Division 1 & Para Championships / April NAC

Junior Men's Saber

Monday, April 27, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Greater Richmond Convention Center - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KOVALEV Daniil N. - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 11%
2 PRIMUS Nazir - - - - 6% 33% 61%
3 ATANASSOV Vasil V. - - - 1% 8% 35% 56%
3 VAID Luke - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
5 NG Jonathan - - 1% 6% 23% 41% 28%
6 WANG Samuel - 1% 5% 19% 36% 31% 10%
7 KWALWASSER Eric - - 1% 5% 19% 41% 35%
8 KIM ELIJAH - - 3% 13% 32% 36% 15%
9 ERMAKOV Semeon - - - 1% 9% 36% 53%
10 YANG Phillip - 2% 10% 25% 33% 23% 7%
11 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu - - - 2% 15% 45% 38%
12 RAMANAN Jaisimh - - 2% 13% 33% 39% 12%
13 TSE Aiden J - - 4% 19% 43% 34%
14 CHON Collin - - - 2% 14% 40% 43%
15 PATEL Rayn - 1% 4% 16% 32% 34% 14%
16 WANG Nicolas - - - 3% 16% 42% 40%
17 BOLLU Viren - 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
18 SU Landon - - - 3% 15% 41% 41%
19 CHEONG Heonjun - - - 5% 21% 42% 32%
20 KIM Kendrick - - 4% 18% 39% 33% 6%
21 KANG Evan R. - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 11%
22 STURGEON Cole - 2% 14% 39% 34% 10% 1%
23 LUAN Mark - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
24 MUNGUIA Nathan - 1% 6% 21% 34% 29% 9%
25 CHUNG Connor - - - 5% 26% 46% 21%
26 ANDRES Michael - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
27 LI Alex Y. - 3% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3%
28 LI Howard - - 1% 6% 22% 41% 30%
29 JOO Jeein - 1% 9% 37% 53%
30 WANG ANDREW CHANG - 2% 13% 33% 37% 14%
31 YOOK Isaac 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2%
32 WEI Rian - 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 6%
33 LIN Maxim - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 19%
34 OH Aster 2% 12% 31% 36% 17% 3%
35 WANG Daniel - - 4% 16% 34% 34% 11%
36 YAN William - - - 3% 17% 41% 38%
37 KITSON Chase - 3% 14% 31% 34% 16% 2%
38 LIU Victor 1% 10% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
39 NGO Maximus - 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
40 SANCHEZ Jacob - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
41 HUANG Alex F. - - 2% 9% 27% 39% 23%
42 CHEN Jonathan 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 9% 1%
43 LI Ayden 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2%
44 WONG Lucas - 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
45 LI Yiwei - 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 5%
46 HWANG Jayden - - 3% 15% 33% 34% 14%
47 ZHAO Zhiyu(Yogi) - - 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
48 GONG Alex 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 2%
49 YAP Kah Kai (Cayden) - 3% 15% 33% 34% 15% 2%
49 PARK Inwoo 4% 20% 33% 28% 12% 3% -
51 BRIMMER Robert (Trey) 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1%
52 MEYERSON Jacob - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 5%
53 SADHU Neiyam 11% 33% 36% 17% 3% -
54 PAVLENISHVILI Luke - 3% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
55 PINTO Marcus 1% 5% 18% 31% 29% 14% 3%
56 WANG Justin - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
57 GREMILLION Obadiah - 2% 11% 27% 35% 21% 4%
58 DECK Tyson - 1% 10% 34% 39% 15% 2%
59 QIU Nathan - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 31%
60 BAI Evan 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
61 KUSHKOV Daniel - 1% 5% 18% 36% 32% 9%
62 LIU Aaron 17% 42% 32% 9% 1%
63 BIVIJI Ali 1% 6% 21% 35% 27% 9% 1%
64 SU Kingston 3% 23% 38% 26% 8% 1% -
65 GUFFEY Christopher - - - 4% 19% 42% 34%
66 LEE Noah - - 1% 7% 26% 44% 22%
67 ELBAKRY Ahmed Missing ID
68 PI Alexander - - 1% 5% 22% 44% 28%
69 ZHAO Chen Fei - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
70 BIAN Hongyu - 1% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
71 AGARWAAL Yohan - 4% 18% 35% 30% 12% 1%
72 GONZALEZ Jake - 2% 11% 32% 40% 15%
73 WANG Tiger - 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1%
74 SANGSTER Arden 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
75 CAO Donald 1% 11% 29% 35% 20% 5% -
76 AO Christopher 1% 10% 28% 34% 20% 6% 1%
77 ZHAO Royce - 3% 18% 35% 31% 12% 2%
77 KANG Matthew - 2% 11% 32% 38% 16% 2%
79 LIU Ethan 1% 10% 30% 35% 19% 4% -
80 BENSON Jacob 2% 19% 37% 29% 11% 2% -
81 PORTER Dupree - 6% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1%
82 FIROOZI Sam 7% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
83 TANI Tino - 3% 16% 34% 32% 12% 2%
84 FANG Eason 9% 31% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
84 AYDOGDU Hakan 1% 9% 27% 35% 21% 6% 1%
86 SO Preston - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
87 CAO Oliver - 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 6%
88 LIN Felix 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
89 LUCAS William 3% 16% 32% 30% 15% 3% -
90 KHOTLINE Daniel - 9% 30% 35% 20% 5% -
91 WANG Max 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 8% 1%
92 MEHAN Nicholas - 4% 19% 35% 30% 10% 1%
93 SASSI Ilyas 2% 12% 29% 32% 19% 6% 1%
93 HOLZ Lucas - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 5%
93 CONTRACTOR Cyrus - 4% 16% 30% 30% 15% 3%
96 ALAVE Kyle 1% 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1%
96 BELAND Riley James "RJ" 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2% -
98 FAN Hsiao-Kai(Kai) 4% 22% 37% 27% 10% 2% -
99 SKARBONKIEWICZ Maksymilian A. - 1% 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
99 LAUB William - 2% 11% 30% 36% 18% 2%
99 MOON Noah 5% 26% 38% 24% 7% 1% -
102 TSAO Oliver - 7% 25% 36% 23% 7% 1%
103 ZHAO Lucas - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
104 DOMINIQUE Remson 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 6% 1%
105 CRAWFORD William 10% 32% 37% 17% 4% - -
106 RAMANAN Govind - 1% 10% 28% 37% 20% 4%
107 LIU Kevin 1% 5% 17% 31% 30% 15% 3%
107 WANG Theodore 2% 14% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
109 ZHOU William 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
110 SUN Andrew 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
111 ANAND Rishab 2% 14% 29% 31% 18% 5% 1%
111 CLARK Aram 1% 6% 22% 35% 27% 8% 1%
113 HENRY Cadel 17% 38% 31% 11% 2% -
114 CIEMINS Henry 6% 27% 42% 23% 3%
115 LIU Andrew 27% 44% 24% 5% -
116 KANE Kiran 52% 37% 10% 1% - - -
117 ZWAKA Jonas 3% 16% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
118 KANG Evan 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
119 UEMOTO Ken - 5% 21% 38% 28% 8% 1%
120 HENDERSON Lucas - 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 7%
121 JI Johnson 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
122 HUBLALL Ethan - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 2%
123 RINALDI Savio 2% 20% 37% 28% 11% 2% -
123 BURGESS Beckham 1% 14% 34% 33% 15% 3% -
125 CRAIN Bennett 2% 15% 32% 31% 15% 4% -
126 MINASIAN Mason 9% 27% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
127 PEREIRA Beckham 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2% -
128 CAI Jeff 3% 19% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
129 SALDARINI Glenn 4% 18% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
130 REHM Liam 19% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
131 VENKATRAMAN Sudhir 2% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
132 WAXLER Ryan 2% 14% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
133 SLAVNOV Anton 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% -
133 LAZARTE Gabriel 1% 19% 46% 27% 6% - -
135 YADAV Lakshya 8% 28% 37% 22% 5% -
136 VEDRE Neil 3% 21% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
137 WITCZAK Mateus 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
138 DAI Zihou 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% 1%
138 BROWN Andrew 12% 33% 34% 16% 4% - -
140 KANIA Alexander 13% 34% 33% 15% 4% - -
141 CHANG Ethan 17% 37% 31% 12% 3% - -
142 LEE Brian 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
143 BENE Andrew 19% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
144 TIAGI George 3% 16% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
145 STRUCKER Rocco 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
146 CHAN Elliott 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
146 SUBA Lucas - 3% 13% 30% 33% 17% 3%
148 GONG Gavin 6% 23% 34% 25% 9% 2% -
149 SHANKWILER Christopher - 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
150 YANG Dylan - 2% 11% 28% 36% 20% 3%
151 CHAWLA Abhishek 4% 44% 40% 11% 1% - -
152 MCDONALD Finn 2% 11% 26% 32% 21% 7% 1%
152 KIM Theodore 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 1%
154 LIN Philip T. 2% 17% 40% 33% 7%
155 RADJABLI Maximillian 6% 26% 37% 24% 6% 1%
156 HALL Noah 12% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
157 FENG Brendan 1% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% 1%
157 BENE Paul 45% 39% 13% 2% - - -
159 MEDVINSKY Daniel 19% 37% 29% 12% 3% - -
160 GATTO Enzo P. 19% 41% 30% 9% 1% - -
161 KOZLOFF Wyatt - 8% 26% 36% 23% 6% 1%
162 SUN Ryan 24% 46% 24% 6% 1% - -
163 JIANG JINRUI 18% 37% 30% 12% 2% - -
164 WANG William - 2% 10% 27% 36% 21% 4%
165 SHIM Tristan - 14% 34% 33% 15% 3% -
166 KULKARNI Shreyas 34% 45% 18% 3% - - -
167 LEUNG Arthur 48% 38% 12% 2% - - -
168 IYER Neil 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
169 EYSTER Edison 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
169 BENHAM Grant 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
171 CHIEN Nolan 50% 38% 11% 1% - - -
172 ZHANG Shaoxuan 3% 17% 35% 30% 13% 2% -
173 PARCELL Colby 3% 20% 37% 29% 10% 1% -
174 SWIFT Owen 15% 36% 33% 13% 2% -
175 BRAMLETT Myer 60% 33% 7% 1% - - -
176 TSAO Alister 27% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
176 LEVIN Jacob 29% 40% 23% 7% 1% - -
176 MBERIA Alexander 33% 41% 20% 5% 1% - -
179 SONG Aidan 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
180 SANTOS TJ Missing ID
180 FRENCILLO Daryl 55% 35% 8% 1% - - -
180 YEAZEL Colin 32% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -
180 THACH Tri 87% 13% 1% - - - -
184 MARTINEZ Luke 73% 24% 3% - - - -
185 TOSCANO Sebastian 15% 38% 33% 12% 2% - -
185 FERRIS Oliver 94% 6% - - - - -
187 ELLIS Bremmen 66% 29% 5% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.