USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Cadet Men's Saber

Monday, July 1, 2019 at 12:00 PM

Columbus, OH - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HARLEY Colby A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
2 DANNULL Lukas J. 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
3 HARVEY Nicholas J. 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 12%
3 HEATHCOCK Colin Yang Siqi 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 49% 14%
5 SILBERZWEIG Jordan H. 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 57% 19%
6 DENNER Lysander H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 39%
6 LIM Ryan Y. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16%
8 JEFFORDS Alexander 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 12%
9 HONG Marshall Q. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
10 LILOV Neil 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 17%
11 KUSHKOV Simon O. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
12 ANGLADE Junior Ronald (RJ) E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
13 LIMB Matthew G. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 32%
14 WILLIAMS Nolan E. 100% 100% 100% 96% 83% 52% 16%
15 LAI Adam J. 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 42% 11%
16 PAN Jack (Yuxiang) 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 9%
17 KIM Avery J. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 10%
18 VASILYEV Nikita K. 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
19 FRISHMAN Ethan J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%
20 GEFELL Andrew P. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
21 BOLTON Braydon A. 100% 100% 97% 85% 58% 24% 5%
22 CHANG Eliot A. 100% 100% 97% 83% 55% 22% 4%
22 KIM Minwook 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
24 JI Cody Walter 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 11%
25 ZHOU Matthew R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
26 MORREALE John 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 29% 5%
27 HAMMER Peter A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
28 KIM Sean G. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
29 YANG Ziyi 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 2%
30 DHINGRA Gian K. 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 9%
31 CHAN Matthew 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 34% 7%
32 PEDERSEN Leif 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 19% 3%
33 DODRILL Grant 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 26%
34 LIANG Connor 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 30%
35 ZHOU Justin 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 8%
36 LEE Kyle 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 55% 17%
37 WOOD Elden S. 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 6%
38 SO Hananiah 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 12%
39 CHEN Oscar 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
40 BENAVRAM Lev C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
41 CHO Brandon 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 6%
42 LIN Nick 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 10%
43 FORMAN Logan 100% 98% 84% 51% 19% 4% -
44 WILSON Jude 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
45 HUSSAIN Faaris 100% 99% 88% 57% 21% 3%
46 YAO Jonathan 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 8%
47 TANG Albert 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% -
48 LIN John A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 21%
49 DROZ Camden J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 27%
50 CAI Lawrence (Larry) 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 28%
51 HARRIS Alex K. 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 27% 5%
52 NG Jonathan H. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 9%
53 BARBER William S. 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
54 LUEBBE Macklan C 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 5%
55 FLORES Peter D. 100% 99% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1%
56 JEAN Noe T. 100% 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2%
57 LASORSA Matthew 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 15% 2%
58 TANG Alex Y. 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
59 RAI Avin 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 42% 10%
60 CALLAHAN Jaden P. 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
61 LUKASHENKO Darii 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
62 BAILEY Asher 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
63 BERGER Oliver 100% 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 1%
64 YEN Preston 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 23% 4%
65 YANG Kevin S. 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 18%
66 AURAY Phileas 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 19%
67 OWENS William 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
68 ERACHSHAW Taras P. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 22%
69 NI AMEN Zahir K. 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 49% 13%
70 CHAYEVSKY Kirk 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 29% 6%
70 SUBBIAH Prashanth V. 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 38% 8%
70 SAKHAMURI Surya 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 22%
73 LO Joshua H. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 19%
74 SHI Andrew 100% 100% 99% 96% 80% 48% 14%
75 LE Hayden 100% 99% 93% 68% 31% 7% 1%
76 CHEN Brian 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 13%
77 KUSHKOV Veniamin 100% 100% 94% 73% 38% 11% 1%
78 DENNER Maximilian P. 100% 99% 92% 68% 34% 10% 1%
79 SOHN Kevin J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
80 PAN Andrew W. 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 26% 4%
81 BLINKOV Andrey 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
81 TRAVERS Samir T. 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 8%
83 RAJA Arnav 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 21% 3%
84 LEMPERT Levy A. 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 8% 1%
85 DILLREE Spencer S. 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 11% 1%
86 CZYZEWSKI Konrad R. 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 25% 4%
86 LEVIN Mark A. 100% 100% 99% 86% 54% 19% 3%
88 LIU David J. 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 15% 2%
89 WIND Nicky E. 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 24% 5%
90 DU Gavin J. 100% 97% 80% 48% 17% 3% -
91 LIU Jonathan M. 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
92 LEONARD Cole 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 7% 1%
93 GREEN IV James (Bud) 100% 100% 99% 85% 52% 17% 2%
94 WANG Eric Y. 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
95 BUEKER Samuel P. 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
96 CHANG Brandon 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 14%
97 YOUNG Nash 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 31% 6%
98 NOBLE Daniel 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 4%
99 YOUNG Brendon 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
100 SMITH Mitchell M. 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 6%
101 POPE Nico 100% 98% 85% 54% 22% 5% -
102 HONG Vincent Q. 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
102 RESHEIDAT Malik 100% 98% 82% 50% 20% 4% -
102 MAHONEY Colin M. 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 12% 1%
102 KIM Noah L. 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 5% -
106 MORRILL Justin 100% 100% 97% 78% 43% 13% 2%
107 LI Joshua L. 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 5% -
107 MENSAH Kennedy C 100% 94% 72% 39% 13% 2% -
109 MOSZCZYNSKI Adam 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
109 BERRIO Carter E. 100% 99% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1%
111 ZHOU Kevin 100% 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1%
112 BERMAN Luca 100% 99% 90% 65% 32% 9% 1%
113 MILLER Levi H. 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 16% 2%
114 PORTMANN Stein J. 100% 100% 95% 77% 46% 16% 3%
115 GILMORE Thomas W. 100% 99% 93% 68% 30% 6%
116 HARGENRADER Kailen A. 100% 98% 85% 52% 17% 2%
117 YANG Richard 100% 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 2%
118 UEYAMA Ietetsu A. 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% - -
118 HASNAH Henry 100% 93% 68% 34% 11% 2% -
120 XU Luke 100% 79% 36% 9% 1% - -
121 LUO ZIRUI 100% 99% 90% 63% 29% 7% 1%
122 ALKIN Isaac 100% 72% 28% 6% 1% - -
123 CONINE Tanner C. 100% 97% 72% 35% 10% 1% -
124 METTKE Nathaniel 100% 95% 72% 36% 11% 2% -
125 RYAN Edward T. 100% 99% 90% 65% 32% 9% 1%
125 SHASHA zane 100% 97% 81% 50% 20% 4% -
127 KIM Andrew H. 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 25% 4%
128 ZHOU Miles 100% 80% 39% 11% 1% - -
129 KOGAN Benjamin 100% 100% 95% 76% 44% 15% 2%
130 BRAR Sanjeet 100% 100% 94% 75% 42% 13% 2%
131 QIN Alexander 100% 88% 45% 13% 2% - -
132 BRISLAWN Reilly R. 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 15% 2%
132 LIU kelly 100% 99% 89% 61% 27% 6% 1%
134 FREYRE DE ANDRADE Elian R. 100% 95% 76% 42% 14% 3% -
135 LINSKY Matthew 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 39% 8%
136 LAUDON Konrad 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 10% 1%
137 KENNEDY Liam A. 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 20% 3%
138 GAFFNEY John M. 100% 81% 41% 12% 2% - -
138 CHANG Colin S. 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 6% 1%
140 HAMMERSTROM Jared 100% 99% 94% 74% 42% 14% 2%
141 CHIN Matthew W. 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 10% 1%
141 ALTIRS Alexander 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
143 GORTON George F. 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 8% 1%
144 KEEFE Duncan 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
145 TONG ZACHARY 100% 99% 94% 73% 40% 12% 2%
146 ASHBY Ethan J. 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 7% 1%
147 GHOSH Tuhin 100% 98% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
147 ZHOU Brian 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
149 GINIS Nathan 100% 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 3%
150 GREENBAUM Ian L. 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
151 LINDHOLM Oliver S. 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% - -
152 DELARUE NELSON Y. 100% 90% 57% 20% 4% - -
153 ALKEMPER Tristan H. 100% 97% 83% 53% 22% 5% -
154 PAN Jerry 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 3%
155 GRASS James D. 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% -
156 CHENG Kyle 100% 58% 17% 2% - -
157 GREENE Alexander J. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
158 REYES Xavier M. 100% 95% 75% 42% 14% 2% -
159 SMITLEY Tyler J. 100% 96% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
160 HO Kaden M. 100% 96% 73% 35% 9% 1% -
161 BUERGENTHAL Aaron P. 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 10%
162 XU Andrew 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1% -
163 BOURGHOL Matthew 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% - -
164 YUAN Kevin 100% 91% 62% 28% 7% 1% -
165 JINICH Ilan R. 100% 95% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
166 KAKEHI Nicholas B. 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 3% -
167 YUN Jake 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
168 LEUNG Nathan 100% 60% 20% 4% - - -
168 NEUHEARDT Peter 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
170 DEWEY Charles J. 100% 68% 23% 4% - - -
171 HUANG Eric 100% 100% 93% 70% 35% 9% 1%
172 BULL Anderson 100% 90% 56% 20% 4% - -
173 MAKLIN Edward P. 100% 98% 84% 50% 18% 3% -
173 CHUPKIN Nikolas 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% - -
175 LU Caleb Q. 100% 84% 40% 9% 1% - -
175 ZHANG Jeffrey 100% 95% 64% 26% 6% 1% -
177 ERACHSHAW Cyrus P. 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
177 ZHOU Aeres Z. 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
179 MENTA Varun 100% 89% 57% 24% 6% 1% -
180 DOUCET Justin P. 100% 65% 22% 4% - -
181 PETRAMALE Samuel J. 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2%
182 CALKINS William H. 100% 86% 51% 17% 3% -
183 MAGUIRE Matthew V. 100% 98% 84% 53% 22% 5% -
184 XU William 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% - -
185 MESHKOV Peter A. 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 9% 1%
186 WU Wilmund 100% 82% 46% 16% 3% - -
186 MORRILL William 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 24% 5%
188 PROCHAZKA Archer R. 100% 40% 7% 1% - - -
189 LEITH Jack 100% 72% 31% 8% 1% - -
190 HUANG Ethan F. 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 7% 1%
191 NUMAN Yazan M. 100% 99% 91% 69% 36% 11% 1%
192 RASMUSSEN Alexzander C. 100% 95% 69% 27% 5% - -
192 CHEN Lucas B. 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 7% 1%
194 KAYDALIN Artyom 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
195 FISK Ethan 100% 65% 24% 5% 1% - -
196 CHAUDHURI Eeshaan A. 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
197 NARANJO David E. 100% 92% 66% 31% 8% 1% -
198 BAUER Hank E. 100% 61% 21% 4% - - -
198 HUANG Tyler T. 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
200 CHAVES Matthew J. 100% 75% 34% 9% 1% - -
201 REED Samuel J. 100% 81% 25% 4% - - -
202 YOU Jaden 100% 65% 23% 4% - - -
203 KOSURI Harsha 100% 64% 17% 2% - - -
204 REINSCH-GOLDSTEIN Alexander N. 100% 76% 36% 10% 2% - -
205 ZHANG Michael (Jiayuan) 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% 1% -
206 SANFILIPPO-SCHERER Alexander G. 100% 80% 38% 10% 1% - -
207 BANNERMAN Andrew J. 100% 95% 70% 33% 9% 1% -
208 CHAN Alexander S. 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% -
209 COX Luis E. 100% 59% 19% 3% - - -
210 TANN Justin 100% 92% 61% 23% 4% -
211 JOHNSON Langston C. 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 4%
212 JARAMILLO Tobias L. 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 18% 3%
212 GHENEA George Philipe 100% 77% 37% 10% 2% - -
214 EDELMAN Seth A. 100% 86% 50% 18% 4% - -
215 VO Minh Q. 100% 59% 16% 2% - - -
215 WANG Jonathan 100% 38% 6% 1% - - -
215 NOBLE Colin 100% 94% 68% 31% 7% 1% -
218 KIBBAR Tomer L. 100% 84% 42% 11% 1% -
219 SHI Kyle 100% 48% 10% 1% - - -
219 KORINTH Alexander J. 100% 67% 19% 3% - - -
219 HOUTZ Jackson 100% 95% 74% 41% 14% 2% -
219 WANG CIHANG 100% 42% 6% - - - -
223 SAMMI Mukund 100% 96% 75% 40% 13% 2% -
224 LEE Justin 100% 89% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
225 BONSELL Vance 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
225 SIERRA Brennan R. 100% 96% 76% 43% 14% 3% -
227 HUANG Ian 100% 78% 33% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.