%
113 DODRILL Grant 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5%
114 YAN Jack P. 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 8% 1%
115 YANG Kevin S. 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 15% 2%
116 DINU Nicholas D. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 39% 8%
117 YAO Jonathan 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 15% 1%
118 ZHOU Justin 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 7% -
119 NOBLE Daniel 100% 99% 91% 60% 23% 4% -
120 ESCUETA Tony V. 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
121 TRAVAGLIONE Conor D. 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 18% 1%
122 DHINGRA Gian K. 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 18% 2%
123 SMITH Mitchell M. 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 3%
123 PAN Andrew W. 100% 99% 86% 52% 19% 3% -
125 PARKHURST Jr Michael 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% - -
126 HAMMERSTROM Jared 100% 96% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
127 ZHOU Kevin 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% 1% -
128 YEN Preston 100% 94% 71% 37% 11% 2% -
129 HONG Marshall Q. 100% 100% 96% 82% 54% 23% 4%
130 QIU Le 100% 99% 87% 53% 18% 3% -
131 RAI Avin 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 6% -
132 DANNULL Linus N. 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
133 BOLTON Dawson E. 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 22% 2%
134 MOSZCZYNSKI Adam 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 9% 1%
135 GREENBAUM Maxwell H. 100% 100% 99% 92% 72% 38% 9%
135 SAKHAMURI Surya 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 12% 1%
137 VACCARI Braden 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5% -
138 SEVOSTYANOV Stepan (Seva) 100% 100% 96% 82% 53% 21% 4%
139 HOLMES Aiden G. 100% 99% 84% 51% 19% 4% -
140 CAPPELLUTI Ryan M. 100% 100% 95% 77% 45% 15% 2%
141 ZHANG Michael M. 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
142 GANTA Vijay 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
143 VASILYEV Nikita K. 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 8% 1%
144 DENNER Lysander H. 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 15% 1%
145 BARNETT Adam 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
146 FRISHMAN Ethan J. 100% 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 3%
147 WUN William 100% 98% 81% 46% 15% 2% -
148 RAMAN Easwer 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 9% 1%
149 LEFEVRE Colin B. 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -
150 TANG Alex Y. 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
151 CHAMBERS Amir E. 100% 99% 92% 70% 38% 12% 2%
152 WOOD Elden S. 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
153 WIND Nicky E. 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
153 YANG Richard 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
155 MARSEE James 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 11% 1%
156 GINIS Nathan 100% 99% 92% 68% 34% 10% 1%
157 HUANG Eric 100% 90% 57% 22% 4% - -
157 LASORSA Matthew 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
159 GILLIGAN Wolff 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 2% -
160 SHI Andrew 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 13% 1%
161 CHO Brandon 100% 99% 89% 65% 32% 9% 1%
162 LUEBBE Macklan C 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 7% 1%
163 LAI Eric A. 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
164 HAN Nicholas 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 10% 1%
165 MORREALE John 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 6% -
166 LIU kelly 100% 97% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
167 LEVIN Mark A. 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
167 KAYDALIN Artyom 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
169 BUKOWSKI Bronson 100% 99% 90% 64% 31% 8% 1%
170 MYERS Kaleb S. 100% 77% 34% 8% 1% - -
171 ALLUM Christopher T. 100% 99% 89% 61% 27% 7% 1%
172 NI AMEN Zahir K. 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 2% -
173 LEE Kyle 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 5%
174 WANG Qifa 100% 97% 78% 43% 14% 3% -
174 HASNAH Henry 100% 95% 70% 31% 7% 1% -
176 RAJA Arnav 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
177 HARVEY Nicholas J. 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 10% 1%
177 STRONG Jr James S. 100% 83% 47% 16% 3% - -
179 DESAI Drewv D. 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
180 CZYZEWSKI Konrad R. 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
180 WU Nicholas R. 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 2% -
182 BARTOLO Domenic V. 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 3% -
182 SATHE Tej R. 100% 80% 36% 8% 1% - -
184 FLORES Peter D. 100% 97% 75% 36% 9% 1% -
185 BERGER Oliver 100% 99% 84% 50% 16% 3% -
186 LIN William 100% 98% 82% 48% 17% 3% -
187 IWAMOTO Eric Y. 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 7% -
188 CHEN Brian 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 14% 1%
188 BAILEY Asher 100% 94% 70% 36% 12% 2% -
188 LAUDON Konrad 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
191 PEDERSEN Leif 100% 99% 89% 60% 25% 5% -
191 MOORE Evan M. 100% 85% 39% 9% 1% - -
193 COPELAND Oliver E. 100% 99% 88% 54% 19% 3% -
194 MOSKOWITZ Mason C. 100% 97% 80% 47% 18% 4% -
195 VAULES Charles W. 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 7% 1%
196 YOUNG Brendon 100% 78% 37% 10% 1% - -
197 MILLER Levi H. 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
198 MORRILL Justin 100% 92% 64% 29% 7% 1% -
199 DILLREE Spencer S. 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
200 CHIEN Phillip L. 100% 99% 88% 58% 24% 5% -
200 YANG Ziyi 100% 99% 88% 56% 21% 4% -
202 VILLA-KOWAL Ivan H. 100% 52% 13% 2% - - -
203 NG Jonathan H. 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 7% 1%
203 PAN Jack (Yuxiang) 100% 100% 95% 77% 45% 15% 2%
205 HANEY Vincent 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% - -
206 LUO ZIRUI 100% 91% 64% 30% 9% 1% -
207 WOLIN Zachary A. 100% 99% 87% 55% 21% 4% -
208 QUAN Nicholas 100% 97% 80% 49% 20% 4% -
209 WINEBURNER J.T. 100% 25% 3% - - - -
210 BARNETT Peter 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 6% -
210 HUSSAIN Faaris 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 16% 2%
212 ROPER Evan C. 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
213 LAU Jeremy Y. 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
214 TANG Brendan J. 100% 97% 80% 45% 15% 2% -
215 CHANG Eliot A. 100% 98% 84% 54% 21% 4% -
215 MONTGOMERY Jadon T. 100% 100% 94% 72% 37% 10% 1%
217 KAHN Justin M. 100% 94% 70% 34% 10% 1% -
218 LILOV Neil 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 21% 2%
219 BRAR Sanjeet 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -
220 METTKE Nathaniel 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
221 YEARLING Matthew 100% 77% 38% 11% 2% - -
221 ALKIN Isaac 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% - -
223 SHERR Cameron E. 100% 65% 24% 5% 1% - -
223 EPSTEIN Henry N. 100% 62% 19% 3% - - -
225 WESLER Logan A. 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
226 LAI Yat Hay Casper 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
227 JEAN Noe T. 100% 99% 86% 52% 19% 3% -
228 BANNERMAN Andrew J. 100% 77% 37% 11% 2% - -
229 PARKER Timothy S. 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% - -
230 GHOSH Tuhin 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% - -
230 HUDDY Brandon J. 100% 82% 40% 10% 1% - -
230 CHAN Matthew 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 10% 1%
233 KEEFE Duncan 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
234 DENNER Maximilian P. 100% 92% 66% 32% 9% 1% -
235 D'ORAZIO Joseph 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
236 ARNIPALLI Shanvanth 100% 90% 60% 26% 6% 1% -
237 YATES Colum C. 100% 85% 50% 18% 4% - -
238 DU Gavin J. 100% 72% 31% 7% 1% - -
239 BALDAUF Frederick (Fritz) P. 100% 85% 48% 15% 3% - -
240 JIANG Kevin 100% 38% 7% 1% - - -
240 STEINMETZ John 100% 55% 16% 3% - - -
240 ZHANG Jeffrey 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
243 XU Michael 100% 64% 23% 5% 1% - -
244 LEONARD Cole 100% 93% 62% 23% 4% - -
244 MAHONEY Colin M. 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
244 JEFFERY Jakob 100% 46% 10% 1% - - -
244 WANG CIHANG 100% 62% 21% 4% - - -
248 MAGUIRE Matthew V. 100% 89% 58% 25% 7% 1% -
248 GOLDBERG Gabriel A. 100% 28% 3% - - - -
248 FINLEY Samuel W. 100% 83% 47% 16% 3% - -
251 HOFFMAN Skyler E. 100% 91% 53% 16% 3% - -
252 GAFFNEY John M. 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -
252 KORINTH Alexander J. 100% 50% 11% 1% - - -
252 LEITH Jack 100% 23% 2% - - - -
255 OWENS William 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 6% 1%
255 CHAVES Matthew J. 100% 48% 11% 1% - - -
255 DEWEY Charles J. 100% 42% 9% 1% - - -
255 LI TIANXIAO 100% 59% 18% 3% - - -
259 NEWTON Payden 100% 60% 15% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.