Division 1 & Para Championships / April NAC

Junior Men's Saber

Monday, April 27, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Greater Richmond Convention Center - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KOVALEV Daniil N. 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 11%
2 PRIMUS Nazir 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 61%
3 ATANASSOV Vasil V. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
3 VAID Luke 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
5 NG Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 28%
6 WANG Samuel 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 41% 10%
7 KWALWASSER Eric 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 35%
8 KIM ELIJAH 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%
9 ERMAKOV Semeon 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 53%
10 YANG Phillip 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 30% 7%
11 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 38%
12 RAMANAN Jaisimh 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 51% 12%
13 TSE Aiden J 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
14 CHON Collin 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
15 PATEL Rayn 100% 100% 99% 95% 80% 47% 14%
16 WANG Nicolas 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
17 BOLLU Viren 100% 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 3%
18 SU Landon 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
19 CHEONG Heonjun 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 32%
20 KIM Kendrick 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 39% 6%
21 KANG Evan R. 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 11%
22 STURGEON Cole 100% 100% 98% 84% 45% 11% 1%
23 LUAN Mark 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 12% 1%
24 MUNGUIA Nathan 100% 100% 99% 92% 72% 38% 9%
25 CHUNG Connor 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 21%
26 ANDRES Michael 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
27 LI Alex Y. 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 19% 3%
28 LI Howard 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 30%
29 JOO Jeein 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
30 WANG ANDREW CHANG 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 14%
31 YOOK Isaac 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 2%
32 WEI Rian 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 6%
33 LIN Maxim 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 19%
34 OH Aster 100% 98% 87% 56% 20% 3%
35 WANG Daniel 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 11%
36 YAN William 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38%
37 KITSON Chase 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 18% 2%
38 LIU Victor 100% 99% 88% 60% 26% 6% -
39 NGO Maximus 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 2%
40 SANCHEZ Jacob 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
41 HUANG Alex F. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 23%
42 CHEN Jonathan 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 10% 1%
43 LI Ayden 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 13% 2%
44 WONG Lucas 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
45 LI Yiwei 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 5%
46 HWANG Jayden 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 14%
47 ZHAO Zhiyu(Yogi) 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
48 GONG Alex 100% 99% 93% 74% 41% 13% 2%
49 YAP Kah Kai (Cayden) 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 16% 2%
49 PARK Inwoo 100% 96% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
51 BRIMMER Robert (Trey) 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 7% 1%
52 MEYERSON Jacob 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 5%
53 SADHU Neiyam 100% 89% 57% 21% 4% -
54 PAVLENISHVILI Luke 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 16% 2%
55 PINTO Marcus 100% 99% 94% 76% 46% 17% 3%
56 WANG Justin 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
57 GREMILLION Obadiah 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 4%
58 DECK Tyson 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 16% 2%
59 QIU Nathan 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 31%
60 BAI Evan 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
61 KUSHKOV Daniel 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 41% 9%
62 LIU Aaron 100% 83% 42% 10% 1%
63 BIVIJI Ali 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 10% 1%
64 SU Kingston 100% 97% 74% 36% 10% 1% -
65 GUFFEY Christopher 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 34%
66 LEE Noah 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 22%
67 ELBAKRY Ahmed Missing ID
68 PI Alexander 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 28%
69 ZHAO Chen Fei 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
70 BIAN Hongyu 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 30% 6%
71 AGARWAAL Yohan 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 13% 1%
72 GONZALEZ Jake 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 15%
73 WANG Tiger 100% 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1%
74 SANGSTER Arden 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
75 CAO Donald 100% 99% 88% 59% 25% 5% -
76 AO Christopher 100% 99% 88% 60% 26% 6% 1%
77 ZHAO Royce 100% 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 2%
77 KANG Matthew 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 18% 2%
79 LIU Ethan 100% 99% 89% 59% 23% 5% -
80 BENSON Jacob 100% 98% 79% 42% 13% 2% -
81 PORTER Dupree 100% 100% 93% 70% 35% 10% 1%
82 FIROOZI Sam 100% 93% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
83 TANI Tino 100% 100% 97% 80% 46% 14% 2%
84 FANG Eason 100% 91% 59% 24% 6% 1% -
84 AYDOGDU Hakan 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 7% 1%
86 SO Preston 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
87 CAO Oliver 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 33% 6%
88 LIN Felix 100% 95% 74% 37% 9% 1%
89 LUCAS William 100% 97% 80% 49% 18% 4% -
90 KHOTLINE Daniel 100% 100% 90% 61% 25% 6% -
91 WANG Max 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
92 MEHAN Nicholas 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 11% 1%
93 SASSI Ilyas 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 6% 1%
93 HOLZ Lucas 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
93 CONTRACTOR Cyrus 100% 100% 95% 79% 49% 19% 3%
96 ALAVE Kyle 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 6% 1%
96 BELAND Riley James "RJ" 100% 98% 81% 46% 15% 2% -
98 FAN Hsiao-Kai(Kai) 100% 96% 75% 38% 11% 2% -
99 SKARBONKIEWICZ Maksymilian A. 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 41% 10%
99 LAUB William 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 2%
99 MOON Noah 100% 95% 70% 32% 8% 1% -
102 TSAO Oliver 100% 100% 92% 67% 31% 7% 1%
103 ZHAO Lucas 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 21%
104 DOMINIQUE Remson 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 7% 1%
105 CRAWFORD William 100% 90% 58% 21% 4% - -
106 RAMANAN Govind 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 4%
107 LIU Kevin 100% 99% 95% 78% 47% 18% 3%
107 WANG Theodore 100% 98% 84% 51% 19% 4% -
109 ZHOU William 100% 99% 93% 70% 36% 11% 1%
110 SUN Andrew 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4% -
111 ANAND Rishab 100% 98% 84% 55% 24% 6% 1%
111 CLARK Aram 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 9% 1%
113 HENRY Cadel 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% -
114 CIEMINS Henry 100% 94% 68% 26% 3%
115 LIU Andrew 100% 73% 28% 5% -
116 KANE Kiran 100% 48% 12% 2% - - -
117 ZWAKA Jonas 100% 97% 80% 49% 19% 4% -
118 KANG Evan 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
119 UEMOTO Ken 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 8% 1%
120 HENDERSON Lucas 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
121 JI Johnson 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 8% 1%
122 HUBLALL Ethan 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
123 RINALDI Savio 100% 98% 78% 41% 13% 2% -
123 BURGESS Beckham 100% 99% 84% 50% 18% 3% -
125 CRAIN Bennett 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 4% -
126 MINASIAN Mason 100% 91% 64% 30% 8% 1% -
127 PEREIRA Beckham 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2% -
128 CAI Jeff 100% 97% 79% 42% 13% 2% -
129 SALDARINI Glenn 100% 96% 79% 46% 17% 3% -
130 REHM Liam 100% 81% 43% 14% 2% - -
131 VENKATRAMAN Sudhir 100% 98% 82% 48% 17% 3% -
132 WAXLER Ryan 100% 98% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
133 SLAVNOV Anton 100% 90% 57% 22% 4% -
133 LAZARTE Gabriel 100% 99% 80% 34% 6% - -
135 YADAV Lakshya 100% 92% 65% 27% 6% -
136 VEDRE Neil 100% 97% 75% 38% 11% 1% -
137 WITCZAK Mateus 100% 97% 81% 48% 18% 3% -
138 DAI Zihou 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 6% 1%
138 BROWN Andrew 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% - -
140 KANIA Alexander 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% - -
141 CHANG Ethan 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
142 LEE Brian 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 15% 2%
143 BENE Andrew 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% - -
144 TIAGI George 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 3% -
145 STRUCKER Rocco 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
146 CHAN Elliott 100% 95% 72% 37% 10% 1% -
146 SUBA Lucas 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 3%
148 GONG Gavin 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
149 SHANKWILER Christopher 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 15% 2%
150 YANG Dylan 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 23% 3%
151 CHAWLA Abhishek 100% 96% 52% 12% 1% - -
152 MCDONALD Finn 100% 98% 88% 62% 30% 8% 1%
152 KIM Theodore 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 11% 1%
154 LIN Philip T. 100% 98% 80% 40% 7%
155 RADJABLI Maximillian 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% 1%
156 HALL Noah 100% 88% 55% 20% 4% - -
157 FENG Brendan 100% 99% 88% 59% 25% 6% 1%
157 BENE Paul 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -
159 MEDVINSKY Daniel 100% 81% 44% 15% 3% - -
160 GATTO Enzo P. 100% 81% 41% 11% 1% - -
161 KOZLOFF Wyatt 100% 100% 92% 66% 30% 7% 1%
162 SUN Ryan 100% 76% 30% 6% 1% - -
163 JIANG JINRUI 100% 82% 45% 15% 3% - -
164 WANG William 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 25% 4%
165 SHIM Tristan 100% 100% 86% 52% 19% 3% -
166 KULKARNI Shreyas 100% 66% 21% 3% - - -
167 LEUNG Arthur 100% 52% 13% 2% - - -
168 IYER Neil 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
169 EYSTER Edison 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
169 BENHAM Grant 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -
171 CHIEN Nolan 100% 50% 12% 2% - - -
172 ZHANG Shaoxuan 100% 97% 80% 45% 15% 3% -
173 PARCELL Colby 100% 97% 78% 40% 11% 1% -
174 SWIFT Owen 100% 85% 49% 16% 2% -
175 BRAMLETT Myer 100% 40% 7% 1% - - -
176 TSAO Alister 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -
176 LEVIN Jacob 100% 71% 30% 8% 1% - -
176 MBERIA Alexander 100% 67% 25% 5% 1% - -
179 SONG Aidan 100% 90% 59% 24% 6% 1% -
180 SANTOS TJ Missing ID
180 FRENCILLO Daryl 100% 45% 9% 1% - - -
180 YEAZEL Colin 100% 68% 26% 6% 1% - -
180 THACH Tri 100% 13% 1% - - - -
184 MARTINEZ Luke 100% 27% 3% - - - -
185 TOSCANO Sebastian 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% - -
185 FERRIS Oliver 100% 6% - - - - -
187 ELLIS Bremmen 100% 34% 5% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.