USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Div I-A Women's Épée

Saturday, June 29, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Columbus, OH - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GANDHI Sedna S. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
2 MONTOYA Kimberlee C. 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 15%
3 SHAMSIAN Shaya 100% 99% 93% 73% 41% 14% 2%
3 BEITTEL Chloe F. 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 25%
5 TONCHEVA Victoria M. 100% 100% 99% 96% 80% 48% 14%
6 CHOY LeeAnn 100% 99% 92% 72% 39% 12% 2%
7 YEE-WADSWORTH Sofia L. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 10%
8 CHIN Isabella 100% 100% 95% 79% 48% 17% 3%
9 LEUNG Natalie 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 8%
10 MARCHANT Sandra M. 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 15%
11 WHITTEMORE Lucy K. 100% 98% 87% 60% 28% 8% 1%
12 ADAMS KIM Madeline 100% 100% 97% 83% 55% 23% 4%
13 SZPAK Lara K. 100% 95% 74% 42% 15% 3% -
14 QUINLAN Nicole P. 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 12%
15 GRESHAM Rebekah L. 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 6%
16 RABEL Brenna V. 100% 94% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
17 WADE-CURRIE Ava S. 100% 100% 97% 85% 59% 26% 5%
18 KWOK Tianna W. 100% 100% 96% 81% 52% 20% 3%
18 TOMASELLO Olivia E. 100% 96% 78% 45% 17% 3% -
20 LIM Clarice 100% 99% 95% 77% 46% 16% 2%
21 CHAN Elizabeth 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 29% 6%
22 ISERT Sarah 100% 100% 96% 82% 53% 21% 4%
23 KULKARNI Diya 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 1%
24 MCFADDEN Christa M. 100% 99% 93% 73% 42% 14% 2%
25 GREGORY Elizabeth 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
26 RATZLAFF Jocelyn T. 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 6%
27 CHU Audrey 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 23% 4%
28 BINDAS Blodwen S. 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
29 LEE Olive 100% 97% 81% 50% 20% 4% -
30 SMUK Daria A. 100% 94% 73% 40% 13% 3% -
30 MCNEILL Claire A. 100% 97% 83% 53% 21% 5% -
32 PROVANCE Allison N. 100% 93% 68% 34% 11% 2% -
33 LEE Michelle 100% 100% 98% 87% 62% 28% 6%
34 KIMURA Kimberley H. 100% 100% 96% 83% 54% 22% 4%
35 PROVENZA Hannah G. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 34%
36 WOLSTENHOLME-BRITT Samantha (Sam) G. 100% 98% 86% 60% 28% 8% 1%
37 GIFFORD Emily R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 29%
38 HENRY Asha S. 100% 100% 95% 79% 48% 18% 3%
39 BEI Karen 100% 100% 95% 78% 47% 17% 3%
40 LEIGHTON Eleanor T. 100% 99% 89% 65% 32% 9% 1%
41 GEBALA Natalie Brooke A. 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 47% 13%
42 KOWALSKY Rachel A. 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 22% 4%
43 LIN Anna F. 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
44 ROSS Naomi O. 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 16%
45 JOHNSON Ryleigh E. 100% 97% 81% 45% 14% 2% -
46 PYO Yunice 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
46 LANZMAN Anna B. 100% 99% 90% 67% 34% 10% 1%
48 PATURU Meghana 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 18%
48 NI Emma 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 21% 4%
50 FENG Kelly L. 100% 95% 72% 36% 11% 2% -
51 MOTON Mckenzie R. 100% 95% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
52 LAWSON Marie A. 100% 100% 98% 86% 59% 25% 5%
53 KANG Dahyun 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
54 LIU Jennifer L. 100% 99% 94% 77% 47% 17% 3%
55 DOUGLAS Mary K. 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
56 KAUR Simarpreet 100% 87% 53% 21% 5% 1% -
57 BAFFA Arianna M. 100% 100% 98% 87% 62% 28% 6%
57 MEHROTRA Anya 100% 99% 89% 64% 32% 9% 1%
59 SOIN Anika A. 100% 90% 60% 26% 7% 1% -
60 BELSLEY Devon K. 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 3% -
61 GORDET Cristina G. 100% 98% 84% 55% 24% 6% 1%
62 LEWIS Sophia 100% 97% 80% 49% 19% 4% -
62 MYERS Jeanelle Christina A. 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
64 KIM Elizabeth Y. 100% 99% 90% 65% 33% 9% 1%
65 KUNDU Anisha 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 23% 4%
66 TAO Olivia A. 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 5%
67 BALAKRISHNAN Monica S. 100% 99% 95% 77% 46% 17% 3%
67 RUNIONS Emersyn 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
69 JANOWSKI Madeline (Madeline Janowski) A. 100% 99% 89% 65% 33% 10% 1%
70 HABERKERN Kundry E. 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 25% 5%
71 BRILL Sophie 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 26% 5%
72 DROVETSKY Alexandra M. 100% 100% 98% 90% 68% 34% 8%
73 CHAN Paree A. 100% 99% 91% 69% 37% 11% 1%
74 SAFKO Liubov V. 100% 99% 95% 77% 45% 16% 2%
75 MONTOYA Amy C. 100% 94% 70% 35% 11% 2% -
76 ZHANG Maya 100% 100% 97% 85% 58% 25% 5%
77 GRESHAM Sarah L. 100% 100% 97% 86% 60% 27% 6%
78 BOURDEAU Emily B. 100% 97% 83% 53% 23% 5% 1%
79 BROOKS Tean R. 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 30% 6%
80 ZUHARS Renee A. 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 8%
81 SHOATES Jacqueline A. 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 6% -
82 QURESHI Aafreen 100% 98% 83% 53% 22% 5% 1%
83 SMIK Leonie A. 100% 98% 86% 57% 25% 6% 1%
84 LONG Cindy 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 6%
85 VANDERLINDEN Mira 100% 92% 65% 31% 9% 1% -
86 DOUGLAS Julia F. 100% 98% 88% 62% 30% 9% 1%
87 YAO Jillian 100% 96% 79% 47% 18% 3% -
88 GLOVER Cynthia E. 100% 94% 70% 36% 11% 2% -
89 FILIPPOV Nika D. 100% 96% 78% 46% 17% 4% -
90 MARTUS Cosima O. 100% 100% 100% 96% 83% 52% 17%
91 LEANG Andrea K. 100% 99% 90% 64% 31% 8% 1%
92 SAUL Nicole 100% 89% 57% 24% 6% 1% -
93 GANSER Yuliya 100% 99% 92% 71% 39% 13% 2%
94 MOHABIR Ariane 100% 99% 94% 77% 47% 17% 3%
95 BROWN Amanda 100% 77% 37% 10% 2% - -
96 JI Catherine 100% 92% 65% 31% 9% 1% -
97 COBERT Helen G. 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 15% 2%
98 REITINGER Emilie B. 100% 98% 87% 60% 28% 7% 1%
99 YOON Julia J. 100% 100% 96% 83% 54% 21% 3%
100 UYANIK Nerine 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 13%
101 PROVANCE Amanda R. 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
102 SHAO Ariel 100% 80% 42% 13% 2% - -
103 MYERS Helen Sophia A. 100% 95% 73% 40% 14% 3% -
104 HAUK Zsofia F. 100% 93% 69% 35% 11% 2% -
105 BLOOMER Suzanne 100% 98% 89% 64% 32% 9% 1%
106 KIM Caroline 100% 83% 47% 16% 3% - -
107 TIMMONS Sarah J. 100% 93% 68% 34% 10% 2% -
108 TOTEMEIER Ann M. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 12%
109 SIBLEY Elisabeth J. 100% 80% 42% 13% 2% - -
109 SLACKMAN Valerie 100% 97% 83% 53% 22% 5% -
111 BOTNER Olivia 100% 95% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
112 CAPELLUA Mariasole 100% 95% 73% 39% 12% 2% -
113 SCHMID Carola K. 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
113 NANTON SHYAMALA M. 100% 90% 62% 28% 8% 1% -
115 SCHMUGAR Brooke 100% 82% 45% 15% 3% - -
116 SEMIKIN Julia 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 25% 4%
117 SAAL Anna 100% 85% 52% 20% 5% 1% -
118 ALLEN Susan B. 100% 89% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
119 PROKOP Jeannine A. 100% 86% 52% 20% 4% - -
119 SCHAFF Marlene M. 100% 91% 64% 30% 9% 1% -
119 DIDONATO Gianina L. 100% 90% 59% 24% 6% 1% -
122 BARR Abigail D. 100% 94% 70% 35% 11% 2% -
123 KORNGUTH Lindsay 100% 91% 64% 30% 8% 1% -
124 TONG Sarah Shen 100% 89% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
125 SIDDIQUI Ammna K. 100% 90% 62% 28% 8% 1% -
126 THORNTON Paula R. 100% 82% 45% 15% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.