The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE FOR:
(1) Jason Liu and (2) Abdel Salem on May 13th!

Event Results

Y-12 Men's Épée

Fortune SYC/RJCCPool Heatmap

Saturday, May 2, 2026 at 8:00 AM Anaheim Convention Center - Hall E · Anaheim, CA, USA
126 finishers
Birth year

At-Least Win Probabilities

Boxed values show the actual result while each column shows the chance of reaching at least that many pool wins.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHANG Chaoyi(Joey) 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 55%
2 MOSLEY Wally 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 59%
3 HUA Nolan 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 19%
3 LEE Lucas 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 33%
5 SUN Jiarui (Jerry) 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 26%
6 LIU Austin 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
7 PURCELL Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 22%
8 LIN Bryan 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
9 SAMOYLOV Daniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
10 WU Nathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
11 KHUSHRAJ Rohan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
12 LIU Leo 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
13 ROBERTS Arthur 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 23%
14 DING Max 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 40%
15 ELARDO Griffin 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 34% 6%
16 YOON Ian 100% 100% 96% 82% 53% 21% 4%
17 TANG Daniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 67%
18 BENNETTE Graham 100% 99% 92% 67% 32% 8% 1%
19 JU Shang 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 6%
20 YOO Lucas 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 12%
21 WONG Kyle 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
22 DING Daniel 100% 100% 96% 77% 37% 7%
23 BALUCAN Gabriel 100% 100% 98% 84% 46% 11%
24 BUSH Andrew 100% 100% 96% 77% 44% 14% 2%
25 TIAN Dylan 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 42% 9%
26 FU Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 51% 9%
27 YIM Antonio 100% 100% 98% 90% 68% 34% 8%
28 CHEN Anderson 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 20% 3%
29 CHEN Linus 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 17%
30 WU James 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 20% 2%
31 PARK Sean 100% 97% 82% 50% 20% 4% -
32 YI Alexander 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 17%
33 SHIH Derek 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 47% 11%
34 GUO OSCAR 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 14% 1%
35 BEN-YOSEPH Rafael 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 42% 11%
36 LU Ian 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 21%
37 II Chengru 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 16% 2%
38 KO Ethan 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
39 YUN Mason 100% 100% 97% 76% 36% 7%
40 CHU Clayton 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 6%
41 ZHANG Jenson 100% 99% 90% 67% 34% 10% 1%
42 ZHAO Luke 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 12% 1%
42 FONG Ethan 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
44 LIU Aiden 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 43% 9%
45 CHI Zachary 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -
46 BOROVIKOV Alexander 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 12%
47 TENG Eric 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 8% 1%
47 LI John 100% 100% 98% 83% 45% 11% 1%
49 GACIOCH Calvin 100% 100% 94% 72% 38% 11% 1%
50 LO Stefan 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
51 DEMIRCHIAN Edward 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
52 KIM Hayden 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 9% 1%
53 LI Stephen 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 12%
54 FAYEZ Adam 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 9%
54 AKKARA Skyler 100% 84% 46% 13% 2% -
56 XIONG Alec 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 11% 1%
57 GIRIRAJ Aditya 100% 95% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
58 LI Ethan 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1% -
59 TOTH Leland 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
60 HAO Hardy 100% 88% 51% 16% 2% -
61 LIU William 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 3% -
62 LIU Alrik SiWei 100% 88% 56% 23% 6% 1% -
63 MATUSOW Brandon 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 5% -
64 HONG Eason 100% 100% 94% 74% 40% 12% 2%
65 JIN JETFAN 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 19%
66 WANG Hansen Wang 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
67 GONG Rongtao 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 2% -
68 LI Connor 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4% -
69 LIU YULIN 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 38% 7%
70 LI Jacob 100% 99% 90% 66% 31% 8% -
71 LEUNG Joon 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 20% 2%
72 KIM Benjamin 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
73 LEE Daniel 100% 98% 85% 57% 24% 5% -
74 LEE Connor 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 1% -
75 CARDON Hinckley 100% 61% 18% 3% - -
76 DUCOURNAU Enzo 100% 89% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
77 NGUYEN Norris 100% 99% 90% 62% 27% 6% -
78 POLIAKOV Timur 100% 96% 71% 29% 6% - -
79 DAI Greyson 100% 78% 37% 9% 1% - -
80 YU Luca 100% 100% 95% 69% 29% 5%
81 NOVOSELOV Roman 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 16% 1%
82 YAN Milan 100% 99% 91% 69% 37% 11% 2%
83 SHI Ethan 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 3% -
83 WANG Alexander 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
85 ZHANG George 100% 87% 54% 21% 5% 1% -
86 KOU Logan 100% 93% 64% 25% 5% - -
87 LI nathan zeting 100% 96% 67% 26% 5% - -
87 CHO Nathan 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% - -
89 ZHANG Lucas 100% 97% 81% 46% 13% 2% -
90 CHEN Yijia (Rick) 100% 98% 83% 46% 12% 1% -
91 WAN William 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% - -
91 LU Mark 100% 64% 15% 2% - -
93 PAN Francis Missing ID
94 NOZAWA Luke 100% 97% 78% 44% 14% 2% -
95 YIM Benjamin 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% -
96 SAMUELSON Ben 100% 97% 74% 35% 9% 1% -
97 NISHIOKA Hiro 100% 91% 57% 19% 3% - -
98 PINCHUK Spencer 100% 99% 93% 74% 40% 12% 1%
99 ERLIKHMAN Emanuel 100% 82% 42% 12% 2% - -
100 TONG Matthew 100% 70% 29% 6% 1% - -
101 LAU Jesse 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
102 NEWSOME Vayl Missing ID
103 REED Andrew 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5% -
103 LEE Paxton 100% 90% 55% 19% 4% - -
105 JAFARINEJAD Sam 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% - -
106 LIU Victor 100% 81% 41% 12% 2% - -
106 EVANS Harvey 100% 68% 25% 5% - - -
108 WANG Franklin 100% 89% 50% 14% 2% -
108 MCEWEN Max 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
110 YANG Mikey 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 2% -
111 XUE Jason 100% 97% 81% 49% 19% 4% -
111 REISERT Asher 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 4% -
113 HUYNH Ethan 100% 90% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
114 YANG Rony 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
115 JI Dylan 100% 93% 58% 18% 3% - -
116 LIU Evan 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% -
117 LEI Hanson 100% 60% 19% 3% - - -
118 KIM Ian 100% 62% 14% 1% - -
119 CHEN Nick Missing ID
120 YE Andrew 100% 89% 58% 25% 6% 1% -
121 LU Jayden 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -
121 KONG Dean 100% 94% 65% 25% 4% -
121 HE Beibei 100% 100% 93% 68% 33% 8% 1%
124 WANG Andy 100% 92% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
125 YOON Jasper 100% 38% 6% - - - -
126 NHO Lucas 100% 44% 8% 1% - - -