2026 Oregon Division Summer Nationals Qualifiers

Div II Men's Foil

Sunday, April 26, 2026 at 2:30 PM

Northwest Fencing Center - Tigard, OR, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 THOMAS Noah 100% 99% 87% 57% 22% 3%
2 SKYWARK Andrew 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 33%
3 KUANG Vincent 100% 99% 84% 48% 13% 1%
4 CHOI Elliot 100% 98% 81% 46% 14% 2%
5 QIU Yiran 100% 94% 67% 27% 5% < 1%
6 SERBAN Joseph T. 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 26%
7 LEWIS Stephen R. 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 31%
8 HOLZGRAFE Nathaniel C. 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 7%
9 WALCOTT Nicolas T. 100% 98% 72% 31% 7% 1%
10 KNOCH Carl 100% 100% 96% 73% 32% 5%
11 ST.CLAIRE-KING Tenzin 100% 98% 85% 50% 13% 1%
12 WITTER Genevieve M. 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 29%
12 WILCOX Stephen 100% 99% 83% 45% 13% 1%
14 SCHARR Matthew E. 100% 99% 92% 64% 24% 3%
15 DEISHER Wesley 100% 81% 39% 9% 1% -
16 CHO Yejin 100% 22% 2% - - -
17 HUPPERT Jordon A. 100% 81% 40% 11% 1% -
18 HURST Jason 100% 52% 14% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.