E and Under AGFC Foil Tournament

E & Under Men's Foil

Sunday, April 26, 2026 at 9:00 AM

Avant-Garde Fencers Club - Los Angeles, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 LOPES-EASON Liam James 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 3%
2 MCCARVILL Cooper 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 16%
3 DACKO Nolan 100% 99% 90% 56% 11%
3 TRAN Matthew 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 4%
5 TRAN Andrew 100% 89% 51% 14% 1%
6 LEE Colin 100% 99% 88% 56% 17%
7 SMITH Jeremiah 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 12%
8 ZIEGLER Everisto 100% 91% 54% 15% 1%
9 SHADRAVAN Arash 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
10 WARD Mads 100% 94% 66% 26% 4%
11 LIM Richard M. 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
12 FERGUSON Jesse 100% 94% 69% 31% 6%
13 OLINGER Harrison 100% 68% 26% 5% -
14 SPAIN Waylind 100% 61% 19% 3% - -
15 KELLERMEYER Jude 100% 61% 17% 2% -
16 TOBAR Jonatan 100% 99% 69% 26% 5% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.