USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Div I Men's Saber

Sunday, June 30, 2019 at 1:30 PM

Columbus, OH - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SHAINBERG Jonah L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57%
2 SOUDERS Peter F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63%
3 COHEN Josef A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 36%
3 KWAK Daniel (Dongwon) 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 37% 7%
5 OSOLINIEC Victor E. 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 39% 9%
6 ARMIJO Gabriel K. 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 31% 5%
7 BOOTH Zaheer 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 5%
8 MACKIEWICZ Andrew A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
9 COSTIN Michael V. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
10 JOHNSON Zachary (Zack) C. 100% 100% 97% 86% 57% 21% 2%
11 HARVEY Nicholas J. 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
12 SOLOMON Daniel P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39%
13 DOLEGIEWICZ Filip 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
14 MCBRIDE Jackson R. 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 17% 2%
15 ROHRLACK Charles (Charlie) F. 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 20%
16 KULDELL Spencer D. 100% 97% 78% 39% 8% 1%
17 METRYKA Karol 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
18 LORTKIPANIDZE Guram 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 1%
19 LANDAU Nathaniel (Nat) B. 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 4%
20 LORTKIPANIDZE Nickoloz 100% 99% 88% 57% 22% 3%
21 WALKER Christopher J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 41%
22 HARLEY Colby A. 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 8% 1%
23 KUSHKOV Simon O. 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 7% 1%
24 SARON Mitchell S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 64%
25 KIM Stephen E. 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 19% 3%
26 PANTELEEV Arsenii 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 7%
27 SHEPANEK Noah M. 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 3%
28 SMITH Jared C. 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
29 ADEL Ali 100% 99% 92% 66% 30% 6% -
30 MARSEE James 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% -
31 BURGUNDER Quinten (Quin) A. 100% 99% 89% 60% 26% 6% 1%
32 SHIN Richard J.H. 100% 90% 60% 26% 7% 1% -
33 FIELDS Malcolm D. 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
34 IWAMOTO Eric Y. 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% < 1%
35 IGOE Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 62%
36 MIKA Casper 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 14% 2%
37 PARK Donghwan 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
38 BIVINS III George A. 100% 100% 94% 74% 38% 9%
39 REESE Aaron S. 100% 95% 73% 39% 12% 2%
40 HONG Marshall Q. 100% 82% 41% 11% 1% -
41 MULLENNIX Ethan M. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 36% 6%
42 SCHMITT Trenton R. 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 22% 2%
43 CHOU Stephen C. 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
44 LOSS Geoffrey M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 21%
44 GREENBAUM Maxwell H. 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 6% -
46 RABINOWITZ Benjamin 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
47 KUPANOFF Dimitri N. 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 5%
48 KIM Charlson 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 10%
49 NADILE Henry V. 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 10%
50 DINU Nicholas D. 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1%
51 JOHNSON Andrew J. 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18%
52 LINDER James (Luke) L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 9%
53 ANGLADE Junior Ronald (RJ) E. 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 12% 1%
54 LIU Jesse Y. 100% 94% 70% 36% 11% 2% -
54 PREVEY-SULLIVAN Owen D. 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 4% -
56 MULVANEY Alec S. 100% 96% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
57 TRAVAGLIONE Conor D. 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
58 ZHOU Matthew R. 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
59 DEMAREST Iain 100% 97% 81% 48% 18% 3% -
60 YANG Kevin S. 100% 98% 86% 53% 18% 2% -
61 SMITH Mitchell M. 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
62 LEE Kyle 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% -
63 DEL VECCHIO Nicolas (None PLEASE) S. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
64 KIM Sean G. 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 8% 1%
65 STONE Ben 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 1%
66 MEHTA Sachin N. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 37% 7%
67 CENTANNI Salvatore (Sal) M. 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 5% -
68 VIDOVSZKY Robert T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
69 NOBLE Daniel 100% 61% 20% 4% < 1% - -
70 KWONG Samuel J. 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 7% 1%
71 TAKEMARU Leo 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 2%
72 WALKER Dalton F. 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 12%
73 MA Jonathan D. 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
74 CHAN Zachary D. 100% 98% 81% 43% 11% 1%
75 MERCHANT Marcel J. 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 26% 4%
75 SINGER Carson 100% 85% 49% 16% 2% - -
77 LIM Ryan Y. 100% 99% 89% 59% 23% 4% -
78 CAPPELLUTI Ryan M. 100% 95% 74% 40% 12% 2% -
79 YEN Darren 100% 100% 96% 78% 46% 15% 2%
80 JEFFORDS Alexander 100% 98% 84% 54% 21% 4% -
81 KARAM Tariq A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 57% 19%
82 ATTIG Will T. 100% 98% 84% 52% 20% 3% -
83 KIM Benjamin H. 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% - -
84 GRATHWOL-SEAR Sebastian 100% 87% 49% 14% 2% -
85 GRUBE Sterling T. 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 5%
86 BERKAY Deniz 100% 87% 52% 19% 3% -
87 STATEN-LUSTY Silas J. 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2%
88 CHOI HYUNSEOK 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
89 MICHELL Bailey 100% 95% 73% 39% 12% 2%
90 OH Jason H. 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
91 BOLTON Dawson E. 100% 92% 64% 30% 8% 1% -
92 WILLIAMS Nolan E. 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 2% -
93 KANG Brandon M. 100% 98% 83% 52% 19% 3% -
94 CHEN Brian 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 2% -
94 QIU Le 100% 93% 67% 30% 8% 1% -
96 DROZ Camden J. 100% 97% 78% 42% 12% 1% -
96 PRIEST Leighton K. 100% 93% 69% 35% 11% 2% -
98 BARBER William S. 100% 74% 34% 9% 1% - -
99 BREIER Satchel E. 100% 94% 71% 37% 12% 2% -
100 LEUNG Mark 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 23% 2%
101 OSTER Keegan J. 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
102 BUENAVENTURA Christian 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 4% -
103 ESCUETA Tony V. 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
103 RAMAN Easwer 100% 91% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
105 HUDDY Brandon J. 100% 66% 22% 4% - - -
106 ZIELINSKI Nicholaus M. 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% -
107 RAINVILLE-POND Schuyler J. 100% 77% 36% 10% 1% -
108 CHEN Howard 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1%
109 BACON Elias (Eli) H. 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1%
109 HEATHCOCK Antonio 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 4%
111 KIM Brian S. 100% 99% 87% 56% 22% 4%
112 DESCHERER David 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 5%
113 LIMB Matthew G. 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1%
114 MOON Sean H. 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
115 BOLTON Braydon A. 100% 89% 58% 22% 4% - -
115 WINKLER Lucas G. 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
117 COTTER Liam 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% - -
118 ERACHSHAW Taras P. 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% - -
119 CHAYEVSKY Kirk 100% 85% 50% 18% 4% - -
120 ZU Kevin 100% 97% 82% 52% 21% 5% -
121 LIN John A. 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% 1%
122 RIGGINS Littleton K. 100% 84% 49% 17% 4% - -
122 WANG Qifa 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
124 HUSSAIN Faaris 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
125 SMITH David C. 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
126 PORTMANN Stein J. 100% 78% 37% 10% 1% - -
127 TE VELDE Noah C. 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
128 HU William 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 3% -
129 VACCARI Braden 100% 64% 21% 3% - -
130 TONG Qilin 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 2% -
131 HARLEY Sage N. 100% 55% 16% 3% - -
132 SEVOSTYANOV Stepan (Seva) 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
133 COPELAND Oliver E. 100% 87% 50% 16% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.