Event Results
USA Fencing National Championships & July ChallengeSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | RUNYAN Joshua | D V V V V V | V V V V | 5.1 | 5 | -0.1 |
| 2 | WRIGHT Lloyd G. | V V V D D V | V V V V D | 4.0 | 4 | - |
| 3 | BADGER Carlton (Carl) M. | V V D V D D | V V V D | 4.7 | 3 | -1.7 |
| 3 | KASTOR Jacaeber | V V V V D V | V V D | 4.9 | 5 | +0.1 |
| 5 | STREB Joseph S. | V V V V V V | V D | 4.8 | 6 | +1.2 |
| 6 | GUEBLE Jeffrey R. | D V V V V | V V D | 3.7 | 4 | +0.3 |
| 7 | SEUSS C. David | V V V V D | V V D | 4.9 | 4 | -0.9 |
| 8 | LEAR Donald W. | D V V D V D | V V D | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| 9 | ANTHONY Jr Donald K. | D V V V V V | D | 5.2 | 5 | -0.2 |
| 9 | PARAGANO Vincent | V V V V V D | D | 3.3 | 5 | +1.7 |
| 11 | MYERS Brent M. | V V D D V V | V D | 4.0 | 4 | - |
| 12 | SRERE Mark A. | D V V V V D | V D | 2.8 | 4 | +1.2 |
| 13 | BLAIR III Ray H. | V D V D V | V D | 1.6 | 3 | +1.4 |
| 14 | HICHA Paul R. | V D V D V D | V D | 3.0 | 3 | - |
| 15 | BAKER Keith L. | V V D V D D | V D | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| 16 | BREES Roger | D D D V V V | V D | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| 17 | LIBERS Alexander M. | V V D D D V | D | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| 18 | ROSENTHAL Paul E. | V D D V D | D | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 |
| 19 | KATH Philip (Doc) D. | D V D D V | D | 1.7 | 2 | +0.3 |
| 20 | MCLAUGHLIN Joseph R. | D D D D V V | D | 1.5 | 2 | +0.5 |
| 21 | SZATHMARY Michael J. | D D V V D D | D | 3.5 | 2 | -1.5 |
| 22 | YAN Peter C. | D D D D V D | D | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
| 23 | GRAVIS Martin V. | D D V D D D | D | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
| 24 | FRUNGILLO Benjamin | D D D D D V | D | 0.3 | 1 | +0.7 |
| 25 | THORNTON Michael (Mike) G. | D D D D D | D | 0.5 | 0 | -0.5 |
| 26 | SHORT Skip | D D D D D D | D | 0.7 | 0 | -0.7 |
| 27 | SAFAI Tejav | D D D D D D | D | 1.6 | 0 | -1.6 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |